Lecce vs Genoa• Serie A, Italy

#141.0:2.417:00Today · Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce1.2:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60BFRX3.141XB22.391XBMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets89Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.58	3.14	2.39	1.6%
Pinnacle	3.54	3.08	2.36	3.1%
Dafabet	3.40	3.05	2.39	4.0%
Betfair	3.60	3.00	2.30	4.6%
Marathonbet	3.48	3.05	2.32	4.6%
Betano	3.30	3.05	2.37	5.3%
Bet365	3.40	3.00	2.35	5.3%
BetVictor	3.30	3.13	2.30	5.7%
William Hill	3.25	3.00	2.25	8.5%
SBO	2.86	2.81	2.34	13.3%
Best of all books	3.60	3.14	2.39	1.5%
Average	3.37	3.03	2.34	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LecceGenoa

Last 10#14Table position#131.00Points per game1.113Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 51.045Attack rating5529Defence rating7125Form rating7538H2H rating6266Goals model3441Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 20:40 UTC

Lecce

3W 0D 7L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

29 Oct	A	Frosinone	1-5	L
25 Oct	H	Juventus	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Udinese	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Bologna	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	AC Milan	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Monza	3-2	W
7 Sep	A	Cagliari	0-1	L
31 Aug	H	AS Roma	0-4	L
23 Aug	A	Venezia	2-0	W
17 Aug	A	Palermo	0-2	L

Genoa

4W 1D 5L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

28 Oct	H	Juventus	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Venezia	1-0	W
17 Oct	A	AS Roma	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Fiorentina	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Rapid	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Parma	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Sudtirol	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Frosinone	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Como	1-4	L
30 Aug	A	Lazio	0-1	L

Head to head

2Lecce wins

5draws

7Genoa wins

14 meetings · goals 14:24 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Lecce

24 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Lecce1-0Genoa
23 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Genoa0-0Lecce
14 Mar 2025Serie A	Serie A	Genoa2-1Lecce
5 Jan 2025Serie A	Serie A	Lecce0-0Genoa
28 Jan 2024Serie A	Serie A	Genoa2-1Lecce
22 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Lecce1-0Genoa
19 Jul 2020Serie A	Serie A	Genoa2-1Lecce
8 Dec 2019Serie A	Serie A	Lecce2-2Genoa
11 Aug 2018Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Genoa4-0Lecce
12 Aug 2016Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Genoa3-2Lecce

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 00:40 UTC

In the Serie A table, Lecce sit 14th with 9 points from 9 games, while Genoa are 13th with 10 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	+15	25
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	26:13	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	28:10	+18	24
4	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21:12	+9	21
5	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	+9	20
6	Frosinone	9	5	2	2	22:14	+8	17
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	+6	14
8	Bologna	10	4	2	4	14:13	+1	14
9	Juventus	9	4	2	3	11:10	+1	14
10	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
11	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16:17	-1	11
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10:19	-9	9
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
16	Monza	10	2	1	7	17:24	-7	7
17	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11:21	-10	5
18	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	11:23	-12	5
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.37X31%3.03241%2.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.72 → 3.37 +23.9%X3.10 → 3.03 -2.3%22.69 → 2.34 -13.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.50	1.62	1.7%
Betano	2.42	1.60	3.8%
Pinnacle	2.44	1.58	4.3%
Marathonbet	2.42	1.57	5.0%
Bet365	2.38	1.57	5.7%
Betfair	2.45	1.53	6.2%
BetVictor	2.25	1.55	9.0%
Best of all books	2.50	1.62	1.7%
Average	2.41	1.57	5.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.98	1.78	6.7%
William Hill	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Betfair	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	2.00	1.75	7.1%
1xBet	1.99	1.75	7.4%
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.99	1.73	8.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.97	1.77	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lecce 10%Draw 45%Genoa 45%

The statistical model rates Lecce at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Genoa at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.37 | 3.03 | 2.34, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Lecce are 14th (9 pts, 10-19 goals), Genoa 13th (10 pts, 8-13).

Over their last five matches, Lecce averaged 1 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Genoa averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Genoa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.37	3.03	2.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.59	1.31	1.36

Draw no bet

1	2
2.25	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
4.01	1.95	3.00

2nd half

1	X	2
3.56	2.23	2.70

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.59	14.6	31.1
HT X	7.04	4.26	5.30
HT 2	40.9	14.5	3.76

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	6.75	1.87

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	7.24
1.5	1.44	2.69
2.5	2.41	1.57
3.5	4.63	1.19
4.5	9.53	1.04
5.5	15.0	1.02
6.5	31.3	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.96
1	1.12	5.35
1.25	1.28	3.39
1.75	1.57	2.35
2	1.78	2.03
2.25	2.09	1.74
2.75	2.79	1.42
3	3.61	1.28
3.25	4.03	1.21
3.75	5.53	1.10
4	8.13	1.04
4.25	8.27	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.31	1.33
-0.25	2.85	1.41
0	2.37	1.59
+0.25	1.87	1.96
+0.5	1.61	2.30
+0.75	1.43	2.74

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	7.69	1.06
-1.25	7.21	1.07
-1	6.24	1.11
-0.75	4.32	1.20
+1	1.26	3.79
+1.25	1.20	4.26
+1.5	1.16	4.70
+1.75	1.09	6.07
+2	1.03	9.23
+2.5	1.03	11.1

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.8
1.5	1.12	5.70
2.5	1.33	3.18
3.5	1.81	1.93
4.5	2.59	1.47
5.5	3.55	1.27
6.5	5.40	1.13
7.5	7.80	1.06
8.5	10.3	1.03

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.47	2.67
4	2.28	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.01	15.0
3.5	1.02	11.5
4.5	1.04	7.82
5.5	1.10	5.34
6.5	1.23	3.51
7.5	1.47	2.49
8.5	1.85	1.90
9.5	2.37	1.52
10.5	3.25	1.28
11.5	4.62	1.14
12.5	6.34	1.07
13.5	8.55	1.03
14.5	13.9	1.02
15.5	12.5	1.01
16.5	15.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.92
6	1.10	4.32
6.75	1.23	3.42
7	1.25	2.97
7.25	1.35	2.79
7.75	1.49	2.36
8	1.58	2.27
8.25	1.69	2.04
8.75	1.94	1.81
9	2.03	1.73
9.25	2.20	1.58
9.75	2.53	1.42
10	2.63	1.37
10.25	2.97	1.30
11	3.45	1.18
12	4.62	1.09
13	5.80	1.04

Next Serie A matches

1 Nov	Como – Venezia
1 Nov	Frosinone – Torino
1 Nov	Lazio – Cagliari
1 Nov	Juventus – Napoli
2 Nov	Sassuolo – Fiorentina
2 Nov	Atalanta – Parma

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	AC Milan 3-1 Inter
31 Oct	Udinese 2-5 AS Roma
31 Oct	Bologna 2-1 Monza
29 Oct	Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta
29 Oct	Frosinone 5-1 Lecce
28 Oct	Genoa 2-0 Juventus