Mali vs Rwanda• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

2.0:0.517:0011/112.5:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.171XBX5.231XB216.01XBMargin at best10.8%Books1Markets22Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.17	5.23	16.0	10.8%
Best of all books	1.17	5.23	16.0	10.8%
Average	1.17	5.23	16.0	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MaliRwanda

Last 108Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 52.50.5Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5667Defence rating3350Form rating50100H2H rating056Goals model4454Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Mali

2W 6D 2L · goals 8:8 · per match 0.8 for, 0.8 against

4 Oct	A	Morocco	1-1	D
29 Sep	A	Liberia	1-0	W
25 Sep	H	Cape Verde Islands	3-1	W
4 Jun	A	Iran	0-2	L
31 Mar	A	Russia	0-0	D
9 Jan	H	Senegal	0-1	L
3 Jan	H	Tunisia	1-1	D
29 Dec	A	Comoros	0-0	D
26 Dec	A	Morocco	1-1	D
22 Dec	H	Zambia	1-1	D

Rwanda

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

5 Oct	H	Kenya	0-0	D
29 Sep	A	Cape Verde Islands	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Liberia	3-1	W
30 Mar	H	Estonia	2-0	W
27 Mar	H	Grenada	4-0	W
14 Oct	A	South Africa	0-3	L
10 Oct	H	Benin	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Zimbabwe	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Nigeria	0-1	L
5 Jun	A	Algeria	0-2	L

Head to head

2Mali wins

0draws

0Rwanda wins

2 meetings · goals 4:0 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Mali

11 Nov 2021World Cup - Qualification Africa	World Cup - Qualification Africa	Rwanda0-3Mali
1 Sep 2021World Cup - Qualification Africa	World Cup - Qualification Africa	Mali1-0Rwanda

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.17X17%5.2326%16.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.01	1.68	9.3%
Best of all books	2.01	1.68	9.3%
Average	2.01	1.68	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	3.06	1.31	9.0%
Best of all books	3.06	1.31	9.0%
Average	3.06	1.31	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mali 45%Draw 45%Rwanda 10%

The statistical model rates Mali at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rwanda at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.17 | 5.23 | 16.00, which imply roughly 85.5% for a Mali win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Mali averaged 2 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Rwanda averaged 2.5 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mali or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.17	5.23	16.0

Double chance

X2	12
3.85	1.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
3.06	1.31

1st half

1	X	2
1.61	2.42	13.0

2nd half

1	X	2
1.51	2.68	13.5

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.28	3.18
2	1.49	2.37
2.5	2.01	1.68
3	3.00	1.32
3.5	3.82	1.20

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.55	1.43
-1.5	1.79	1.87
-1	1.33	2.93

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7	1.23	3.17
7.5	1.41	2.41
8	1.56	2.07
8.5	1.79	1.76
9	2.13	1.53
9.5	2.43	1.41

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table