Nigeria vs Tanzania• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

1.0:2.017:0011/110.5:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.041XBX8.101XB217.01XBMargin at best14.4%Books1Markets22Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.04	8.10	17.0	14.4%
Best of all books	1.04	8.10	17.0	14.4%
Average	1.04	8.10	17.0	14.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NigeriaTanzania

Last 105Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.52.0Goals against · last 51.567Attack rating3343Defence rating5775Form rating25100H2H rating063Goals model3763Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Nigeria

4W 4D 2L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

6 Oct	A	Russia	3-3	D
29 Sep	A	Guinea-Bissau	0-3	L
25 Sep	H	Madagascar	2-1	W
10 Jun	A	Portugal	1-2	L
3 Jun	A	Poland	2-2	D
30 May	A	Jamaica	3-0	W
26 May	H	Zimbabwe	2-0	W
31 Mar	A	Jordan	2-2	D
27 Mar	A	Iran	2-1	W
17 Jan	A	Egypt	0-0	D

Tanzania

1W 3D 6L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

29 Sep	A	Madagascar	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Guinea-Bissau	0-2	L
29 Mar	A	Macau	6-0	W
26 Mar	H	Liechtenstein	0-1	L
4 Jan	A	Morocco	0-1	L
30 Dec	H	Tunisia	1-1	D
27 Dec	A	Uganda	1-1	D
23 Dec	A	Nigeria	1-2	L
15 Nov	A	Kuwait	3-4	L
14 Oct	A	Iran	0-2	L

Head to head

1Nigeria wins

0draws

0Tanzania wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Nigeria

23 Dec 2025Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations

Nigeria2-1Tanzania

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg184%1.04X11%8.1025%17.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 14.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.06 → 1.04 -1.9%X7.55 → 8.10 +7.3%217.0 → 17.0 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.48	2.39	9.4%
Best of all books	1.48	2.39	9.4%
Average	1.48	2.39	9.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.71	1.38	9.4%
Best of all books	2.71	1.38	9.4%
Average	2.71	1.38	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nigeria 45%Draw 45%Tanzania 10%

The statistical model rates Nigeria at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tanzania at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.04 | 8.10 | 17.00, which imply roughly 96.2% for a Nigeria win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Nigeria averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Tanzania averaged 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nigeria or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.04	8.10	17.0

Double chance

X2
5.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.71	1.38

1st half

1	X	2
1.37	3.10	17.0

2nd half

1	X	2
1.30	3.52	17.0

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2	1.20	3.82
2.5	1.48	2.39
3	1.81	1.85
3.5	2.33	1.51
4	3.51	1.24

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.16	1.59
-2	1.66	2.03
-1.5	1.40	2.64

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.30	2.89
8	1.39	2.51
8.5	1.58	2.04
9	1.78	1.77
9.5	2.04	1.57
10	2.49	1.39

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table