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Algeria vs Togo• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

#12.5:1.517:0011/110.5:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.171XBX5.451XB214.01XBMargin at best11.0%Books1Markets16Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 16:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.175.4514.011.0%
Best of all books1.175.4514.011.0%
Average1.175.4514.011.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlgeriaTogo
Last 10#1Table position#32.00Points per game1.508Form pts · last 5102.5Goals for · last 50.51.5Goals against · last 51.083Attack rating1740Defence rating6057Form rating43100H2H rating0100Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Algeria

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

6 OctHNiger2-1W
29 SepABurundi2-2D
25 SepHZambia3-1W
3 JulASwitzerland0-2L
28 JunHAustria3-3D
23 JunAJordan2-1W
17 JunAArgentina0-3L
11 JunABolivia4-0W
3 JunANetherlands1-0W
31 MarHUruguay0-0D

Togo

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

29 SepAZambia0-2L
25 SepHBurundi1-0W
9 JunHBenin5-1W
5 JunACentral African Republic1-1D
31 MarANiger1-0W
27 MarAGuinea2-2D
13 OctASouth Sudan0-0D
10 OctHCongo DR0-1L
9 SepHSudan1-0W
5 SepAMauritania0-2L

Head to head

4Algeria wins
0draws
0Togo wins

4 meetings · goals 11:2 · last 4: 4W 0D 0L for Algeria

14 Oct 2024Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationTogo0-1Algeria
10 Oct 2024Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationAfrica Cup of Nations - QualificationAlgeria5-1Togo
18 Nov 2018Africa Cup of NationsAfrica Cup of NationsTogo1-4Algeria
11 Jun 2017Africa Cup of NationsAfrica Cup of NationsAlgeria1-0Togo

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

In the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table, Algeria sit 1st with 4 points from 2 games, while Togo are 3rd with 3 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Algeria21105:3+24
2Zambia21013:303
3Togo21011:2-13
4Burundi20112:3-11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.17X17%5.4526%14.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.781.889.4%
Best of all books1.781.889.4%
Average1.781.889.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.551.439.1%
Best of all books2.551.439.1%
Average2.551.439.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Algeria 45%Draw 45%Togo 10%

The statistical model rates Algeria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Togo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 5.45 | 14.00, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Algeria win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table: Algeria are 1st (4 pts, 5-3 goals), Togo 3rd (3 pts, 1-2).

Over their last five matches, Algeria averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Togo averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Algeria.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.175.4514.0

Double chance

X212
3.831.06

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.551.43

1st half

1X2
1.602.5510.9

2nd half

1X2
1.502.8211.3

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.213.75
21.352.85
2.51.781.88
32.451.46
3.53.151.29

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.421.47
-1.51.751.92
-11.322.96

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 NovEgypt – Malawi
11 NovAngola – South Sudan
11 NovBenin – Central African Republic
11 NovBurkina Faso – Mauritania
11 NovCameroon – Namibia
11 NovCape Verde Islands – Liberia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table