Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas• Liga MX, Mexico

#141.0:2.01-2FT31/10 · Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla1.6:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.70B365X3.72PIN22.05PINMargin at best2.7%Books10Markets76Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 21:02 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.63	3.72	2.05	3.2%
Dafabet	3.60	3.60	2.03	4.8%
Betano	3.50	3.60	2.02	5.9%
BetVictor	3.60	3.60	1.95	6.8%
Bet365	3.70	3.50	1.95	6.9%
Betfair	3.50	3.60	1.95	7.6%
1xBet	3.28	3.52	2.04	7.9%
Marathonbet	3.26	3.52	2.02	8.6%
William Hill	3.30	3.30	1.91	13.0%
SBO	2.97	3.15	2.02	14.9%
Best of all books	3.70	3.72	2.05	2.7%
Average	3.43	3.51	1.99	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PueblaU.N.A.M. - Pumas

Last 10#14Table position#91.07Points per game1.332Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 52.038Attack rating6250Defence rating5029Form rating717H2H rating9342Goals model5832Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 00:10 UTC

Puebla

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

25 Oct	A	Atlas	3-4	L
22 Oct	H	Monterrey	1-4	L
17 Oct	A	Club Tijuana	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	Leon	1-1	D
27 Sep	A	Tigres UANL	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Atlante FC	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Toluca	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Necaxa	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Club America	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Santos Laguna	3-2	W

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

2W 4D 4L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	H	Tigres UANL	1-1	D
22 Oct	A	Santos Laguna	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Atlante FC	2-1	W
12 Oct	H	Cruz Azul	3-3	D
27 Sep	H	Atletico San Luis	2-3	L
19 Sep	A	Atlas	1-1	D
14 Sep	A	Guadalajara Chivas	0-3	L
11 Sep	H	Leon	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Club Tijuana	0-2	L
24 Aug	H	Necaxa	1-1	D

Head to head

5Puebla wins

5draws

9U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins

19 meetings · goals 22:33 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Puebla

14 Feb 2026Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla2-3U.N.A.M. - Pumas
24 Aug 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	U.N.A.M. - Pumas0-0Puebla
8 Mar 2025Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla1-3U.N.A.M. - Pumas
18 Sep 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-0Puebla
11 Feb 2024Liga MX	Liga MX	U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-0Puebla
23 Sep 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla0-2U.N.A.M. - Pumas
5 Mar 2023Liga MX	Liga MX	U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-4Puebla
24 Sep 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla2-1U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 Apr 2022Liga MX	Liga MX	Puebla2-2U.N.A.M. - Pumas
22 Aug 2021Liga MX	Liga MX	U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0Puebla

Liga MX tableLiga MX: Aperturaupdated 2 Nov 01:00 UTC

In the Liga MX table, Puebla sit 14th with 16 points from 15 games, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas are 9th with 20 points from 15.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Club America	15	8	5	2	36:21	+15	29
2	Guadalajara Chivas	15	8	5	2	25:14	+11	29
3	Atlas	15	8	3	4	26:26	0	27
4	Cruz Azul	14	8	2	4	32:23	+9	26
5	Toluca	15	6	6	3	31:21	+10	24
6	Club Tijuana	15	5	7	3	25:21	+4	22
7	Leon	14	6	4	4	21:18	+3	22
8	Monterrey	14	6	3	5	26:21	+5	21
9	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	15	5	5	5	22:24	-2	20
10	Club Queretaro	14	6	2	6	18:21	-3	20
11	CF Pachuca	15	5	4	6	25:19	+6	19
12	Santos Laguna	14	6	1	7	20:20	0	19
13	Atletico San Luis	15	5	4	6	19:23	-4	19
14	Puebla	15	4	4	7	17:23	-6	16
15	Tigres UANL	15	3	6	6	15:22	-7	15
16	Atlante FC	15	3	5	7	16:24	-8	14
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16:27	-11	10
18	FC Juarez	15	2	2	11	12:34	-22	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.51X26%3.52247%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.85 → 3.43 +20.4%X3.40 → 3.51 +3.2%22.32 → 1.99 -14.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.80	2.09	3.4%
Betano	1.80	2.07	3.9%
SBO	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
BetVictor	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.80	2.09	3.4%
Average	1.78	2.01	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.63	2.14	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.11	8.7%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.64	2.14	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Puebla 10%Draw 45%U.N.A.M. - Pumas 45%

The statistical model rated Puebla at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.51 | 3.52 | 1.97, which imply roughly 28.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga MX table: Puebla are 14th (16 pts, 17-23 goals), U.N.A.M. - Pumas 9th (20 pts, 22-24).

