South Africa vs Kenya• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

3.5:0.517:0011/110.5:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.191XBX5.031XB213.91XBMargin at best11.1%Books1Markets22Rating80 · 20Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.19	5.03	13.9	11.1%
Best of all books	1.19	5.03	13.9	11.1%
Average	1.19	5.03	13.9	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

South AfricaKenya

Last 1012Form pts · last 563.5Goals for · last 50.50.5Goals against · last 51.088Attack rating1367Defence rating3386Form rating140H2H rating0100Goals model080Overall rating20

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

South Africa

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:8 · per match 1.2 for, 0.8 against

4 Oct	A	Egypt	1-0	W
30 Sep	A	Eritrea	5-0	W
26 Sep	H	Guinea	2-1	W
28 Jun	H	Canada	0-1	L
25 Jun	H	South Korea	1-0	W
18 Jun	A	Czechia	1-1	D
11 Jun	A	Mexico	0-2	L
6 Jun	A	Jamaica	1-1	D
29 May	H	Nicaragua	0-0	D
31 Mar	H	Panama	1-2	L

Kenya

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

5 Oct	A	Rwanda	0-0	D
1 Oct	A	Guinea	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Eritrea	1-1	D
7 Jun	H	Lesotho	4-0	W
4 Jun	A	Lesotho	1-1	D
30 Mar	A	Grenada	3-0	W
27 Mar	H	Estonia	1-1	D
18 Nov	A	Senegal	0-8	L
14 Nov	H	Equatorial Guinea	0-1	L
14 Oct	A	Ivory Coast	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between South Africa and Kenya on record.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg176%1.19X18%5.0326%13.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.25 → 1.19 -4.8%X4.63 → 5.03 +8.6%210.8 → 13.9 +28.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.98	1.70	9.3%
Best of all books	1.98	1.70	9.3%
Average	1.98	1.70	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.81	1.36	9.1%
Best of all books	2.81	1.36	9.1%
Average	2.81	1.36	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

South Africa 50%Draw 50%Kenya 0%

The statistical model rates South Africa at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Kenya at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.19 | 5.03 | 13.90, which imply roughly 84% for a South Africa win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, South Africa averaged 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Kenya averaged 0.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : South Africa.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.19	5.03	13.9

Double chance

X2	12
3.61	1.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.81	1.36

1st half

1	X	2
1.65	2.40	11.5

2nd half

1	X	2
1.55	2.66	11.3

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.27	3.25
2	1.47	2.42
2.5	1.98	1.70
3	2.92	1.33
3.5	3.73	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.68	1.39
-1.5	1.85	1.81
-1	1.37	2.74

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7	1.27	3.04
7.5	1.45	2.33
8	1.60	2.01
8.5	1.84	1.72
9	2.20	1.49
9.5	2.51	1.38

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table