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Uganda vs Botswana• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

1.0:0.517:0011/112.0:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.361XBX3.911XB28.501XBMargin at best10.9%Books1Markets13Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 03:07 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.363.918.5010.9%
Best of all books1.363.918.5010.9%
Average1.363.918.5010.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UgandaBotswana
Last 108Form pts · last 551.0Goals for · last 52.00.5Goals against · last 52.033Attack rating6780Defence rating2067Form rating33100H2H rating0100Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Uganda

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

5 OctHCongo DR1-1D
2 OctACongo DR2-0W
29 SepHLibya1-0W
24 SepATunisia1-1D
30 DecHNigeria1-3L
27 DecHTanzania1-1D
23 DecATunisia1-3L
18 NovAMorocco0-4L
14 NovHChad2-1W
14 OctAAlgeria1-2L

Botswana

1W 3D 6L · goals 7:19 · per match 0.7 for, 1.9 against

28 SepATunisia2-2D
24 SepALibya2-2D
31 MarHMalawi1-0W
28 MarHZimbabwe0-3L
30 DecHCongo DR0-3L
27 DecABenin0-1L
23 DecASenegal0-3L
14 OctAGuinea2-2D
9 OctHUganda0-1L
8 SepAMozambique0-2L

Head to head

2Uganda wins
0draws
0Botswana wins

2 meetings · goals 2:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Uganda

9 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification AfricaWorld Cup - Qualification AfricaBotswana0-1Uganda
7 Jun 2024World Cup - Qualification AfricaWorld Cup - Qualification AfricaUganda1-0Botswana

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Algeria21105:3+24
2Zambia21013:303
3Togo21011:2-13
4Burundi20112:3-11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.36X23%3.91211%8.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.311.519.5%
Best of all books2.311.519.5%
Average2.311.519.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.621.419.1%
Best of all books2.621.419.1%
Average2.621.419.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Uganda 45%Draw 45%Botswana 10%

The statistical model rates Uganda at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Botswana at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 3.91 | 8.50, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Uganda win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Uganda averaged 1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Botswana averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Uganda or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.363.918.50

Double chance

X212
2.631.15

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.621.41

1st half

1X2
1.922.138.35

2nd half

1X2
1.802.328.05

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.382.71
21.691.99
2.52.311.51
33.781.21

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.381.49
-11.721.95

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 NovEgypt – Malawi
11 NovAlgeria – Togo
11 NovAngola – South Sudan
11 NovBenin – Central African Republic
11 NovBurkina Faso – Mauritania
11 NovCameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table