Monza vs Atalanta• Serie A, Italy

#181.8:2.414:0008/11 · Monza2.2:2.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.441XBX4.011XB22.11DAFMargin at best1.4%Books6Markets76Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 08:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.44	4.01	2.10	1.6%
Pinnacle	3.28	3.94	2.11	3.3%
Marathonbet	3.34	3.90	2.04	4.6%
Bet365	3.40	3.60	2.10	4.8%
BetVictor	3.13	3.75	2.05	7.4%
William Hill	3.20	3.60	2.00	9.0%
Best of all books	3.44	4.01	2.11	1.4%
Average	3.30	3.80	2.07	5.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonzaAtalanta

Last 10#18Table position#130.70Points per game1.103Form pts · last 531.8Goals for · last 52.22.4Goals against · last 52.645Attack rating5552Defence rating4838Form rating630H2H rating10066Goals model3443Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

Monza

2W 2D 6L · goals 18:22 · per match 1.8 for, 2.2 against

31 Oct	A	Bologna	1-2	L
28 Oct	H	Napoli	1-4	L
23 Oct	A	Torino	2-3	L
19 Oct	H	Cagliari	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Lazio	1-3	L
3 Oct	A	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Cremonese	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Sassuolo	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Lecce	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Parma	1-1	D

Atalanta

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:21 · per match 1.6 for, 2.1 against

5 Nov	H	Kairat Almaty	1-1	D
2 Nov	H	Parma	0-3	L
29 Oct	A	Fiorentina	2-2	D
25 Oct	H	Frosinone	4-4	D
22 Oct	A	Ajax	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	AC Milan	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Pafos	3-1	W
12 Oct	H	Venezia	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Juventus	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Cagliari	1-2	L

Head to head

0Monza wins

0draws

6Atalanta wins

6 meetings · goals 3:18 · last 6: 0W 0D 6L for Monza

4 May 2025Serie A	Serie A	Monza0-4Atalanta
30 Oct 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta2-0Monza
21 Apr 2024Serie A	Serie A	Monza1-2Atalanta
2 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta3-0Monza
4 Jun 2023Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta5-2Monza
5 Sep 2022Serie A	Serie A	Monza0-2Atalanta

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Monza sit 18th with 7 points from 10 games, while Atalanta are 13th with 11 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	24:8	+16	28
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	26:13	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	28:10	+18	24
4	Como	10	7	2	1	18:8	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21:12	+9	21
6	Frosinone	10	6	2	2	24:14	+10	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	13:10	+3	17
8	Napoli	10	4	2	4	17:13	+4	14
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	14:13	+1	14
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	14:16	-2	13
11	Genoa	10	4	1	5	10:14	-4	13
12	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	9:15	-6	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	16:20	-4	11
14	Lecce	10	3	0	7	11:21	-10	9
15	Parma	10	2	2	6	8:15	-7	8
16	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	15:23	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	16:26	-10	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	17:24	-7	7
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	11:23	-12	5
20	Venezia	10	1	0	9	6:20	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.29X25%3.75246%2.06

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.63	2.48	1.7%
Pinnacle	1.56	2.54	3.5%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.40	5.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
BetVictor	1.52	2.30	9.3%
Best of all books	1.63	2.54	0.7%
Average	1.57	2.42	4.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
William Hill	1.50	2.50	6.7%
1xBet	1.49	2.48	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.49	2.44	8.1%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.48	2.49	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monza 10%Draw 45%Atalanta 45%

The statistical model rates Monza at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atalanta at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.29 | 3.75 | 2.06, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Monza are 18th (7 pts, 17-24 goals), Atalanta 13th (11 pts, 16-20).

Over their last five matches, Monza averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Atalanta averaged 2.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atalanta and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.30	3.80	2.07

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.77	1.34	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.39	1.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.49

1st half

1	X	2
3.65	2.42	2.54

2nd half

1	X	2
3.31	2.69	2.35

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.17	14.2	23.0
HT X	8.00	6.37	5.43
HT 2	29.3	14.0	3.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.24	18.8	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.3
1.5	1.15	4.99
2.5	1.57	2.42
3.5	2.35	1.57
4.5	4.28	1.20
5.5	8.00	1.06
6.5	12.4	1.02
7.5	20.3	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.06	6.84
1.75	1.17	4.43
2	1.24	3.94
2.25	1.39	2.89
2.75	1.69	2.17
3	1.88	1.90
3.25	2.13	1.69
3.75	2.74	1.42
4	3.41	1.29
4.25	3.85	1.21
4.75	5.20	1.11
5	7.31	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.83	1.41
0	2.46	1.55
+0.25	2.02	1.80
+0.5	1.75	2.06
+0.75	1.57	2.34
+1	1.39	2.93

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	10.3	1.01
-1.5	6.73	1.07
-1.25	6.35	1.09
-1	5.90	1.12
-0.75	3.96	1.22
-0.5	3.20	1.33
+1.25	1.31	3.27
+1.5	1.27	3.62
+1.75	1.16	4.46
+2	1.09	6.46
+2.25	1.10	7.00
+2.5	1.04	7.27

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.40	2.80
3	1.59	2.32
3.5	1.99	1.76
4	2.58	1.49
4.5	3.08	1.34

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	–	13.0
5.5	1.04	8.05
6.5	1.12	4.93
7.5	1.27	3.24
8.5	1.53	2.36
9.5	1.95	1.80
10.5	2.50	1.48
11.5	3.47	1.25
12.5	5.00	1.12
13.5	7.20	1.05
14.5	11.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.27	3.14
8.25	1.39	2.62
8.75	1.53	2.24
9	1.78	2.05
9.25	1.73	1.94
9.75	1.97	1.73
10	2.14	1.70
10.25	2.25	1.54
10.75	2.60	1.40
11.25	3.04	1.29

Next Serie A matches

6 Nov	Venezia – Udinese
7 Nov	Cagliari – Frosinone
7 Nov	Torino – Lecce
7 Nov	Parma – Bologna
7 Nov	AS Roma – Sassuolo
8 Nov	Napoli – Lazio

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

2 Nov	Atalanta 0-3 Parma
2 Nov	Sassuolo 2-4 Fiorentina
1 Nov	Juventus 2-0 Napoli
1 Nov	Lecce 1-2 Genoa
1 Nov	Frosinone 2-0 Torino
1 Nov	Lazio 2-1 Cagliari