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Burkina Faso vs Mauritania• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

1.0:0.517:0011/112.0:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.411XBX3.751XB27.371XBMargin at best11.2%Books1Markets19Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.413.757.3711.2%
Best of all books1.413.757.3711.2%
Average1.413.757.3711.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Burkina FasoMauritania
Last 105Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 52.00.5Goals against · last 51.533Attack rating6775Defence rating2557Form rating4371H2H rating2963Goals model3761Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Burkina Faso

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

4 OctAArgentina0-7L
28 SepACentral African Republic1-0W
25 SepHBenin1-1D
9 JunABelarus2-2D
5 JunARussia0-3L
31 MarHGuinea-Bissau1-1D
28 MarHGuinea-Bissau5-0W
6 JanAIvory Coast0-3L
31 DecASudan2-0W
28 DecAAlgeria0-1L

Mauritania

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

29 SepABenin1-2L
24 SepHCentral African Republic3-1W
8 JunANiger1-0W
5 JunAAngola1-1D
27 MarAArgentina1-2L
25 NovHKuwait0-2L
15 NovALibya0-1L
12 NovATunisia1-1D
14 OctASenegal0-4L
10 OctASudan0-0D

Head to head

3Burkina Faso wins
1draws
2Mauritania wins

6 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 6: 3W 1D 2L for Burkina Faso

13 Aug 2025African Nations ChampionshipAfrican Nations ChampionshipMauritania1-0Burkina Faso
16 Jan 2024Africa Cup of NationsAfrica Cup of NationsBurkina Faso1-0Mauritania
17 Oct 2023FriendliesFriendliesMauritania1-2Burkina Faso
30 Dec 2021FriendliesFriendliesMauritania0-0Burkina Faso
22 Mar 2019Africa Cup of NationsAfrica Cup of NationsBurkina Faso1-0Mauritania
8 Sep 2018Africa Cup of NationsAfrica Cup of NationsMauritania2-0Burkina Faso

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Algeria21105:3+24
2Zambia21013:303
3Togo21011:2-13
4Burundi20112:3-11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg164%1.41X24%3.75212%7.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.301.529.3%
Best of all books2.301.529.3%
Average2.301.529.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.461.469.1%
Best of all books2.461.469.1%
Average2.461.469.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Burkina Faso 45%Draw 45%Mauritania 10%

The statistical model rates Burkina Faso at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mauritania at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 3.75 | 7.37, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Burkina Faso win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Burkina Faso averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Mauritania averaged 2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Burkina Faso or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.413.757.37

Double chance

1XX212
1.022.431.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.461.46

1st half

1X2
2.002.117.39

2nd half

1X2
1.872.297.15

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.382.73
21.692.00
2.52.301.52
33.761.21

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.551.43
-11.851.81

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
71.273.05
7.51.442.34
81.602.02
8.51.841.73
92.191.50
9.52.501.38

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 NovEgypt – Malawi
11 NovAlgeria – Togo
11 NovAngola – South Sudan
11 NovBenin – Central African Republic
11 NovCameroon – Namibia
11 NovCape Verde Islands – Liberia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table