Egypt vs Malawi• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

2.5:0.017:0011/111.5:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.071XBX6.801XB217.01XBMargin at best14.0%Books1Markets22Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.07	6.80	17.0	14.0%
Best of all books	1.07	6.80	17.0	14.0%
Average	1.07	6.80	17.0	14.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EgyptMalawi

Last 105Form pts · last 542.5Goals for · last 51.50.0Goals against · last 52.063Attack rating38100Defence rating057Form rating43100H2H rating00Goals model060Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Egypt

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	H	South Africa	0-1	L
29 Sep	A	South Sudan	5-0	W
25 Sep	H	Angola	0-0	D
7 Jul	A	Argentina	2-3	L
3 Jul	A	Australia	1-1	D
27 Jun	H	Iran	1-1	D
22 Jun	A	New Zealand	3-1	W
15 Jun	A	Belgium	1-1	D
6 Jun	A	Brazil	1-2	L
28 May	H	Russia	1-0	W

Malawi

3W 3D 4L · goals 8:8 · per match 0.8 for, 0.8 against

6 Oct	A	Angola	1-3	L
25 Sep	H	South Sudan	2-1	W
9 Jun	A	Ethiopia	1-1	D
6 Jun	A	Ethiopia	0-1	L
31 Mar	A	Botswana	0-1	L
28 Mar	A	Zambia U23	0-0	D
18 Nov	A	Lesotho	1-0	W
15 Nov	A	Lesotho	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Sao Tome and Principe	0-1	L
9 Oct	H	Equatorial Guinea	3-0	W

Head to head

2Egypt wins

0draws

0Malawi wins

2 meetings · goals 6:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Egypt

28 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Malawi0-4Egypt
24 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Egypt2-0Malawi

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg182%1.07X13%6.8025%17.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 14.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.09 → 1.07 -1.8%X6.32 → 6.80 +7.6%217.0 → 17.0 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.78	1.88	9.4%
Best of all books	1.78	1.88	9.4%
Average	1.78	1.88	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	3.42	1.25	9.2%
Best of all books	3.42	1.25	9.2%
Average	3.42	1.25	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Egypt 45%Draw 45%Malawi 10%

The statistical model rates Egypt at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Malawi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.07 | 6.80 | 17.00, which imply roughly 93.5% for a Egypt win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Egypt averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Malawi averaged 1.5 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Egypt or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.07	6.80	17.0

Double chance

X2	12
4.86	1.01

Both teams to score

Yes	No
3.42	1.25

1st half

1	X	2
1.45	2.71	19.0

2nd half

1	X	2
1.37	3.06	19.0

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.21	3.76
2	1.35	2.85
2.5	1.78	1.88
3	2.45	1.46
3.5	3.14	1.29

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.56	1.42
-2	1.94	1.73
-1.5	1.52	2.29

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.33	2.77
8	1.42	2.41
8.5	1.62	1.98
9	1.85	1.71
9.5	2.12	1.53
10	2.61	1.35

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia
11 Nov	Cape Verde Islands – Liberia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table