Jaguares vs Llaneros• Primera A, Colombia

#161.2:2.423:00Today · Estadio Jaraguay, Monteria0.6:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.69PINX3.30BFR22.60BTNMargin at best5.9%Books10Markets77Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 02:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.72	3.31	2.61	5.3%
Bet365	2.62	3.30	2.62	6.6%
Dafabet	2.60	3.25	2.65	7.0%
Betano	2.65	3.20	2.62	7.2%
Betfair	2.63	3.30	2.55	7.5%
BetVictor	2.55	3.25	2.60	8.4%
1xBet	2.55	3.24	2.59	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.55	3.24	2.59	8.7%
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.50	10.4%
SBO	2.40	2.91	2.43	17.2%
Best of all books	2.72	3.31	2.65	4.7%
Average	2.59	3.21	2.58	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JaguaresLlaneros

Last 10#16Table position#140.95Points per game1.163Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 50.62.4Goals against · last 51.667Attack rating3340Defence rating6050Form rating5050H2H rating5051Goals model4951Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:10 UTC

Jaguares

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

22 Oct	A	Santa Fe	1-2	L
17 Oct	A	Millonarios	1-4	L
11 Oct	H	Deportes Tolima	3-2	W
3 Oct	A	Águilas Doradas	0-2	L
27 Sep	H	Alianza Valledupar	1-2	L
22 Sep	A	Independiente Medellin	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Fortaleza FC	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Junior	3-3	D
29 Aug	H	America de Cali	2-2	D
21 Aug	H	Chico	1-0	W

Llaneros

2W 1D 7L · goals 10:18 · per match 1.0 for, 1.8 against

21 Oct	H	Deportivo Cali	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Santa Fe	1-0	W
15 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-4	L
10 Oct	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
5 Oct	H	America de Cali	1-2	L
26 Sep	A	Cucuta	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	Atletico Nacional	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Internacional de Bogota	2-3	L
7 Sep	H	Deportes Tolima	1-2	L
2 Sep	A	Quindio	1-1	D

Head to head

1Jaguares wins

3draws

1Llaneros wins

5 meetings · goals 5:6 · last 5: 1W 3D 1L for Jaguares

9 Mar 2026Primera A	Primera A	Llaneros2-0Jaguares
24 Apr 2024Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Jaguares1-1Llaneros
10 Apr 2024Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Llaneros2-2Jaguares
30 Mar 2023Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Jaguares1-0Llaneros
15 Mar 2023Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Llaneros1-1Jaguares

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 26 Oct 05:40 UTC

In the Primera A table, Jaguares sit 16th with 18 points from 19 games, while Llaneros are 14th with 22 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.62X29%3.24236%2.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.60 → 2.62 +0.8%X3.24 → 3.24 0.0%22.60 → 2.57 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.01	1.81	5.0%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.98	1.80	6.1%
SBO	1.98	1.78	6.7%
1xBet	1.97	1.77	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.77	7.3%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.01	1.81	5.0%
Average	1.98	1.78	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.74	1.98	8.0%
Betano	1.72	2.00	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.95	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.74	1.99	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Jaguares 35%Draw 35%Llaneros 30%

The statistical model rates Jaguares at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Llaneros at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.24 | 2.57, which imply roughly 38.2% for a Jaguares win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Jaguares are 16th (18 pts, 20-33 goals), Llaneros 14th (22 pts, 17-20).

Over their last five matches, Jaguares averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Llaneros averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Jaguares or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	3.21	2.58

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.44	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
3.15	2.08	3.18

2nd half

1	X	2
2.88	2.38	2.91

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.24	13.3	28.0
HT X	6.02	4.92	6.05
HT 2	28.0	13.5	4.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	9.15	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.92
1.5	1.29	3.29
2.5	1.98	1.79
3.5	3.41	1.28
4.5	6.82	1.08
5.5	13.1	1.02
6.5	23.5	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.15	4.26
1.75	1.36	2.76
2	1.49	2.45
2.25	1.73	2.01
2.75	2.22	1.59
3	2.70	1.40
3.25	2.99	1.31
3.75	4.16	1.16
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06
5	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.15	1.32
-0.5	2.60	1.48
-0.25	2.22	1.60
0	1.88	1.87
+0.25	1.60	2.21
+0.5	1.48	2.57

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.03
-2	9.80	1.01
-1.75	6.80	1.04
-1.5	5.32	1.12
-1.25	4.81	1.14
-1	4.41	1.17
+0.75	1.32	3.15
+1	1.17	4.37
+1.25	1.13	4.87
+1.5	1.12	5.40
+1.75	1.04	7.00
+2	1.01	9.90
+2.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
6.5	2.05	1.72

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.08	5.19
7.5	1.26	3.34
8.5	1.49	2.39
9.5	1.85	1.85
10.5	2.39	1.50
11.5	3.21	1.28
12.5	4.60	1.11
13.5	7.08	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.09	4.94
7	1.11	4.70
7.25	1.18	3.82
7.75	1.28	3.12
8	1.32	2.94
8.25	1.41	2.59
8.75	1.57	2.23
9	1.65	2.10
9.25	1.76	1.95
9.75	1.97	1.74
10	2.12	1.64
10.25	2.24	1.56
10.75	2.58	1.42
11	2.88	1.33
11.25	3.04	1.30
11.75	3.60	1.20
12	4.22	1.14
12.25	4.41	1.13
12.75	5.39	1.07
13	6.64	1.03
13.25	6.86	1.02

Next Primera A matches

27 Oct	Santa Fe – Bucaramanga
27 Oct	Cucuta – Águilas Doradas
28 Oct	Chico – Junior
28 Oct	Once Caldas – Alianza Valledupar
29 Oct	Internacional de Bogota – Independiente Medellin
29 Oct	America de Cali – Fortaleza FC

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

26 Oct	Deportes Tolima 0-1 Deportivo Pasto
25 Oct	Atletico Nacional 2-1 Independiente Medellin
25 Oct	Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Internacional de Bogota
25 Oct	Fortaleza FC 1-1 Deportivo Cali
25 Oct	Once Caldas 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
24 Oct	America de Cali 3-1 Cucuta