Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto• Primera A, Colombia

#131.2:1.201:0531/10 · Estadio Américo Montanini, Bucaramanga0.2:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70WHX3.80B36525.50B365Margin at best3.3%Books9Markets75Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 08:05 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.62	3.80	5.50	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.66	3.59	5.33	6.9%
Dafabet	1.67	3.60	5.20	6.9%
Betano	1.70	3.55	5.00	7.0%
1xBet	1.67	3.55	5.03	7.9%
BetVictor	1.65	3.60	5.00	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.55	5.05	8.6%
William Hill	1.67	3.40	5.00	9.3%
SBO	1.60	3.26	4.29	16.5%
Best of all books	1.70	3.80	5.50	3.3%
Average	1.65	3.54	5.04	8.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto

Last 10#13Table position#31.21Points per game1.795Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.21.2Goals against · last 51.486Attack rating1454Defence rating4656Form rating4462H2H rating3870Goals model3062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:02 UTC

Bucaramanga

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

27 Oct	A	Santa Fe	1-2	L
23 Oct	A	Chico	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	America de Cali	1-1	D
13 Oct	H	Águilas Doradas	1-1	D
4 Oct	H	Junior	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Once Caldas	3-1	W
20 Sep	H	Internacional de Bogota	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	Independiente Medellin	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Deportivo Pereira	3-1	W
31 Aug	A	Deportivo Cali	1-1	D

Deportivo Pasto

3W 2D 5L · goals 7:15 · per match 0.7 for, 1.5 against

26 Oct	A	Deportes Tolima	1-0	W
23 Oct	A	Atletico Nacional	0-3	L
20 Oct	H	Alianza Valledupar	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Fortaleza FC	0-0	D
25 Sep	A	Chico	0-3	L
20 Sep	H	Once Caldas	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	America de Cali	1-0	W
10 Sep	H	Independiente Medellin	1-4	L
5 Sep	A	Cucuta	2-2	D
31 Aug	H	Deportivo Pereira	1-2	L

Head to head

10Bucaramanga wins

6draws

6Deportivo Pasto wins

22 meetings · goals 19:20 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Bucaramanga

6 Feb 2026Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto0-0Bucaramanga
14 Nov 2025Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto3-0Bucaramanga
25 May 2025Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga2-1Deportivo Pasto
24 Oct 2024Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Bucaramanga0-0Deportivo Pasto
18 Oct 2024Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Deportivo Pasto1-2Bucaramanga
24 Aug 2024Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto1-2Bucaramanga
20 Feb 2024Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga1-0Deportivo Pasto
21 Sep 2023Primera A	Primera A	Bucaramanga0-2Deportivo Pasto
13 Apr 2023Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto1-0Bucaramanga
7 Aug 2022Primera A	Primera A	Deportivo Pasto1-0Bucaramanga

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 29 Oct 05:10 UTC

In the Primera A table, Bucaramanga sit 13th with 23 points from 19 games, while Deportivo Pasto are 3rd with 34 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.66X26%3.53218%5.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.66 → 1.66 0.0%X3.48 → 3.53 +1.4%24.96 → 5.02 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.02	1.78	5.7%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.02	1.77	6.0%
1xBet	2.01	1.74	7.2%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.74	7.2%
BetVictor	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.05	1.78	5.0%
Average	2.01	1.75	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.94	1.77	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.75	8.7%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.94	1.77	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bucaramanga 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Pasto 10%

The statistical model rates Bucaramanga at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Pasto at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.53 | 5.02, which imply roughly 60.2% for a Bucaramanga win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Bucaramanga are 13th (23 pts, 26-20 goals), Deportivo Pasto 3rd (34 pts, 29-25).

Over their last five matches, Bucaramanga averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Deportivo Pasto averaged 0.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bucaramanga or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.54	5.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.11	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.12	5.25

2nd half

1	X	2
2.04	2.45	4.83

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.56	15.4	45.3
HT X	4.33	5.18	10.2
HT 2	24.3	16.2	8.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	8.70	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.40
1.5	1.32	3.13
2.5	2.01	1.75
3.5	3.45	1.26
4.5	6.76	1.08
5.5	13.4	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.30
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.17	4.01
1.75	1.39	2.72
2	1.51	2.37
2.25	1.76	1.97
2.75	2.27	1.56
3	2.71	1.36
3.25	3.07	1.29
3.75	4.16	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.83	1.37
-1.25	2.52	1.45
-1	2.21	1.62
-0.75	1.84	1.88
-0.5	1.66	2.16
-0.25	1.43	2.59

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.00	1.04
-2.5	5.63	1.09
-2.25	5.32	1.11
-2	4.88	1.13
-1.75	3.49	1.25
0	1.24	3.64
+0.25	1.18	4.19
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.08	6.12
+1	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.09	4.93
6.5	1.29	3.13
7.5	1.57	2.22
8.5	2.01	1.73
9.5	2.66	1.40
10.5	3.77	1.20
11.5	5.79	1.05

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.11	4.68
6	1.12	4.42
6.25	1.21	3.58
6.75	1.33	2.89
7	1.37	2.71
7.25	1.48	2.40
7.75	1.67	2.07
8	1.80	1.96
8.25	1.89	1.81
8.75	2.16	1.61
9	2.36	1.50
9.25	2.51	1.44
9.75	2.96	1.31
10	3.40	1.23
10.25	3.59	1.20
10.75	4.38	1.13
11	5.35	1.07
11.25	5.57	1.06

Next Primera A matches

29 Oct	America de Cali – Fortaleza FC
30 Oct	Atletico Nacional – Santa Fe
30 Oct	Deportivo Pereira – Jaguares
31 Oct	Llaneros – Junior
1 Nov	Independiente Medellin – Alianza Valledupar

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

29 Oct	Internacional de Bogota 3-1 Independiente Medellin
28 Oct	Once Caldas 1-0 Alianza Valledupar
28 Oct	Chico 1-1 Junior
27 Oct	Cucuta 0-2 Águilas Doradas
27 Oct	Santa Fe 2-1 Bucaramanga
26 Oct	Jaguares 1-0 Llaneros