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Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional• Primera A, Colombia

#131.0:1.21-1FTToday · Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga2.2:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30B365X3.38MAR22.24PINMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets78Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 20:05 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle3.183.302.344.5%
Bet3653.203.252.256.5%
Betano3.153.352.207.1%
Dafabet3.153.302.217.3%
1xBet3.023.382.217.9%
Betfair3.103.302.208.0%
BetVictor3.103.302.208.0%
Marathonbet3.003.382.198.6%
William Hill3.003.102.2510.0%
SBO2.913.082.0814.9%
Best of all books3.203.382.343.6%
Average3.083.272.218.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BucaramangaAtletico Nacional
Last 10#13Table position#11.21Points per game2.115Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 52.21.2Goals against · last 50.631Attack rating6933Defence rating6729Form rating7162H2H rating3854Goals model4646Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 31 Oct 04:20 UTC

Bucaramanga

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

31 OctHDeportivo Pasto2-1W
27 OctASanta Fe1-2L
23 OctAChico0-1L
18 OctHAmerica de Cali1-1D
13 OctHÁguilas Doradas1-1D
4 OctHJunior3-1W
26 SepAOnce Caldas3-1W
20 SepHInternacional de Bogota2-0W
18 SepHIndependiente Medellin2-2D
13 SepADeportivo Pereira3-1W

Atletico Nacional

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:8 · per match 1.9 for, 0.8 against

30 OctHSanta Fe2-0W
25 OctHIndependiente Medellin2-1W
23 OctHDeportivo Pasto3-0W
20 OctACucuta0-1L
17 OctAChico4-1W
15 OctHIndependiente Medellin3-2W
8 OctHDeportes Tolima0-0D
1 OctHJunior3-1W
26 SepHChapecoense-sc1-1D
25 SepHMillonarios1-1D

Head to head

6Bucaramanga wins
8draws
10Atletico Nacional wins

24 meetings · goals 25:34 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Bucaramanga

21 Apr 2026Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional2-0Bucaramanga
14 Sep 2025Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional0-3Bucaramanga
29 Mar 2025Primera APrimera ABucaramanga2-0Atletico Nacional
7 Feb 2025SuperligaSuperligaBucaramanga0-0Atletico Nacional
30 Jan 2025SuperligaSuperligaAtletico Nacional1-1Bucaramanga
24 Sep 2024Primera APrimera ABucaramanga1-0Atletico Nacional
10 Mar 2024Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional0-0Bucaramanga
14 Aug 2023Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional2-1Bucaramanga
20 Feb 2023Primera APrimera ABucaramanga1-1Atletico Nacional
28 Aug 2022Primera APrimera AAtletico Nacional3-2Bucaramanga

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 3 Nov 05:20 UTC

In the Primera A table, Bucaramanga sit 13th with 23 points from 19 games, while Atletico Nacional are 1st with 40 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.08X28%3.27242%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

31 Oct 00:012 Nov 05:001 3.10X 3.272 2.19
12.78 → 3.10 +11.5%X3.34 → 3.27 -2.1%22.38 → 2.19 -8.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.961.874.5%
Betfair1.901.905.3%
Bet3651.951.855.3%
SBO1.931.855.9%
Betano1.951.835.9%
1xBet1.881.857.2%
Marathonbet1.881.857.2%
BetVictor1.871.809.0%
Best of all books1.961.903.7%
Average1.921.856.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
1xBet1.702.047.8%
Betano1.722.008.1%
Marathonbet1.702.018.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.722.154.7%
Average1.692.057.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bucaramanga 10%Draw 45%Atletico Nacional 45%

The statistical model rated Bucaramanga at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Nacional at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.08 | 3.27 | 2.22, which imply roughly 30.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Bucaramanga are 13th (23 pts, 26-20 goals), Atletico Nacional 1st (40 pts, 35-15).

