Napoli vs Lazio• Serie A, Italy

#82.0:1.411:3008/11 · Maradona Stadium, Naples3.2:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.36PINX3.721XB23.151XBMargin at best1.0%Books6Markets77Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.33	3.72	3.15	1.5%
Pinnacle	2.36	3.67	3.00	3.0%
Marathonbet	2.26	3.62	3.06	4.6%
Bet365	2.25	3.60	3.00	5.6%
BetVictor	2.25	3.50	2.90	7.5%
William Hill	2.25	3.40	2.88	8.6%
Best of all books	2.36	3.72	3.15	1.0%
Average	2.28	3.58	3.00	5.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NapoliLazio

Last 10#8Table position#11.40Points per game2.807Form pts · last 5152.0Goals for · last 53.21.4Goals against · last 51.038Attack rating6242Defence rating5832Form rating6829H2H rating7125Goals model7534Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

Napoli

4W 2D 4L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

4 Nov	A	FC Porto	1-4	L
1 Nov	A	Juventus	0-2	L
28 Oct	A	Monza	4-1	W
24 Oct	H	AS Roma	3-3	D
20 Oct	H	Bodo/Glimt	4-3	W
17 Oct	A	Venezia	0-1	L
13 Oct	A	Villarreal	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Frosinone	3-0	W
20 Sep	A	Fiorentina	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Bologna	1-0	W

Lazio

8W 2D 0L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	H	Cagliari	2-1	W
27 Oct	A	Sassuolo	6-2	W
24 Oct	H	Parma	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Juventus	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Monza	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Juve Stabia	3-3	D
27 Sep	H	Arezzo	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Venezia	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	AC Milan	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Udinese	2-1	W

Head to head

19Napoli wins

5draws

10Lazio wins

34 meetings · goals 66:41 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Napoli

18 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Napoli0-2Lazio
4 Jan 2026Serie A	Serie A	Lazio0-2Napoli
15 Feb 2025Serie A	Serie A	Lazio2-2Napoli
8 Dec 2024Serie A	Serie A	Napoli0-1Lazio
5 Dec 2024Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Lazio3-1Napoli
28 Jan 2024Serie A	Serie A	Lazio0-0Napoli
2 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Napoli1-2Lazio
3 Mar 2023Serie A	Serie A	Napoli0-1Lazio
3 Sep 2022Serie A	Serie A	Lazio1-2Napoli
27 Feb 2022Serie A	Serie A	Lazio1-2Napoli

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Napoli sit 8th with 14 points from 10 games, while Lazio are 1st with 28 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	24:8	+16	28
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	26:13	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	28:10	+18	24
4	Como	10	7	2	1	18:8	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21:12	+9	21
6	Frosinone	10	6	2	2	24:14	+10	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	13:10	+3	17
8	Napoli	10	4	2	4	17:13	+4	14
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	14:13	+1	14
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	14:16	-2	13
11	Genoa	10	4	1	5	10:14	-4	13
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	9:15	-6	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	16:20	-4	11
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	11:21	-10	9
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	8:15	-7	8
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	15:23	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	16:26	-10	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	17:24	-7	7
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	11:23	-12	5
20	Venezia	10	1	0	9	6:20	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.28X27%3.58232%3.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.19 → 2.28 +4.1%X3.59 → 3.58 -0.3%23.12 → 3.00 -3.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.81	2.16	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.77	2.14	3.2%
Marathonbet	1.75	2.09	5.0%
Bet365	1.73	2.10	5.4%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.81	2.16	1.5%
Average	1.75	2.10	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.24	7.5%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.22	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Napoli 10%Draw 45%Lazio 45%

The statistical model rates Napoli at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lazio at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.28 | 3.58 | 3.00, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Napoli are 8th (14 pts, 17-13 goals), Lazio 1st (28 pts, 24-8).

Over their last five matches, Napoli averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lazio averaged 3.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lazio.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	3.58	3.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.64	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.79	2.28	3.53

2nd half

1	X	2
2.55	2.57	3.16

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.50	13.8	28.7
HT X	5.77	5.73	7.13
HT 2	25.0	13.8	4.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	14.0	2.15

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	12.3
1.5	1.22	4.05
2.5	1.75	2.10
3.5	2.75	1.42
4.5	5.11	1.15
5.5	9.85	1.03
6.5	15.4	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	10.6
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.11	5.30
1.75	1.27	3.54
2	1.34	3.14
2.25	1.54	2.43
2.75	1.93	1.89
3	2.22	1.65
3.25	2.49	1.51
3.75	3.25	1.31
4	4.23	1.19
4.25	4.49	1.15
5	8.23	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.62	1.47
-0.5	2.26	1.62
-0.25	1.97	1.85
0	1.67	2.19
+0.25	1.49	2.53
+0.5	1.40	2.88

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.85	1.03
-2.25	7.63	1.04
-2	7.45	1.05
-1.75	5.37	1.13
-1.5	4.17	1.21
-1.25	3.79	1.25
-1	3.45	1.31
+0.75	1.26	3.56
+1	1.14	5.08
+1.25	1.11	5.48
+1.5	1.10	5.83

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3	1.27	3.56
3.5	1.51	2.52
4	1.74	2.10
4.5	1.92	1.79
5	2.69	1.43

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	–	13.0
5.5	1.04	8.05
6.5	1.11	5.28
7.5	1.27	3.29
8.5	1.51	2.41
9.5	1.93	1.82
10.5	2.40	1.51
11.5	3.22	1.28
12.5	4.65	1.13
13.5	6.70	1.06
14.5	9.00	1.03
15.5	13.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.27	3.14
8.25	1.39	2.63
8.75	1.54	2.25
9	1.77	2.06
9.25	1.74	1.98
9.75	1.96	1.72
10	2.17	1.68
10.25	2.24	1.54
10.75	2.56	1.41
11.25	3.04	1.29

Next Serie A matches

6 Nov	Venezia – Udinese
7 Nov	Cagliari – Frosinone
7 Nov	Torino – Lecce
7 Nov	Parma – Bologna
7 Nov	AS Roma – Sassuolo
8 Nov	Monza – Atalanta

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

2 Nov	Atalanta 0-3 Parma
2 Nov	Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina
1 Nov	Juventus 2-0 Napoli
1 Nov	Lecce 1-2 Genoa
1 Nov	Frosinone 2-0 Torino
1 Nov	Lazio 2-1 Cagliari