Rodez vs Montpellier• Ligue 2, France

#171.2:2.618:4519/10 · Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez1.0:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.97PINX3.50WH22.60PINMargin at best0.7%Books6Markets65Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 17:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.91	3.03	2.62	5.5%
1xBet	2.78	3.20	2.48	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.78	3.20	2.48	7.5%
BetVictor	2.63	3.50	2.30	10.1%
William Hill	2.62	3.50	2.30	10.2%
Bet365	2.62	3.30	2.25	12.9%
Best of all books	2.91	3.50	2.62	1.1%
Average	2.72	3.29	2.40	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RodezMontpellier

Last 10#17Table position#50.88Points per game1.883Form pts · last 581.2Goals for · last 51.02.6Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4524Defence rating7611Form rating8940H2H rating6048Goals model5235Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Rodez

3W 1D 6L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

10 Oct	A	Saint Etienne	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Inter Club d'Escaldes	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Nancy	3-4	L
11 Sep	H	Grenoble	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Metz	1-4	L
28 Aug	H	PAU	2-2	D
22 Aug	A	Nantes	5-2	W
14 Aug	A	Annecy	0-2	L
8 Aug	H	Laval	3-1	W
1 Aug	A	Montpellier	2-4	L

Montpellier

6W 3D 1L · goals 13:7 · per match 1.3 for, 0.7 against

9 Oct	H	Grenoble	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Reims	1-1	D
11 Sep	H	PAU	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Saint Etienne	1-3	L
28 Aug	H	Boulogne	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Dunkerque	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Nancy	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Dijon	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Rodez	4-2	W
25 Jul	A	Clermont Foot	1-0	W

Head to head

3Rodez wins

0draws

6Montpellier wins

9 meetings · goals 7:17 · last 9: 3W 0D 6L for Rodez

1 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Montpellier4-2Rodez
20 Feb 2026Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Rodez1-0Montpellier
31 Oct 2025Ligue 2	Ligue 2	Montpellier2-0Rodez
18 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Montpellier0-2Rodez
16 Dec 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Montpellier5-0Rodez
9 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Montpellier0-1Rodez
14 Jul 2021Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Montpellier1-0Rodez
14 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Rodez1-3Montpellier
5 Jan 2014Coupe de France	Coupe de France	Rodez0-2Montpellier

Ligue 2 tableLigue 2updated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Ligue 2 table, Rodez sit 17th with 7 points from 8 games, while Montpellier are 5th with 15 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	9	7	1	1	22:8	+14	22
2	Reims	9	4	5	0	19:11	+8	17
3	RED Star FC 93	9	5	2	2	12:10	+2	17
4	Nancy	9	5	1	3	11:8	+3	16
5	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	8:5	+3	15
6	PAU	9	4	2	3	11:9	+2	14
7	Metz	9	3	4	2	15:13	+2	13
8	Annecy	9	4	1	4	11:11	0	13
9	Dijon	9	3	3	3	16:16	0	12
10	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	13:15	-2	11
11	Sochaux	9	2	5	2	7:9	-2	11
12	Boulogne	9	1	6	2	6:6	0	9
13	Guingamp	9	2	2	5	11:15	-4	8
14	Nantes	9	2	2	5	11:16	-5	8
15	Grenoble	9	2	2	5	8:15	-7	8
16	Clermont Foot	9	0	7	2	9:12	-3	7
17	Rodez	8	2	1	5	14:18	-4	7
18	Laval	9	1	3	5	13:20	-7	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.73X28%3.31238%2.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.62	2.22	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.22	6.8%
BetVictor	1.59	2.16	9.2%
Best of all books	1.65	2.25	5.1%
Average	1.63	2.21	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.48	2.47	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.43	8.7%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.47	4.2%
Average	1.51	2.40	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Rodez 10%Draw 45%Montpellier 45%

The statistical model rates Rodez at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Montpellier at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.73 | 3.31 | 2.41, which imply roughly 30.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligue 2 table: Rodez are 17th (7 pts, 14-18 goals), Montpellier 5th (15 pts, 8-5).

Over their last five matches, Rodez averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Montpellier averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Montpellier.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.72	3.29	2.40

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.51	1.41	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.97	1.74

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.40

1st half

1	X	2
3.24	2.25	2.96

2nd half

1	X	2
2.90	2.59	2.62

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.51	13.5	27.0
HT X	6.43	5.23	5.90
HT 2	28.3	13.5	3.95

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	14.1	1.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.1
1.5	1.16	4.56
2.5	1.63	2.21
3.5	2.43	1.49
4.5	4.45	1.16
5.5	8.70	1.04
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.80
1.25	1.07	5.91
1.75	1.18	3.93
2	1.23	3.48
2.25	1.44	2.63
2.75	1.76	1.98
3	1.95	1.75
3.25	2.19	1.59
3.75	2.78	1.34
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.88	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.43
-0.25	2.35	1.55
0	1.98	1.77
+0.25	1.67	2.08
+0.5	1.54	2.42
+0.75	1.36	2.90

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	9.90	1.01
-1.75	6.97	1.06
-1.5	5.37	1.11
-1.25	4.86	1.13
-1	4.57	1.16
-0.75	3.33	1.28
+1	1.22	3.84
+1.25	1.18	4.10
+1.5	1.15	4.50
+1.75	1.09	5.90
+2	1.01	8.70
+2.5	1.02	9.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.45
7.5	1.22	3.50
8.5	1.45	2.51
9.5	1.78	1.94
10.5	2.26	1.55
11.5	2.97	1.30
12.5	4.15	1.16

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.35	2.80
8.75	1.48	2.40
9	1.63	2.23
9.25	1.66	2.06
9.75	1.86	1.82
10	2.01	1.79
10.25	2.11	1.60
10.75	2.41	1.45
11	2.46	1.52
11.25	2.83	1.33