Frosinone vs Lecce• Serie A, Italy

#72.2:2.017:30Today · PSC Arena, Frosinone1.4:1.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.741XBX4.33BVC25.00B365Margin at best0.6%Books10Markets101Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.72	4.37	4.88	1.5%
Betano	1.70	4.15	5.10	2.5%
Pinnacle	1.66	4.33	4.91	3.7%
Dafabet	1.69	4.30	4.60	4.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	4.25	4.75	4.5%
Betfair	1.67	4.20	4.75	4.7%
Bet365	1.65	4.00	5.00	5.6%
BetVictor	1.65	4.33	4.50	5.9%
William Hill	1.67	4.00	4.40	7.6%
SBO	1.65	3.78	3.85	13.0%
Best of all books	1.72	4.37	5.10	0.6%
Average	1.67	4.17	4.67	5.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FrosinoneLecce

Last 10#7Table position#141.75Points per game1.1310Form pts · last 562.2Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.861Attack rating3947Defence rating5357Form rating4315H2H rating8558Goals model4243Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:00 UTC

Frosinone

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:15 · per match 2.0 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	A	Atalanta	4-4	D
16 Oct	H	Sassuolo	4-2	W
10 Oct	A	Napoli	0-3	L
2 Oct	H	Benevento	2-1	W
20 Sep	H	Como	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Genoa	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Venezia	3-2	W
2 Sep	A	Sassuolo	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Fiorentina	3-0	W
23 Aug	H	Juventus	0-1	L

Lecce

4W 0D 6L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

25 Oct	H	Juventus	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	Udinese	3-0	W
11 Oct	H	Bologna	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	AC Milan	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Monza	3-2	W
7 Sep	A	Cagliari	0-1	L
31 Aug	H	AS Roma	0-4	L
23 Aug	A	Venezia	2-0	W
17 Aug	A	Palermo	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	SS Monopoli	1-0	W

Head to head

0Frosinone wins

3draws

3Lecce wins

6 meetings · goals 4:9 · last 6: 0W 3D 3L for Frosinone

3 Mar 2024Serie A	Serie A	Frosinone1-1Lecce
16 Dec 2023Serie A	Serie A	Lecce2-1Frosinone
2 Apr 2022Serie B	Serie B	Lecce1-0Frosinone
20 Nov 2021Serie B	Serie B	Frosinone0-0Lecce
20 Mar 2021Serie B	Serie B	Frosinone0-3Lecce
12 Dec 2020Serie B	Serie B	Lecce2-2Frosinone

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 28 Oct 23:50 UTC

In the Serie A table, Frosinone sit 7th with 14 points from 8 games, while Lecce are 14th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	25:10	+15	25
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	+15	25
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	+15	21
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	+9	20
5	AC Milan	9	5	3	1	18:11	+7	18
6	Napoli	9	4	2	3	17:11	+6	14
7	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	17:13	+4	14
8	Juventus	9	4	2	3	11:10	+1	14
9	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12:12	0	11
12	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14:15	-1	10
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10
14	Lecce	8	3	0	5	9:14	-5	9
15	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
16	Monza	9	2	1	6	16:22	-6	7
17	Udinese	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5
18	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
19	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.68X23%4.13220%4.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.88 → 1.68 -10.6%X3.75 → 4.13 +10.1%23.82 → 4.67 +22.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	3.07	4.0%
Betano	1.45	2.85	4.1%
Bet365	1.40	3.00	4.8%
1xBet	1.43	2.82	5.4%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
BetVictor	1.40	2.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.73	9.1%
Best of all books	1.45	3.07	1.5%
Average	1.41	2.86	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.44	2.67	6.9%
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.43	2.66	7.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.43	2.62	8.1%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Best of all books	1.44	2.80	5.2%
Average	1.43	2.67	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Frosinone 10%Draw 45%Lecce 45%

The statistical model rates Frosinone at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lecce at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 4.13 | 4.67, which imply roughly 24.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Frosinone are 7th (14 pts, 17-13 goals), Lecce 14th (9 pts, 9-14).

Over their last five matches, Frosinone averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lecce averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lecce.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	4.17	4.67

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	2.21	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.43	2.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.11	2.51	4.48

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.94	4.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.40	13.8	35.3
HT X	4.85	7.17	10.8
HT 2	18.7	14.9	7.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	20.8	2.51

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.2
1.5	1.10	6.20
2.5	1.41	2.86
3.5	2.04	1.80
4.5	3.33	1.32
5.5	6.00	1.11
6.5	9.99	1.04
7.5	14.9	1.02
8.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.95
1.75	1.10	5.45
2	1.13	5.03
2.25	1.27	3.49
2.75	1.49	2.56
3	1.62	2.29
3.25	1.83	1.99
3.75	2.26	1.62
4	2.70	1.46
4.25	2.93	1.38
4.75	3.89	1.21
5	5.10	1.13
5.25	5.35	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.63	1.48
-1.25	2.33	1.60
-1	2.07	1.77
-0.75	1.80	2.01
-0.5	1.64	2.26
-0.25	1.45	2.66

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.0	1.02
-3	8.20	1.04
-2.75	5.75	1.11
-2.5	4.67	1.16
-2.25	4.19	1.20
-2	3.83	1.24
-1.75	3.07	1.36
0	1.27	3.56
+0.25	1.22	4.02
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.10	5.82
+1	1.02	8.80
+1.5	1.04	10.1

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.0
1.5	1.11	5.80
2.5	1.33	3.15
3.5	1.67	2.19
4.5	2.27	1.59
5.5	3.60	1.26
6.5	5.40	1.13
7.5	7.90	1.06
8.5	10.5	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.31	3.28
4	1.88	1.93
5	2.95	1.37

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	14.3
5.5	1.04	9.38
6.5	1.08	5.88
7.5	1.19	3.91
8.5	1.36	2.81
9.5	1.64	2.13
10.5	2.07	1.68
11.5	2.64	1.42
12.5	3.55	1.23
13.5	4.85	1.12
14.5	6.67	1.06
15.5	9.50	1.03
16.5	11.0	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.09	4.55
8	1.21	3.20
8.75	1.37	2.66
9	1.46	2.49
9.25	1.50	2.28
9.75	1.68	1.98
10	1.87	1.93
10.25	1.90	1.76
10.75	2.15	1.58
11	2.34	1.52
11.25	2.50	1.42
11.75	2.86	1.32
12	2.93	1.26
12.25	3.34	1.24
13	3.89	1.14
14	5.02	1.07

Next Serie A matches

29 Oct	Fiorentina – Atalanta
31 Oct	Bologna – Monza
31 Oct	Udinese – AS Roma
31 Oct	AC Milan – Inter

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

28 Oct	Genoa 2-0 Juventus
28 Oct	Monza 1-4 Napoli
28 Oct	Venezia 0-2 Inter
28 Oct	AC Milan 2-4 Bologna
28 Oct	Parma 0-0 Udinese
27 Oct	AS Roma 4-2 Cagliari