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Guingamp vs PAU• Ligue 2, France

#111.6:2.01-2FTToday · Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp1.6:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.28PINX3.48MAR23.22PINMargin at best3.7%Books6Markets72Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 17:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.283.453.223.9%
1xBet2.153.483.147.1%
Marathonbet2.133.483.147.5%
William Hill2.203.203.109.0%
BetVictor2.153.403.009.3%
Bet3652.103.103.1012.1%
Best of all books2.283.483.223.7%
Average2.173.353.128.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GuingampPAU
Last 10#11Table position#81.00Points per game1.387Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5038Defence rating6338Form rating6250H2H rating5047Goals model5346Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:50 UTC

Guingamp

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

9 OctANancy0-1L
2 OctHLe Mans2-1W
19 SepHRED Star FC 931-3L
12 SepHAnnecy2-1W
5 SepAReims2-2D
29 AugHNantes3-3D
21 AugASochaux0-1L
14 AugHBoulogne1-0W
8 AugAMetz1-2L
1 AugAStade Brestois 293-3D

PAU

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

9 OctHLaval3-2W
3 OctAToulouse3-2W
18 SepHDunkerque2-0W
11 SepAMontpellier0-1L
4 SepHSochaux1-1D
28 AugARodez2-2D
21 AugHNancy0-1L
14 AugADijon1-0W
8 AugHAnnecy0-1L
1 AugHReal Unión1-2L

Head to head

6Guingamp wins
1draws
5PAU wins

12 meetings · goals 23:14 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Guingamp

17 Apr 2026Ligue 2Ligue 2PAU2-1Guingamp
8 Nov 2025Ligue 2Ligue 2Guingamp2-2PAU
10 May 2025Ligue 2Ligue 2PAU1-3Guingamp
18 Oct 2024Ligue 2Ligue 2Guingamp0-1PAU
27 Apr 2024Ligue 2Ligue 2PAU1-2Guingamp
26 Aug 2023Ligue 2Ligue 2Guingamp4-0PAU
22 Apr 2023Ligue 2Ligue 2PAU2-1Guingamp
30 Jul 2022Ligue 2Ligue 2Guingamp4-0PAU
19 Apr 2022Ligue 2Ligue 2Guingamp3-0PAU
20 Nov 2021Ligue 2Ligue 2PAU2-0Guingamp

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 16 Oct 20:01 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Guingamp sit 11th with 8 points from 8 games, while PAU are 8th with 11 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Saint Etienne861121:8+1319
2RED Star FC 93852112:9+317
3Montpellier84318:5+315
4Reims835015:9+614
5Nancy84139:7+213
6Annecy841310:9+113
7Dijon833214:12+212
8PAU83239:8+111
9Sochaux82515:6-111
10Metz824212:11+110
11Guingamp822410:13-38
12Dunkerque822410:13-38
13Nantes82249:13-48
14Grenoble82248:13-58
15Rodez821514:18-47
16Boulogne80624:6-26
17Clermont Foot80626:9-36
18Laval812510:17-75

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.17X28%3.35230%3.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13 Oct 00:0016 Oct 17:301 2.17X 3.352 3.12
12.02 → 2.17 +7.4%X3.45 → 3.35 -2.9%23.50 → 3.12 -10.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.852.033.3%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
1xBet1.811.937.1%
Marathonbet1.811.937.1%
BetVictor1.781.908.8%
Best of all books1.852.033.3%
Average1.811.966.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.672.107.5%
1xBet1.652.118.0%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.652.088.7%
Best of all books1.672.156.4%
Average1.652.118.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guingamp 10%Draw 45%PAU 45%

The statistical model rated Guingamp at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and PAU at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.17 | 3.35 | 3.12, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Guingamp are 11th (8 pts, 10-13 goals), PAU 8th (11 pts, 9-8).

Over their last five matches, Guingamp averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; PAU averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or PAU.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Guingamp

4-1-4-1

Coach: S. Ripoll

Goalkeeper

  • 16Adrián Ortolá

Defence

  • 2E. Koffi
  • 35N. Fondja
  • 24J. Dianganga
  • 5T. Ollila

Midfield

  • 25T. Ducrocq
  • 20S. Ben Brahim
  • 10A. Hemia
  • 21T. Ahile
  • 18S. Kielt

Attack

  • 11T. Averlant
Substitutes (9)
  • 8F. Da Silva
  • 22B. Bokangu
  • 1T. Bartouche
  • 38E. Aucan
  • 33Ibrahim Fomba
  • 4D. Louiserre
  • 31J. Matondo
  • 3J. Matumona
  • 17A. Samoura

PAU

5-3-2

Coach: Thierry Debes

Goalkeeper

  • 1B. Maubleu

Defence

  • 2T. Pouilly
  • 29G. Paquiez
  • 23A. Briançon
  • 88A. Bamba
  • 39M. Tourraine

Midfield

  • 6C. Fall
  • 5L. Rajot
  • 10B. Brahimi

Attack

  • 9B. Leye
  • 7H. Benali
Substitutes (9)
  • 8S. Basse
  • 25Q. Daubin
  • 4A. Dodote
  • 27L. Gadegbeku
  • 56Abdoulaye Mbaye
  • 22R. Baheng
  • 30E. Salles
  • 97A. Abdallah
  • 18J. Sebas

Match Statistics

GuingampPAU
1.26Expected Goals0.63
516Passes accurate269
12Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox2
5Blocked Shots2
17Free Kicks12
4Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
10Shots off Goal3
594Total passes349
19Total Shots8
2Yellow Cards3
5Corner Kicks2
14Fouls19
0Red Cards0
64%Ball Possession36%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.173.353.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.631.30

Draw no bet

12
1.592.23

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.652.11

1st half

1X2
2.722.223.67

2nd half

1X2
2.512.493.26

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3813.831.0
HT X5.435.477.27
HT 225.014.75.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7811.82.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.0
1.51.243.66
2.51.811.96
3.52.981.35
4.55.691.11
5.511.01.05
6.524.51.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.75
11.018.30
1.251.124.75
1.751.293.09
21.382.81
2.251.602.24
2.752.011.74
32.341.53
3.252.591.39
3.753.501.22
44.651.12
4.254.951.11
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.501.47
-0.52.201.65
-0.251.881.87
01.602.28
+0.251.432.65
+0.51.363.15
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.57.801.02
-27.101.04
-1.755.101.12
-1.53.971.21
-1.253.601.25
-13.261.31
+0.751.233.80
+11.125.53
+1.251.095.91
+1.51.096.38
+1.751.028.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.065.12
6.51.154.02
7.51.332.83
8.51.642.13
9.52.051.69
10.52.611.38
11.53.461.21
12.54.751.10
13.55.321.05
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.074.92
71.183.42
7.751.352.73
81.442.55
8.251.512.33
8.751.722.04
91.881.90
9.251.911.76
9.752.151.54
102.381.51
10.252.531.40
10.752.891.26
112.971.25
124.001.13
135.191.06