Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar• Primera A, Colombia

#51.2:0.623:0028/10 · Estadio Palogrande, Manizales1.4:2.0#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57AVGX3.61AVG26.12AVGMargin7.7%Books5Markets52Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Aug 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.57	3.75	6.25	6.4%
1xBet	1.57	3.64	6.16	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.55	3.66	6.20	8.0%
888Sport	1.57	3.50	6.00	8.9%
William Hill	1.57	3.50	6.00	8.9%
Best of all books	1.57	3.75	6.25	6.4%
Average	1.57	3.61	6.12	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Once CaldasAlianza Valledupar

Last 10#5Table position#171.74Points per game0.899Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 52.046Attack rating5477Defence rating2356Form rating4438H2H rating6268Goals model3255Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

Once Caldas

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

25 Oct	H	Deportivo Pereira	1-1	D
21 Oct	A	Millonarios	1-1	D
18 Oct	A	Independiente Medellin	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Llaneros	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Internacional de Bogota	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Bucaramanga	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Deportivo Pasto	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Deportes Tolima	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Deportivo Cali	1-2	L
10 Sep	H	Alianza Valledupar	1-0	W

Alianza Valledupar

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

25 Oct	H	Internacional de Bogota	1-0	W
20 Oct	A	Deportivo Pasto	1-0	W
9 Oct	H	Águilas Doradas	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Deportivo Cali	1-3	L
27 Sep	A	Jaguares	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Santa Fe	1-4	L
16 Sep	A	Chico	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Junior	1-0	W
10 Sep	A	Once Caldas	0-1	L
3 Sep	A	America de Cali	0-3	L

Head to head

5Once Caldas wins

9draws

7Alianza Valledupar wins

21 meetings · goals 17:22 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Once Caldas

10 Sep 2026Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Once Caldas1-0Alianza Valledupar
8 Feb 2026Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar1-1Once Caldas
15 Aug 2025Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar0-0Once Caldas
2 Mar 2025Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-2Alianza Valledupar
6 Oct 2024Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar1-0Once Caldas
25 Mar 2024Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-0Alianza Valledupar
26 Sep 2023Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar2-1Once Caldas
18 Apr 2023Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-2Alianza Valledupar
24 Oct 2022Primera A	Primera A	Once Caldas1-1Alianza Valledupar
9 May 2022Primera A	Primera A	Alianza Valledupar2-0Once Caldas

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 26 Oct 05:40 UTC

In the Primera A table, Once Caldas sit 5th with 33 points from 19 games, while Alianza Valledupar are 17th with 17 points from 19.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.57X26%3.61215%6.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.74	6.5%
1xBet	2.02	1.75	6.6%
888Sport	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	2.03	1.75	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.03	1.70	8.1%
888Sport	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.68	8.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.01	1.71	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Once Caldas 45%Draw 45%Alianza Valledupar 10%

The statistical model rates Once Caldas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alianza Valledupar at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.61 | 6.12, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Once Caldas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Once Caldas are 5th (33 pts, 31-22 goals), Alianza Valledupar 17th (17 pts, 13-27).

Over their last five matches, Once Caldas averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Alianza Valledupar averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Once Caldas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	3.61	6.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.30	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.16	2.14	5.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	8.75	3.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.75
1.5	1.30	3.11
2.5	2.03	1.75
3.5	3.49	1.25
4.5	7.23	1.06
5.5	17.0	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.37	2.72
2	1.50	2.34
2.25	1.77	1.95
2.75	2.32	1.55
3	2.80	1.36
3.25	3.12	1.27
3.75	4.34	1.14
4	6.13	1.06
4.25	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.60	1.42
-1.25	2.31	1.56
-1	2.00	1.76
-0.75	1.69	2.03
-0.5	1.58	2.35
-0.25	1.35	2.90

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.80	1.01
-2.75	6.80	1.06
-2.5	5.25	1.12
-2.25	4.78	1.14
-2	4.32	1.17
-1.75	3.15	1.29
0	1.15	4.48
+0.25	1.12	5.17
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+0.75	1.02	8.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9	1.80	2.00
9.5	2.00	1.73

Next Primera A matches

26 Oct	Jaguares – Llaneros
27 Oct	Santa Fe – Bucaramanga
27 Oct	Cucuta – Águilas Doradas
28 Oct	Chico – Junior
29 Oct	Internacional de Bogota – Independiente Medellin
29 Oct	America de Cali – Fortaleza FC

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

26 Oct	Deportes Tolima 0-1 Deportivo Pasto
25 Oct	Atletico Nacional 2-1 Independiente Medellin
25 Oct	Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Internacional de Bogota
25 Oct	Fortaleza FC 1-1 Deportivo Cali
25 Oct	Once Caldas 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
24 Oct	America de Cali 3-1 Cucuta