Zambia vs Burundi• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

#21.5:1.517:0011/112.5:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.451XBX3.671XB26.821XBMargin at best10.9%Books1Markets19Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.45	3.67	6.82	10.9%
Best of all books	1.45	3.67	6.82	10.9%
Average	1.45	3.67	6.82	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ZambiaBurundi

Last 10#2Table position#41.50Points per game0.504Form pts · last 571.5Goals for · last 52.51.5Goals against · last 50.823Attack rating7750Defence rating5030Form rating7080H2H rating20100Goals model046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Zambia

1W 2D 7L · goals 7:21 · per match 0.7 for, 2.1 against

29 Sep	H	Togo	2-0	W
25 Sep	A	Algeria	1-3	L
31 Mar	A	Argentina	0-5	L
29 Dec	H	Morocco	0-3	L
26 Dec	H	Comoros	0-0	D
22 Dec	A	Mali	1-1	D
16 Dec	A	Congo DR	0-2	L
18 Nov	A	Angola	2-3	L
15 Nov	A	South Africa	1-3	L
12 Oct	H	Niger	0-1	L

Burundi

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

29 Sep	H	Algeria	2-2	D
25 Sep	A	Togo	0-1	L
26 May	A	Morocco	0-5	L
31 Mar	H	Chad	4-0	W
27 Mar	A	Chad	4-0	W
14 Oct	A	Gabon	0-2	L
9 Oct	H	Kenya	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Gambia	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Ivory Coast	0-1	L
10 Jun	H	Mauritania	0-0	D

Head to head

1Zambia wins

1draws

0Burundi wins

2 meetings · goals 1:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Zambia

8 Dec 2013CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup	CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup	Zambia0-0Burundi
1 Dec 2013CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup	CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup	Zambia1-0Burundi

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table, Zambia sit 2nd with 3 points from 2 games, while Burundi are 4th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.45X25%3.67213%6.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Best of all books	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Average	2.31	1.52	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.40	1.48	9.2%
Best of all books	2.40	1.48	9.2%
Average	2.40	1.48	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zambia 45%Draw 45%Burundi 10%

The statistical model rates Zambia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Burundi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 3.67 | 6.82, which imply roughly 69% for a Zambia win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table: Zambia are 2nd (3 pts, 3-3 goals), Burundi 4th (1 pts, 2-3).

Over their last five matches, Zambia averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Burundi averaged 2.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Zambia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.45	3.67	6.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	2.34	1.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.40	1.48

1st half

1	X	2
2.04	2.10	6.96

2nd half

1	X	2
1.92	2.27	6.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.38	2.73
2	1.69	2.00
2.5	2.31	1.52
3	3.77	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.65	1.40
-1	1.92	1.75

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7	1.27	3.03
7.5	1.45	2.33
8	1.60	2.00
8.5	1.84	1.72
9	2.21	1.49
9.5	2.51	1.38

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table