Fiorentina vs Atalanta• Serie A, Italy

#191.6:2.019:45Tomorrow · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence2.0:2.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.301XBX3.771XB23.20BFRMargin at best1.3%Books10Markets91Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 20:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.30	3.78	3.17	1.5%
Marathonbet	2.26	3.72	3.12	3.2%
Pinnacle	2.32	3.60	3.08	3.3%
Dafabet	2.25	3.70	3.10	3.7%
Betfair	2.30	3.60	3.00	4.6%
Betano	2.27	3.60	3.00	5.2%
Bet365	2.25	3.60	3.00	5.6%
BetVictor	2.20	3.70	3.00	5.8%
William Hill	2.20	3.50	2.90	8.5%
SBO	2.26	3.18	2.68	13.0%
Best of all books	2.32	3.78	3.17	1.1%
Average	2.26	3.60	3.00	5.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FiorentinaAtalanta

Last 10#19Table position#120.50Points per game1.254Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 52.444Attack rating5655Defence rating4550Form rating5050H2H rating5042Goals model5848Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:00 UTC

Fiorentina

3W 1D 6L · goals 16:20 · per match 1.6 for, 2.0 against

25 Oct	A	Inter	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Como	1-3	L
10 Oct	A	Genoa	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Napoli	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Pisa	3-0	W
11 Sep	A	Venezia	4-2	W
5 Sep	H	Torino	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Frosinone	0-3	L
24 Aug	A	AS Roma	0-4	L
14 Aug	H	Benevento	4-1	W

Atalanta

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	H	Frosinone	4-4	D
22 Oct	A	Ajax	0-2	L
18 Oct	A	AC Milan	2-3	L
15 Oct	H	Pafos	3-1	W
12 Oct	H	Venezia	3-1	W
20 Sep	A	Juventus	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Cagliari	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	AS Roma	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Bologna	1-0	W
27 Aug	A	Hapoel Tel Aviv	1-0	W

Head to head

17Fiorentina wins

9draws

10Atalanta wins

36 meetings · goals 57:49 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Fiorentina

22 May 2026Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina1-1Atalanta
30 Nov 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta2-0Fiorentina
30 Mar 2025Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina1-0Atalanta
15 Sep 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta3-2Fiorentina
2 Jun 2024Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta2-3Fiorentina
24 Apr 2024Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Atalanta4-1Fiorentina
3 Apr 2024Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Fiorentina1-0Atalanta
17 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina3-2Atalanta
17 Apr 2023Serie A	Serie A	Fiorentina1-1Atalanta
2 Oct 2022Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta1-0Fiorentina

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 28 Oct 21:40 UTC

In the Serie A table, Fiorentina sit 19th with 4 points from 8 games, while Atalanta are 12th with 10 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	9	8	1	0	25:10	+15	25
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	+15	25
3	AS Roma	9	6	3	0	23:8	+15	21
4	Como	9	6	2	1	17:8	+9	20
5	AC Milan	9	5	3	1	18:11	+7	18
6	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	17:13	+4	14
7	Juventus	8	4	2	2	11:8	+3	14
8	Torino	9	4	1	4	14:14	0	13
9	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13
10	Napoli	8	3	2	3	13:10	+3	11
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12:12	0	11
12	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14:15	-1	10
13	Lecce	8	3	0	5	9:14	-5	9
14	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8
15	Monza	8	2	1	5	15:18	-3	7
16	Genoa	8	2	1	5	6:13	-7	7
17	Udinese	9	1	2	6	9:18	-9	5
18	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5
19	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4
20	Venezia	9	1	0	8	6:19	-13	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.22X26%3.61231%3.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.24 → 2.22 -0.9%X3.52 → 3.61 +2.6%23.04 → 3.05 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.71	2.32	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.36	3.3%
Betano	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.25	4.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Best of all books	1.71	2.36	0.9%
Average	1.64	2.29	4.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.40	6.2%
Betano	1.52	2.42	7.1%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
1xBet	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.55	2.63	2.5%
Average	1.51	2.42	7.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fiorentina 33%Draw 33%Atalanta 33%

The statistical model rates Fiorentina at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Atalanta at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.22 | 3.61 | 3.05, which imply roughly 45% for a Fiorentina win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Fiorentina are 19th (4 pts, 9-19 goals), Atalanta 12th (10 pts, 14-15).

Over their last five matches, Fiorentina averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Atalanta averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.26	3.60	3.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.65	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.42

1st half

1	X	2
2.71	2.31	3.42

2nd half

1	X	2
2.49	2.65	3.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.48	12.9	26.2
HT X	5.82	5.91	7.24
HT 2	22.5	13.5	4.82

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	15.1	2.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.2
1.5	1.19	4.49
2.5	1.64	2.29
3.5	2.51	1.51
4.5	4.49	1.19
5.5	8.33	1.06
6.5	14.2	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.10	5.94
1.75	1.23	3.96
2	1.28	3.59
2.25	1.46	2.68
2.75	1.79	2.05
3	2.02	1.80
3.25	2.27	1.62
3.75	2.91	1.38
4	3.65	1.24
4.25	4.04	1.19
4.75	5.30	1.10
5	7.21	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.58	1.49
-0.5	2.24	1.65
-0.25	1.95	1.88
0	1.66	2.24
+0.25	1.49	2.59
+0.5	1.39	2.96

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	8.13	1.04
-2	6.88	1.06
-1.75	4.99	1.14
-1.5	4.06	1.21
-1.25	3.64	1.26
-1	3.31	1.33
+0.75	1.27	3.63
+1	1.16	5.09
+1.25	1.13	5.51
+1.5	1.11	5.88
+1.75	1.05	7.50
+2.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.14	5.20
2.5	1.35	3.06
3.5	1.82	1.93
4.5	2.70	1.43
5.5	3.95	1.22
6.5	6.00	1.11
7.5	8.50	1.05
8.5	11.0	1.02

2 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.46	2.66
4	2.31	1.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	12.0
4.5	1.02	10.1
5.5	1.07	6.28
6.5	1.18	3.97
7.5	1.37	2.81
8.5	1.68	2.09
9.5	2.13	1.65
10.5	2.80	1.36
11.5	3.82	1.20
12.5	5.50	1.10
13.5	7.27	1.05
14.5	11.5	1.02
15.5	12.0	1.02
16.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.72
6.75	1.16	4.15
7	1.20	3.27
7.25	1.24	3.32
7.75	1.35	2.76
8	1.45	2.51
8.25	1.50	2.32
8.75	1.68	2.01
9	1.94	1.86
9.25	1.90	1.75
9.75	2.15	1.56
10	2.38	1.50
10.25	2.52	1.41
11	3.12	1.23
12	4.19	1.11
13	5.39	1.05

Next Serie A matches

29 Oct	Frosinone – Lecce
31 Oct	Bologna – Monza
31 Oct	Udinese – AS Roma
31 Oct	AC Milan – Inter

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

28 Oct	Monza 1-4 Napoli
28 Oct	Genoa 2-0 Juventus
28 Oct	Venezia 0-2 Inter
28 Oct	AC Milan 2-4 Bologna
28 Oct	Parma 0-0 Udinese
27 Oct	AS Roma 4-2 Cagliari