Sassuolo vs Fiorentina• Serie A, Italy

#151.2:3.017:30Tomorrow · Reggio Emilia1.2:2.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.961XBX3.80BFR22.441XBMargin at best1.1%Books10Markets91Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 03:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.94	3.78	2.43	1.6%
Pinnacle	2.90	3.82	2.36	3.0%
Dafabet	2.85	3.70	2.40	3.8%
Marathonbet	2.86	3.68	2.36	4.5%
Bet365	2.88	3.60	2.35	5.1%
Betano	2.77	3.65	2.40	5.2%
Betfair	2.90	3.60	2.30	5.7%
BetVictor	2.75	3.70	2.25	7.8%
William Hill	2.75	3.40	2.30	9.3%
SBO	2.54	3.25	2.32	13.2%
Best of all books	2.94	3.82	2.43	1.3%
Average	2.81	3.62	2.35	5.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SassuoloFiorentina

Last 10#15Table position#170.89Points per game0.561Form pts · last 521.2Goals for · last 51.23.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5040Defence rating6033Form rating6750H2H rating5056Goals model4445Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Sassuolo

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:23 · per match 1.5 for, 2.3 against

27 Oct	H	Lazio	2-6	L
24 Oct	A	Como	0-2	L
16 Oct	A	Frosinone	2-4	L
11 Oct	H	AC Milan	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Monza	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Juventus	3-2	W
6 Sep	A	Bologna	2-2	D
2 Sep	H	Frosinone	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Torino	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Atalanta	1-2	L

Fiorentina

2W 2D 6L · goals 14:21 · per match 1.4 for, 2.1 against

29 Oct	H	Atalanta	2-2	D
25 Oct	A	Inter	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Como	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Genoa	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Napoli	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Pisa	3-0	W
11 Sep	A	Venezia	4-2	W
5 Sep	H	Torino	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Frosinone	0-3	L
24 Aug	A	AS Roma	0-4	L

Head to head

8Sassuolo wins

7draws

9Fiorentina wins

24 meetings · goals 34:40 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Sassuolo

26 Apr 2026Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina0-0Sassuolo
6 Dec 2025Serie A	Serie A	Sassuolo3-1Fiorentina
28 Apr 2024Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina5-1Sassuolo
6 Jan 2024Serie A	Serie A	Sassuolo1-0Fiorentina
2 Jun 2023Serie A	Serie A	Sassuolo1-3Fiorentina
7 Jan 2023Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina2-1Sassuolo
26 Feb 2022Serie A	Serie A	Sassuolo2-1Fiorentina
19 Dec 2021Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina2-2Sassuolo
17 Apr 2021Serie A	Serie A	Sassuolo3-1Fiorentina
16 Dec 2020Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina1-1Sassuolo

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 00:40 UTC

In the Serie A table, Sassuolo sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, while Fiorentina are 17th with 5 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	+15	25
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	26:13	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	28:10	+18	24
4	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21:12	+9	21
5	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	+9	20
6	Frosinone	9	5	2	2	22:14	+8	17
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	+6	14
8	Bologna	10	4	2	4	14:13	+1	14
9	Juventus	9	4	2	3	11:10	+1	14
10	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
11	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16:17	-1	11
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10:19	-9	9
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
16	Monza	10	2	1	7	17:24	-7	7
17	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11:21	-10	5
18	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	11:23	-12	5
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.81X26%3.61240%2.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.57	2.51	3.5%
Betano	1.60	2.42	3.8%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.42	5.0%
1xBet	1.56	2.41	5.6%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.51	2.3%
Average	1.56	2.41	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Betano	1.47	2.55	7.2%
1xBet	1.46	2.56	7.6%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.52	8.2%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Best of all books	1.50	2.80	2.4%
Average	1.45	2.59	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sassuolo 10%Draw 45%Fiorentina 45%

The statistical model rates Sassuolo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fiorentina at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.81 | 3.61 | 2.34, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Sassuolo are 15th (8 pts, 14-22 goals), Fiorentina 17th (5 pts, 11-21).

Over their last five matches, Sassuolo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Fiorentina averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Fiorentina and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.81	3.62	2.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.58	1.42	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.08	1.70

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.59

1st half

1	X	2
3.24	2.34	2.82

2nd half

1	X	2
2.94	2.67	2.59

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.45	13.3	22.4
HT X	6.88	6.11	5.96
HT 2	24.7	13.1	3.66

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.03	17.0	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.3
1.5	1.16	4.93
2.5	1.56	2.41
3.5	2.37	1.58
4.5	4.17	1.21
5.5	7.60	1.07
6.5	12.4	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.25	1.07	6.58
1.75	1.19	4.35
2	1.23	3.92
2.25	1.40	2.88
2.75	1.69	2.18
3	1.89	1.91
3.25	2.12	1.70
3.75	2.69	1.43
4	3.31	1.31
4.25	3.63	1.23
4.75	4.85	1.13
5	6.62	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.78	1.43
-0.25	2.42	1.54
0	2.13	1.73
+0.25	1.81	2.03
+0.5	1.61	2.31
+0.75	1.45	2.68

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.4	1.02
-2	9.80	1.02
-1.75	6.87	1.07
-1.5	5.61	1.12
-1.25	5.04	1.14
-1	4.67	1.18
-0.75	3.39	1.30
+1	1.29	3.45
+1.25	1.24	3.82
+1.5	1.19	4.25
+1.75	1.12	5.33
+2	1.05	7.60
+2.5	1.03	8.75

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.8
1.5	1.12	5.70
2.5	1.33	3.15
3.5	1.74	2.04
4.5	2.29	1.58
5.5	3.55	1.27
6.5	5.40	1.13
7.5	7.80	1.06
8.5	10.3	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.33	3.14
4	1.93	1.87
5	3.10	1.34

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	12.0
4.5	1.02	10.1
5.5	1.07	6.20
6.5	1.18	4.02
7.5	1.36	2.80
8.5	1.69	2.07
9.5	2.13	1.65
10.5	2.79	1.39
11.5	3.91	1.20
12.5	5.43	1.10
13.5	7.46	1.04
14.5	11.5	1.02
15.5	12.0	1.02
16.5	13.5	1.01
17.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.07	4.89
7	1.19	3.40
7.75	1.35	2.74
8	1.44	2.53
8.25	1.50	2.30
8.75	1.67	2.00
9	1.93	1.87
9.25	1.91	1.76
9.75	2.18	1.57
10	2.35	1.52
10.25	2.55	1.41
10.75	2.96	1.31
11	3.00	1.25
11.25	3.50	1.22
12	4.02	1.13
13	5.22	1.06

Next Serie A matches

1 Nov	Como – Venezia
1 Nov	Frosinone – Torino
1 Nov	Lazio – Cagliari
1 Nov	Lecce – Genoa
1 Nov	Juventus – Napoli
2 Nov	Atalanta – Parma

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	AC Milan 3-1 Inter
31 Oct	Udinese 2-5 AS Roma
31 Oct	Bologna 2-1 Monza
29 Oct	Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta
29 Oct	Frosinone 5-1 Lecce
28 Oct	Genoa 2-0 Juventus