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HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica• HNL, Croatia

#11.2:1.214:00Tomorrow · Stadion Poljud, Split1.0:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.35BTNX5.40DAF28.651XBMargin at best4.2%Books10Markets91Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 04:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.355.408.404.5%
Betano1.354.908.007.0%
Pinnacle1.305.268.547.6%
1xBet1.305.208.657.7%
William Hill1.334.808.507.8%
Marathonbet1.285.208.609.0%
Betfair1.295.008.509.3%
Bet3651.334.757.509.6%
BetVictor1.304.758.509.7%
SBO1.294.356.3816.2%
Best of all books1.355.408.654.2%
Average1.314.968.168.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Gorica
Last 10#1Table position#102.09Points per game0.6413Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.055Attack rating4545Defence rating5563Form rating3880H2H rating2087Goals model1367Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:02 UTC

HNK Hajduk Split

8W 1D 1L · goals 17:7 · per match 1.7 for, 0.7 against

26 OctAIstra 19612-2D
22 OctAFC Thun1-0W
18 OctHNK Varazdin1-0W
15 OctHAjax2-1W
10 OctHDinamo Zagreb2-1W
20 SepAHNK Rijeka0-3L
13 SepHNK Slaven Belupo1-0W
8 SepAVardarac2-0W
6 SepARudes4-0W
31 AugHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-0W

HNK Gorica

2W 6D 2L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

24 OctHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-0D
17 OctANK Osijek1-1D
9 OctHRudes1-2L
2 OctHBravo3-3D
28 SepAMaribor1-1D
19 SepAIstra 19611-0W
14 SepHNK Varazdin2-2D
9 SepAUskok Klis3-1W
5 SepADinamo Zagreb0-1L
31 AugHHNK Rijeka0-0D

Head to head

19HNK Hajduk Split wins
6draws
11HNK Gorica wins

36 meetings · goals 61:37 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for HNK Hajduk Split

16 Aug 2026HNLHNLHNK Gorica1-2HNK Hajduk Split
12 Apr 2026HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split1-0HNK Gorica
31 Jan 2026HNLHNLHNK Gorica1-0HNK Hajduk Split
24 Oct 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica1-3HNK Hajduk Split
10 Aug 2025HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split2-0HNK Gorica
11 May 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica1-1HNK Hajduk Split
9 Mar 2025HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split2-1HNK Gorica
7 Dec 2024HNLHNLHNK Gorica1-0HNK Hajduk Split
21 Sep 2024HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split4-1HNK Gorica
19 May 2024HNLHNLHNK Hajduk Split2-1HNK Gorica

HNL tableHNLupdated 29 Oct 21:30 UTC

In the HNL table, HNK Hajduk Split sit 1st with 23 points from 11 games, while HNK Gorica are 10th with 7 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split1172221:11+1023
2Dinamo Zagreb1071225:13+1222
3NK Varazdin1153315:10+518
4NK Osijek1152419:16+317
5HNK Rijeka1052317:14+317
6Istra 19611134419:18+113
7NK Slaven Belupo1141614:23-913
8NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1132613:17-411
9Rudes1131714:27-1310
10HNK Gorica111467:15-87

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.31X19%4.96211%8.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

28 Oct 00:0129 Oct 21:001 1.31X 4.962 8.16
11.31 → 1.31 0.0%X5.01 → 4.96 -1.0%28.58 → 8.16 -4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.692.155.7%
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.702.106.4%
1xBet1.612.217.4%
Marathonbet1.612.217.4%
BetVictor1.642.089.1%
Best of all books1.702.214.1%
Average1.662.156.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
Betfair2.101.677.5%
Betano2.051.707.6%
BetVictor2.001.737.8%
1xBet1.941.778.0%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.941.758.7%
Best of all books2.101.774.1%
Average2.011.727.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HNK Hajduk Split 45%Draw 45%HNK Gorica 10%

The statistical model rates HNK Hajduk Split at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and HNK Gorica at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 4.96 | 8.16, which imply roughly 76.3% for a HNK Hajduk Split win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: HNK Hajduk Split are 1st (23 pts, 21-11 goals), HNK Gorica 10th (7 pts, 7-15).

Over their last five matches, HNK Hajduk Split averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; HNK Gorica averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.314.968.16

Double chance

1XX212
1.063.221.13

Draw no bet

12
1.106.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.011.72

1st half

1X2
1.752.507.36

2nd half

1X2
1.612.926.77

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8418.857.9
HT X4.067.5116.4
HT 222.020.414.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3015.03.59

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.8
1.51.194.25
2.51.662.15
3.52.611.43
4.54.811.15
5.59.051.04
6.517.81.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0110.0
1.251.066.00
1.751.193.86
21.243.36
2.251.452.53
2.751.801.93
32.051.68
3.252.301.54
3.752.891.33
43.721.20
4.254.061.17
4.755.451.08
57.601.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.671.42
-1.752.201.61
-1.51.941.81
-1.251.692.05
-11.472.49
-0.751.362.89
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.757.801.02
-3.56.301.07
-3.255.891.09
-35.501.10
-2.753.981.20
-2.53.341.28
-2.252.991.35
-0.51.333.29
-0.251.204.05
01.076.50
+0.251.107.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.87
6.51.124.54
7.51.323.01
8.51.592.20
9.52.001.73
10.52.611.42
11.53.601.22
12.55.341.07
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.57
61.026.91
6.251.085.22
6.751.134.31
71.154.08
7.251.233.39
7.751.352.80
81.402.63
8.251.502.36
8.751.682.05
91.791.97
9.251.891.81
9.752.141.62
102.321.52
10.252.461.46
10.752.871.33
113.261.25
11.253.431.23
11.754.121.15
124.941.09
12.255.141.08
12.755.731.06
137.131.01

Next HNL matches

30 OctNK Slaven Belupo – Istra 1961
31 OctRudes – Dinamo Zagreb
1 NovHNK Rijeka – NK Varazdin
1 NovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb – NK Osijek

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

27 OctDinamo Zagreb 2-1 HNK Rijeka
26 OctIstra 1961 2-2 HNK Hajduk Split
25 OctNK Osijek 0-1 Rudes
24 OctNK Varazdin 1-2 NK Slaven Belupo
24 OctHNK Gorica 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
18 OctNK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo Zagreb