Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira• Primera A, Colombia

#11.6:0.623:10Today · Estadio Atanasio Girardot1.2:1.0#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.21BTNX7.97PIN215.4PINMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets91Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.21	7.00	19.0	2.2%
Pinnacle	1.16	7.97	15.4	5.3%
Bet365	1.17	7.00	15.0	6.4%
William Hill	1.17	7.00	13.0	7.4%
Dafabet	1.19	6.60	12.0	7.5%
Betfair	1.14	7.50	14.0	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.15	6.75	14.8	8.6%
1xBet	1.15	6.75	14.7	8.6%
BetVictor	1.14	7.00	15.0	8.7%
SBO	1.20	5.22	8.49	14.3%
Best of all books	1.21	7.97	15.4	1.7%
Average	1.17	6.88	14.1	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pereira

Last 10#1Table position#202.11Points per game0.5310Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating4363Defence rating3856Form rating4429H2H rating7190Goals model1058Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Nov 00:10 UTC

Atletico Nacional

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

3 Nov	A	Bucaramanga	1-1	D
30 Oct	H	Santa Fe	2-0	W
25 Oct	H	Independiente Medellin	2-1	W
23 Oct	H	Deportivo Pasto	3-0	W
20 Oct	A	Cucuta	0-1	L
17 Oct	A	Chico	4-1	W
15 Oct	H	Independiente Medellin	3-2	W
8 Oct	H	Deportes Tolima	0-0	D
1 Oct	H	Junior	3-1	W
26 Sep	H	Chapecoense-sc	1-1	D

Deportivo Pereira

2W 5D 3L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

3 Nov	H	Deportes Tolima	1-3	L
30 Oct	H	Jaguares	1-0	W
25 Oct	A	Once Caldas	1-1	D
20 Oct	H	Chico	2-0	W
14 Oct	A	Junior	1-1	D
10 Oct	H	Deportivo Cali	0-0	D
4 Oct	A	Cucuta	0-4	L
29 Sep	H	Santa Fe	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Internacional de Bogota	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Águilas Doradas	2-2	D

Head to head

10Atletico Nacional wins

4draws

6Deportivo Pereira wins

20 meetings · goals 39:21 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Atletico Nacional

25 Apr 2026Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pereira1-0Atletico Nacional
23 Jul 2025Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pereira2-1Atletico Nacional
10 Feb 2025Primera A	Primera A	Atletico Nacional3-0Deportivo Pereira
8 Nov 2024Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pereira1-1Atletico Nacional
18 Apr 2024Primera A	Primera A	Atletico Nacional0-1Deportivo Pereira
2 Nov 2023Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Atletico Nacional3-1Deportivo Pereira
20 Oct 2023Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Deportivo Pereira2-0Atletico Nacional
3 Sep 2023Primera A	Primera A	Atletico Nacional2-0Deportivo Pereira
18 Mar 2023Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pereira0-2Atletico Nacional
17 Feb 2023Superliga	Superliga	Atletico Nacional4-3Deportivo Pereira

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 7 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional sit 1st with 40 points from 19 games, while Deportivo Pereira are 20th with 10 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg180%1.17X14%6.8827%14.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.14 → 1.17 +2.6%X7.14 → 6.88 -3.6%215.4 → 14.1 -8.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.42	2.84	5.6%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betfair	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betano	1.47	2.57	6.9%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.84	3.2%
Average	1.43	2.65	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.25	1.62	6.2%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.15	1.63	7.9%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.61	8.6%
Best of all books	2.25	1.75	1.6%
Average	2.12	1.66	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atletico Nacional 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Pereira 10%

The statistical model rates Atletico Nacional at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Pereira at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 6.88 | 14.13, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Atletico Nacional win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Atletico Nacional are 1st (40 pts, 35-15 goals), Deportivo Pereira 20th (10 pts, 15-32).

Over their last five matches, Atletico Nacional averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Deportivo Pereira averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Atletico Nacional.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.17	6.88	14.1

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	4.65	1.10

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	10.8

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.12	1.66

1st half

1	X	2
1.54	2.82	9.70

2nd half

1	X	2
1.39	3.52	9.89

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.59	23.0	82.2
HT X	3.95	9.27	25.0
HT 2	20.8	24.0	23.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.19	20.3	4.50

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.6
1.5	1.11	5.65
2.5	1.43	2.65
3.5	2.08	1.70
4.5	3.44	1.27
5.5	6.28	1.10
6.5	11.8	1.04
7.5	21.1	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.0
1.75	1.12	4.70
2	1.15	4.25
2.25	1.29	3.09
2.75	1.52	2.36
3	1.70	2.06
3.25	1.94	1.79
3.75	2.35	1.53
4	2.64	1.42
4.25	3.05	1.30
4.75	3.96	1.17
5	5.15	1.10
5.25	5.40	1.09
6	8.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.65	1.42
-2.5	2.32	1.55
-2.25	2.13	1.65
-2	1.86	1.90
-1.75	1.64	2.14
-1.5	1.52	2.40

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	6.50	1.05
-4.25	6.60	1.11
-4	6.07	1.09
-3.75	5.05	1.13
-3.5	3.93	1.20
-3.25	3.70	1.24
-3	3.39	1.28
-1.25	1.39	2.78
-1	1.24	3.71
-0.75	1.21	3.97
-0.5	1.23	4.00
-0.25	1.09	5.98
0	1.02	11.6

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.83	1.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.79
7.5	1.17	4.24
8.5	1.30	3.11
9.5	1.59	2.23
10.5	1.90	1.79
11.5	2.41	1.49
12.5	3.24	1.29
13.5	4.60	1.11
14.5	6.95	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.01	7.19
8	1.15	4.14
8.75	1.33	2.91
9	1.37	2.73
9.25	1.45	2.48
9.75	1.61	2.14
10	1.83	1.92
10.25	1.82	1.88
10.75	1.99	1.66
11	2.17	1.60
12	2.93	1.32
13	4.24	1.14
14	6.54	1.03

Next Primera A matches

7 Nov	Once Caldas – Águilas Doradas
8 Nov	America de Cali – Deportivo Cali
8 Nov	Santa Fe – Deportivo Pasto
8 Nov	Jaguares – Bucaramanga
8 Nov	Deportes Tolima – Millonarios
9 Nov	Alianza Valledupar – Llaneros

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

6 Nov	Chico 2-1 Internacional de Bogota
5 Nov	Millonarios 0-0 America de Cali
4 Nov	Cucuta 1-0 Santa Fe
3 Nov	Deportivo Pasto 2-0 Jaguares
3 Nov	Deportivo Pereira 1-3 Deportes Tolima
3 Nov	Bucaramanga 1-1 Atletico Nacional