Roda vs Jong AZ• Eerste Divisie, Netherlands

#51.6:1.219:00Today · Parkstad Limburg, Kerkrade2.8:2.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75B365X4.26PIN24.20DAFMargin at best4.4%Books10Markets69Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.9

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 04:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	4.26	4.12	5.2%
Dafabet	1.73	4.20	4.20	5.4%
Bet365	1.75	4.10	4.10	5.9%
Betano	1.75	4.05	4.05	6.5%
Betfair	1.70	4.20	4.00	7.6%
1xBet	1.69	4.15	4.09	7.7%
BetVictor	1.70	4.10	4.00	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	4.15	4.10	8.4%
William Hill	1.73	3.90	3.90	9.1%
SBO	1.61	3.76	3.78	15.2%
Best of all books	1.75	4.26	4.20	4.4%
Average	1.71	4.09	4.03	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RodaJong AZ

Last 10#5Table position#81.83Points per game1.4210Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 52.81.2Goals against · last 52.236Attack rating6465Defence rating3556Form rating447H2H rating9358Goals model4242Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 22:10 UTC

Roda

5W 4D 1L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

27 Oct	H	De Graafschap	1-0	W
23 Oct	A	Almere City FC	3-2	W
19 Oct	A	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Jong PSV U21	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	VVV Venlo	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Waalwijk	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Jong Ajax	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Vitesse	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	MVV	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	NAC Breda	2-2	D

Jong AZ

4W 2D 4L · goals 26:23 · per match 2.6 for, 2.3 against

23 Oct	H	Helmond Sport	5-4	W
16 Oct	A	VVV Venlo	4-4	D
9 Oct	H	Den Bosch	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	FC Volendam	4-1	W
14 Sep	A	Jong PSV U21	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Heracles	2-3	L
5 Sep	A	Dordrecht	6-3	W
31 Aug	H	Jong Utrecht	2-1	W
28 Aug	H	MVV	1-2	L
21 Aug	A	Emmen	1-3	L

Head to head

5Roda wins

4draws

6Jong AZ wins

15 meetings · goals 24:26 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Roda

24 Apr 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ2-0Roda
5 Dec 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda2-3Jong AZ
7 Feb 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda3-3Jong AZ
12 Aug 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ6-1Roda
5 Feb 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ1-0Roda
6 Oct 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda3-1Jong AZ
13 Mar 2023Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda2-0Jong AZ
7 Nov 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ2-0Roda
4 Apr 2022Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Jong AZ0-1Roda
19 Nov 2021Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Roda2-2Jong AZ

Eerste Divisie tableEerste Divisie: Regular seasonupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Eerste Divisie table, Roda sit 5th with 22 points from 12 games, while Jong AZ are 8th with 17 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Heracles	12	9	2	1	37:14	+23	29
2	VVV Venlo	12	8	1	3	34:20	+14	25
3	Emmen	12	8	1	3	26:19	+7	25
4	Almere City FC	12	7	1	4	25:12	+13	22
5	Roda	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
6	NAC Breda	12	6	3	3	23:20	+3	21
7	FC Volendam	12	6	1	5	29:20	+9	19
8	Jong AZ	12	5	2	5	31:26	+5	17
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17
10	MVV	12	5	2	5	16:27	-11	17
11	Waalwijk	12	3	7	2	21:17	+4	16
12	Jong PSV U21	12	4	4	4	17:19	-2	16
13	Den Bosch	12	4	3	5	18:21	-3	15
14	FC OSS	12	4	1	7	19:20	-1	13
15	Jong Ajax	12	3	3	6	18:29	-11	12
16	De Graafschap	12	3	3	6	15:26	-11	12
17	FC Eindhoven	12	3	2	7	16:25	-9	11
18	Dordrecht	12	3	2	7	16:31	-15	11
19	Helmond Sport	12	2	3	7	20:26	-6	9
20	Jong Utrecht	12	2	1	9	19:31	-12	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.71X23%4.09223%4.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.71 +1.8%X4.20 → 4.09 -2.6%24.13 → 4.03 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.48	2.62	5.7%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betano	1.45	2.62	7.1%
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.48	2.70	4.6%
Average	1.43	2.64	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.47	2.52	7.7%
1xBet	1.43	2.63	8.0%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.58	8.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Average	1.45	2.58	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Roda 10%Draw 45%Jong AZ 45%

The statistical model rates Roda at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Jong AZ at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 4.09 | 4.03, which imply roughly 24.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eerste Divisie table: Roda are 5th (22 pts, 15-11 goals), Jong AZ 8th (17 pts, 31-26).

Over their last five matches, Roda averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Jong AZ averaged 2.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Jong AZ and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.71	4.09	4.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	2.08	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.58

1st half

1	X	2
2.14	2.52	4.19

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.89	3.86

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.53	13.7	30.5
HT X	4.95	7.17	9.59
HT 2	17.7	14.4	6.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	22.0	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.3
1.5	1.12	5.64
2.5	1.43	2.64
3.5	2.10	1.69
4.5	3.42	1.27
5.5	6.28	1.09
6.5	11.7	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.0
1.75	1.10	5.10
2	1.12	4.65
2.25	1.25	3.29
2.75	1.51	2.36
3	1.65	2.11
3.25	1.87	1.85
3.75	2.35	1.53
4	2.71	1.36
4.25	2.99	1.31
4.75	3.96	1.17
5	5.20	1.10
5.25	5.50	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.71	1.41
-1.25	2.43	1.49
-1	2.15	1.64
-0.75	1.86	1.86
-0.5	1.70	2.09
-0.25	1.49	2.42

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.15	1.03
-3	8.70	1.01
-2.75	6.60	1.11
-2.5	5.09	1.13
-2.25	4.52	1.15
-2	4.15	1.18
-1.75	3.27	1.29
0	1.33	3.19
+0.25	1.26	3.49
+0.5	1.23	4.10
+0.75	1.12	5.10
+1	1.05	7.13
+1.25	1.02	7.70
+1.5	1.03	8.07
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.31	3.05
9.5	1.56	2.26
10.5	1.93	1.79
11.5	2.49	1.47
12.5	3.30	1.27

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9.25	1.45	2.41
9.75	1.60	2.10
10	1.76	2.01
10.25	1.82	1.84
10.75	2.06	1.66
11	2.25	1.59
11.25	2.34	1.50

Next Eerste Divisie matches

30 Oct	Helmond Sport – FC Eindhoven
30 Oct	FC Volendam – De Graafschap
30 Oct	Waalwijk – Almere City FC
31 Oct	MVV – VVV Venlo
1 Nov	Emmen – Den Bosch
2 Nov	Heracles – FC OSS

All Eerste Divisie fixtures and the table

Latest Eerste Divisie results

24 Oct	Dordrecht 2-4 VVV Venlo
23 Oct	Almere City FC 2-3 Roda
23 Oct	Vitesse 0-2 Emmen
23 Oct	FC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht
23 Oct	FC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U21
23 Oct	NAC Breda 1-1 Heracles