Over their last five matches, Bucaramanga averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Atletico Nacional averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Nacional.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bucaramanga

4-3-2-1

Goalkeeper

  • 25Cristopher Fiermarín

Defence

  • 6Nilson Castrillón
  • 24José Ortiz
  • 4José García
  • 23Carlos Romaña

Midfield

  • 22Fabry Castro
  • 21Felix Charrupí
  • 28Leonardo Flores
  • 10Fabián Sambueza
  • 27Luciano Pons

Attack

  • 17Emerson Batalla
Substitutes (8)
  • 19Aldair Gutiérrez
  • 8Freddy Hinestroza
  • 7Kevin Londoño
  • 30Víctor Cantillo
  • 20Aldair Zárate
  • 32Nilzo Ramírez
  • 9Brandon Caicedo
  • 5Adrián Murillo

Atletico Nacional

4-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • 34Franco Armani

Defence

  • 20Milton Casco
  • 15Andres Reyes
  • 16William Tesillo
  • 26Felipe Marin

Midfield

  • 80Juan Zapata
  • 31Xavi Rios
  • 10Edwin Cardona
  • 13Nicolás Rodríguez

Attack

  • 36Jose Rafael Escorcia
  • 29Andrés Sarmiento
Substitutes (9)
  • 25Luis Marquinez
  • 27Yeicar Perlaza
  • 4César Haydar
  • 22Elías Cabrera
  • 19Juan Manuel Rengifo
  • 40Jhoan Quesada
  • 28Simon Rojas
  • 9Alfredo Morelos
  • 32Emanuel Benitez

Match Statistics

BucaramangaAtletico Nacional
4Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots11
1Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox8
3Shots outsidebox3
11Fouls12
7Corner Kicks2
6Offsides5
46%Ball Possession54%
4Yellow Cards5
6Goalkeeper Saves3
298Total passes377
235Passes accurate308
79%Passes %82%
1.27Expected Goals1.45
-0.06Goals Prevented-0.06

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.083.272.21

Double chance

1XX212
1.601.341.29

Draw no bet

12
2.231.60

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.05

1st half

1X2
3.622.142.77

2nd half

1X2
3.292.412.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.0214.024.7
HT X6.985.175.42
HT 230.513.43.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1611.81.78

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.70
1.51.283.40
2.51.921.85
3.53.231.31
4.56.301.09
5.512.31.03
6.523.51.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.78
11.028.30
1.251.134.56
1.751.322.95
21.452.58
2.251.662.11
2.752.131.64
32.571.45
3.252.831.34
3.753.861.19
45.301.09
4.255.651.08
59.401.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.121.36
-0.252.611.44
02.231.61
+0.251.841.91
+0.51.632.23
+0.751.442.61
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-1.758.401.01
-1.56.481.08
-1.255.991.09
-15.481.11
-0.753.771.23
+11.273.43
+1.251.223.90
+1.51.184.26
+1.751.115.52
+21.028.20
+2.51.029.17

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.672.12

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.67
6.51.173.94
7.51.382.74
8.51.692.05
9.52.161.61
10.52.911.34
11.54.111.18
12.56.501.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.38
61.046.08
6.251.114.68
6.751.193.69
71.223.48
7.251.312.96
7.751.452.48
81.522.33
8.251.632.13
8.751.831.87
91.931.81
9.252.081.67
9.752.381.50
102.631.40
10.252.781.35
10.753.301.25
113.841.18
11.254.031.16
11.754.931.09
126.061.04
12.256.281.04

Next Primera A matches

3 NovDeportivo Pereira – Deportes Tolima
3 NovDeportivo Pasto – Jaguares
4 NovCucuta – Santa Fe
5 NovMillonarios – America de Cali
6 NovChico – Internacional de Bogota

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

2 NovÁguilas Doradas 1-0 Fortaleza FC
1 NovIndependiente Medellin 2-1 Alianza Valledupar
1 NovDeportivo Cali 2-0 Chico
31 OctLlaneros 3-2 Junior
31 OctBucaramanga 2-1 Deportivo Pasto
30 OctDeportivo Pereira 1-0 Jaguares