Mozambique vs Ethiopia• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

2.5:1.017:0011/111.0:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.441XBX3.601XB27.171XBMargin at best11.2%Books1Markets18Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.44	3.60	7.17	11.2%
Best of all books	1.44	3.60	7.17	11.2%
Average	1.44	3.60	7.17	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MozambiqueEthiopia

Last 104Form pts · last 572.5Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.556Attack rating4450Defence rating5040Form rating6050H2H rating5042Goals model5848Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Mozambique

2W 2D 6L · goals 12:19 · per match 1.2 for, 1.9 against

29 Sep	H	Sudan	4-1	W
25 Sep	H	Senegal	1-1	D
9 Jun	A	Indonesia	0-1	L
7 Jun	A	Oman	1-4	L
5 Jan	A	Nigeria	0-4	L
31 Dec	H	Cameroon	1-2	L
28 Dec	A	Gabon	3-2	W
24 Dec	A	Ivory Coast	0-1	L
17 Nov	A	Chad	2-2	D
14 Nov	A	Morocco	0-1	L

Ethiopia

4W 1D 5L · goals 8:10 · per match 0.8 for, 1.0 against

29 Sep	H	Senegal	0-1	L
25 Sep	A	Sudan	0-1	L
9 Jun	H	Malawi	1-1	D
6 Jun	H	Malawi	1-0	W
31 Mar	H	Sao Tome and Principe	1-0	W
27 Mar	A	Sao Tome and Principe	3-0	W
12 Oct	A	Burkina Faso	1-3	L
8 Oct	H	Guinea-Bissau	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Sierra Leone	0-2	L
5 Sep	A	Egypt	0-2	L

Head to head

0Mozambique wins

1draws

0Ethiopia wins

1 meeting · goals 0:0 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Mozambique

14 Jan 2023African Nations Championship

African Nations Championship

Ethiopia0-0Mozambique

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.44X25%3.60213%7.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.47	1.46	9.0%
Best of all books	2.47	1.46	9.0%
Average	2.47	1.46	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.57	1.42	9.3%
Best of all books	2.57	1.42	9.3%
Average	2.57	1.42	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mozambique 10%Draw 45%Ethiopia 45%

The statistical model rates Mozambique at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ethiopia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.44 | 3.60 | 7.17, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Mozambique averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Ethiopia averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ethiopia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.44	3.60	7.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.03	2.34	1.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.57	1.42

1st half

1	X	2
2.06	2.05	7.39

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.22	7.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.43	2.55
2	1.80	1.86
2.5	2.47	1.46

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.68	1.39
-1	1.93	1.74

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7	1.27	3.05
7.5	1.44	2.34
8	1.60	2.02
8.5	1.84	1.73
9	2.19	1.50
9.5	2.50	1.38

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table