Over their last five matches, Puebla averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; U.N.A.M. - Pumas averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Puebla

4-2-3-1

Coach: Gerardo Espinoza

Goalkeeper

28R. Gutiérrez

Defence

12I. Moreno
5F. Almada
4J. Vargas
7F. Monárrez

Midfield

24A. Organista
14E. Armenta
27B. Garnica
20J. Pachuca
8O. Moreno

Attack

9L. Hernández

Substitutes (10)

2Á. Leyva
3A. Herrera
22C. Baltazar
34Lucas Camilo
19I. Maestro Puch
29E. Mustre
33J. Rodríguez
10M. Tomás
26K. Velasco
15Ó. Villa

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

4-4-2

Coach: E. Solari

Goalkeeper

1K. Navas

Defence

7R. López
6Nathan Silva
5Rubén Duarte
2P. Bennevendo

Midfield

21U. Antuna
8A. Carrasquilla
45P. Vite
10C. Huerta

Attack

31R. Morales
23Juninho

Substitutes (10)

77Á. Angulo
18V. Arteaga
34Á. Azuaje
14L. Herrera
35P. Lara
24T. Leone
15I. Luna
30Santiago López López
22A. Medina
19J. Rivas

Match Statistics

PueblaU.N.A.M. - Pumas

1.4Expected Goals2.91

332Passes accurate300

10Shots insidebox10

7Shots outsidebox3

6Blocked Shots2

5Free Kicks11

6Shots on Goal5

4Goalkeeper Saves5

5Shots off Goal6

4Offsides1

418Total passes375

17Total Shots13

7Corner Kicks3

0Yellow Cards2

11Fouls5

0Red Cards0

53%Ball Possession47%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.43	3.51	1.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.74	1.29	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.51	1.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.14

1st half

1	X	2
3.81	2.23	2.57

2nd half

1	X	2
3.48	2.52	2.34

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.42	13.7	21.9
HT X	7.74	5.63	5.24
HT 2	30.5	13.6	3.16

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.25	12.5	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.2
1.5	1.23	3.89
2.5	1.78	2.01
3.5	2.81	1.39
4.5	5.42	1.13
5.5	10.1	1.04
6.5	20.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.11	4.96
1.75	1.27	3.22
2	1.35	2.90
2.25	1.56	2.31
2.75	1.95	1.80
3	2.26	1.59
3.25	2.53	1.46
3.75	3.29	1.25
4	4.40	1.14
4.25	4.70	1.12
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.94	1.36
0	2.53	1.49
+0.25	2.01	1.76
+0.5	1.82	1.99
+0.75	1.57	2.28
+1	1.38	2.87

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-2	9.40	1.02
-1.75	7.93	1.04
-1.5	6.83	1.07
-1.25	6.12	1.08
-1	5.76	1.11
-0.75	3.93	1.22
-0.5	3.44	1.31
+1.25	1.30	3.27
+1.5	1.25	3.58
+1.75	1.15	4.50
+2	1.07	6.53
+2.5	1.05	7.23
+3.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.18	4.50
2.5	1.47	2.55
3.5	1.90	1.79
4.5	3.00	1.36
5.5	4.60	1.17

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	9.00
6.5	1.10	6.30
7.5	1.19	4.30
8.5	1.33	2.97
9.5	1.59	2.21
10.5	2.00	1.75
11.5	2.55	1.45
12.5	3.46	1.25
13.5	4.90	1.16
14.5	6.60	1.09
15.5	8.75	1.05
16.5	10.8	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
9	1.44	2.63
9.25	1.47	2.35
9.75	1.63	2.06
10	1.79	2.00
10.25	1.84	1.82
10.75	2.11	1.65
11	2.29	1.57
11.25	2.40	1.48

Latest Liga MX results

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1 Nov	Monterrey 3-3 Club Tijuana
31 Oct	CF Pachuca 3-0 Tigres UANL
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