Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar• Primera A, Colombia

#111.0:1.623:1001/11 · Estadio Atanasio Girardot1.4:1.2#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.52PINX4.20BFR26.14PINMargin at best5.9%Books7Markets56Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 08:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.52	4.09	6.14	6.5%
Betano	1.52	4.10	6.00	6.8%
1xBet	1.48	4.15	6.13	8.0%
Dafabet	1.49	4.10	6.00	8.2%
Betfair	1.47	4.20	6.00	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.47	4.15	6.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.50	3.90	6.00	9.0%
Best of all books	1.52	4.20	6.14	5.9%
Average	1.49	4.10	6.05	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Independiente MedellinAlianza Valledupar

Last 10#11Table position#171.37Points per game0.893Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.242Attack rating5843Defence rating5729Form rating7162H2H rating3863Goals model3749Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 09:01 UTC

Independiente Medellin

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

29 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-3	L
25 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	Once Caldas	0-2	L
15 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	2-3	L
12 Oct	A	America de Cali	2-1	W
6 Oct	H	Santa Fe	0-1	L
30 Sep	H	Millonarios	2-2	D
27 Sep	A	Junior	0-2	L
22 Sep	H	Jaguares	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Bucaramanga	2-2	D

Alianza Valledupar

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

28 Oct	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Internacional de Bogota	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	Deportivo Pasto	1-0	W
9 Oct	H	Águilas Doradas	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Deportivo Cali	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Jaguares	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Santa Fe	1-4	L
16 Sep	A	Chico	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Junior	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L

Head to head

10Independiente Medellin wins

6draws

4Alianza Valledupar wins

20 meetings · goals 31:23 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Independiente Medellin

19 Apr 2026Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar0-1Independiente Medellin
13 Jul 2025Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin1-1Alianza Valledupar
27 Jan 2025Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar1-1Independiente Medellin
10 Oct 2024Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin2-0Alianza Valledupar
24 Feb 2024Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar2-0Independiente Medellin
20 Aug 2023Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin2-1Alianza Valledupar
27 Feb 2023Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar0-1Independiente Medellin
1 Oct 2022Primera A	Primera A	Independiente Medellin3-1Alianza Valledupar
11 Apr 2022Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar1-1Independiente Medellin
26 Oct 2021Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar3-0Independiente Medellin

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 29 Oct 05:10 UTC

In the Primera A table, Independiente Medellin sit 11th with 26 points from 19 games, while Alianza Valledupar are 17th with 17 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.49X23%4.10215%6.05

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	1.99	5.5%
Betano	1.83	1.95	5.9%
1xBet	1.79	1.94	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.94	7.4%
Best of all books	1.83	1.99	4.9%
Average	1.80	1.96	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.88	1.82	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Best of all books	1.93	1.85	5.9%
Average	1.89	1.81	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Independiente Medellin 45%Draw 45%Alianza Valledupar 10%

The statistical model rates Independiente Medellin at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alianza Valledupar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 4.10 | 6.05, which imply roughly 67.1% for a Independiente Medellin win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Independiente Medellin are 11th (26 pts, 26-24 goals), Alianza Valledupar 17th (17 pts, 13-27).

Over their last five matches, Independiente Medellin averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Alianza Valledupar averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Independiente Medellin or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.49	4.10	6.05

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.52	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.53

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.88	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
1.98	2.29	5.82

2nd half

1	X	2
1.83	2.65	5.39

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.15	17.6	56.0
HT X	4.08	6.07	12.8
HT 2	24.0	18.1	10.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	13.0	3.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.18
1.5	1.23	3.60
2.5	1.81	1.95
3.5	2.92	1.35
4.5	5.41	1.11
5.5	9.40	1.05
6.5	12.0	1.02

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.30
1	–	9.10
1.25	1.11	4.95
1.75	1.27	3.21
2	1.36	2.85
2.25	1.57	2.25
2.75	1.98	1.75
3	2.34	1.53
3.25	2.61	1.42
3.75	3.51	1.23
4	4.70	1.12
4.25	5.06	1.11
4.75	6.85	1.04
5	8.60	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.81	1.36
-1.5	2.40	1.51
-1.25	2.09	1.64
-1	1.83	1.93
-0.75	1.59	2.17
-0.5	1.51	2.53

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.10	1.02
-3	8.20	1.02
-2.75	5.60	1.08
-2.5	4.43	1.15
-2.25	4.00	1.17
-2	3.69	1.22
-0.25	1.30	3.10
0	1.15	4.60
+0.25	1.10	5.05
+0.75	1.03	7.50
+1.5	1.02	12.0

Next Primera A matches

29 Oct	America de Cali – Fortaleza FC
30 Oct	Atletico Nacional – Santa Fe
30 Oct	Deportivo Pereira – Jaguares
31 Oct	Bucaramanga – Deportivo Pasto
31 Oct	Llaneros – Junior

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

29 Oct	Internacional de Bogota 3-1 Independiente Medellin
28 Oct	Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza Valledupar
28 Oct	Chico 1-1 Junior
27 Oct	Cucuta 0-2 Águilas Doradas
27 Oct	Santa Fe 2-1 Bucaramanga
26 Oct	Jaguares 1-0 Llaneros