Atalanta vs Parma• Serie A, Italy

#122.2:2.419:45Tomorrow · New Balance Arena, Bergamo0.6:1.8#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.55BTNX4.681XB26.851XBMargin at best0.5%Books10Markets102Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.52	4.68	6.85	1.8%
Pinnacle	1.52	4.65	6.21	3.4%
Dafabet	1.53	4.60	5.80	4.3%
Marathonbet	1.48	4.55	6.65	4.6%
Bet365	1.50	4.50	6.25	4.9%
Betfair	1.50	4.60	6.00	5.1%
Betano	1.53	4.45	5.70	5.4%
BetVictor	1.50	4.40	6.00	6.1%
William Hill	1.44	4.20	6.00	9.9%
SBO	1.45	4.03	5.32	12.6%
Best of all books	1.53	4.68	6.85	1.3%
Average	1.50	4.47	6.08	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AtalantaParma

Last 10#12Table position#181.22Points per game0.565Form pts · last 542.2Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 51.879Attack rating2143Defence rating5756Form rating4450H2H rating5086Goals model1462Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 00:02 UTC

Atalanta

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

29 Oct	A	Fiorentina	2-2	D
25 Oct	H	Frosinone	4-4	D
22 Oct	A	Ajax	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	AC Milan	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Pafos	3-1	W
12 Oct	H	Venezia	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Juventus	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Cagliari	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	AS Roma	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Bologna	1-0	W

Parma

1W 2D 7L · goals 5:17 · per match 0.5 for, 1.7 against

28 Oct	H	Udinese	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Lazio	1-2	L
19 Oct	H	Torino	0-3	L
10 Oct	A	Inter	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Genoa	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Como	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Monza	1-1	D
1 Sep	H	Cremonese	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Juventus	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Cagliari	0-1	L

Head to head

11Atalanta wins

3draws

5Parma wins

19 meetings · goals 41:26 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Atalanta

25 Jan 2026Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta4-0Parma
30 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Parma1-1Atalanta
25 May 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta2-3Parma
23 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Parma1-3Atalanta
4 Aug 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Parma4-1Atalanta
9 May 2021Serie A	Serie A	Parma2-5Atalanta
6 Jan 2021Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta3-0Parma
28 Jul 2020Serie A	Serie A	Parma1-2Atalanta
6 Jan 2020Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta5-0Parma
31 Mar 2019Serie A	Serie A	Parma1-3Atalanta

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 1 Nov 00:40 UTC

In the Serie A table, Atalanta sit 12th with 11 points from 9 games, while Parma are 18th with 5 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	+15	25
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	26:13	+13	25
3	AS Roma	10	7	3	0	28:10	+18	24
4	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21:12	+9	21
5	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	+9	20
6	Frosinone	9	5	2	2	22:14	+8	17
7	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	+6	14
8	Bologna	10	4	2	4	14:13	+1	14
9	Juventus	9	4	2	3	11:10	+1	14
10	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
11	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13
12	Atalanta	9	3	2	4	16:17	-1	11
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Lecce	9	3	0	6	10:19	-9	9
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
16	Monza	10	2	1	7	17:24	-7	7
17	Fiorentina	9	1	2	6	11:21	-10	5
18	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	11:23	-12	5
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.50X21%4.45216%6.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.47 → 1.50 +2.0%X4.49 → 4.45 -0.9%26.48 → 6.05 -6.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.73	2.29	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.65	2.32	3.7%
Betano	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.22	4.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.73	2.32	0.9%
Average	1.65	2.27	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
1xBet	1.79	1.94	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.92	7.9%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.79	2.05	4.6%
Average	1.75	1.99	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atalanta 45%Draw 45%Parma 10%

The statistical model rates Atalanta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Parma at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 4.45 | 6.05, which imply roughly 66.7% for a Atalanta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atalanta are 12th (11 pts, 16-17 goals), Parma 18th (5 pts, 5-15).

Over their last five matches, Atalanta averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Parma averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Atalanta.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.50	4.47	6.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.55	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.57

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.75	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
1.97	2.43	5.86

2nd half

1	X	2
1.79	2.83	5.28

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.15	16.2	46.9
HT X	4.40	6.91	12.5
HT 2	21.4	17.7	10.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	15.1	3.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.2
1.5	1.20	4.43
2.5	1.65	2.27
3.5	2.58	1.49
4.5	4.57	1.18
5.5	8.58	1.05
6.5	13.9	1.02
7.5	22.8	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.2
1.25	1.10	5.63
1.75	1.24	3.82
2	1.31	3.40
2.25	1.47	2.62
2.75	1.82	2.01
3	2.04	1.78
3.25	2.29	1.61
3.75	2.98	1.36
4	3.71	1.23
4.25	4.11	1.18
4.75	5.45	1.10
5	7.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.72	1.44
-1.5	2.34	1.60
-1.25	2.07	1.76
-1	1.80	2.02
-0.75	1.59	2.33
-0.5	1.50	2.58

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.68	1.04
-3.25	6.94	1.07
-3	6.59	1.08
-2.75	5.07	1.14
-2.5	4.16	1.20
-2.25	3.79	1.25
-2	3.47	1.30
-0.25	1.31	3.23
0	1.16	4.67
+0.25	1.14	4.94
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.04	7.75
+1.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.75
1.5	1.21	4.15
2.5	1.61	2.24
3.5	2.38	1.56
4.5	3.35	1.29
5.5	5.20	1.14
6.5	7.90	1.06
7.5	10.8	1.03
8.5	12.5	1.01

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.26	3.63
3	1.95	1.86
4	3.52	1.27

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	13.0
4.5	1.02	11.8
5.5	1.05	7.24
6.5	1.13	4.84
7.5	1.27	3.24
8.5	1.50	2.39
9.5	1.88	1.86
10.5	2.39	1.51
11.5	3.15	1.28
12.5	4.39	1.15
13.5	6.09	1.08
14.5	8.50	1.05
15.5	11.6	1.02
16.5	12.0	1.02
17.5	14.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.49
7	1.13	3.95
7.75	1.28	3.08
8	1.31	2.88
8.25	1.41	2.56
8.75	1.57	2.22
9	1.64	2.15
9.25	1.79	1.96
9.75	1.99	1.71
10	2.13	1.65
10.25	2.27	1.53
10.75	2.63	1.39
11	2.67	1.36
11.25	3.08	1.28
12	3.45	1.18
13	4.55	1.09
14	5.55	1.05

Next Serie A matches

1 Nov	Como – Venezia
1 Nov	Frosinone – Torino
1 Nov	Lazio – Cagliari
1 Nov	Lecce – Genoa
1 Nov	Juventus – Napoli
2 Nov	Sassuolo – Fiorentina

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

31 Oct	AC Milan 3-1 Inter
31 Oct	Udinese 2-5 AS Roma
31 Oct	Bologna 2-1 Monza
29 Oct	Fiorentina 2-2 Atalanta
29 Oct	Frosinone 5-1 Lecce
28 Oct	Genoa 2-0 Juventus