Madagascar vs Guinea-Bissau• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

1.0:1.517:0011/112.5:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.431XBX3.111XB22.011XBMargin at best11.1%Books1Markets17Rating22 · 79Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.43	3.11	2.01	11.1%
Best of all books	3.43	3.11	2.01	11.1%
Average	3.43	3.11	2.01	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MadagascarGuinea-Bissau

Last 105Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 52.51.5Goals against · last 50.029Attack rating710Defence rating10014Form rating860H2H rating00Goals model10022Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Madagascar

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

29 Sep	H	Tanzania	1-1	D
25 Sep	A	Nigeria	1-2	L
2 Jun	A	Morocco	0-4	L
31 Mar	A	Equatorial Guinea	1-1	D
28 Mar	A	Kyrgyzstan	5-2	W
17 Nov	H	Equatorial Guinea	2-0	W
12 Oct	A	Mali	1-4	L
8 Oct	A	Comoros	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	Chad	3-1	W
4 Sep	H	Central African Republic	2-0	W

Guinea-Bissau

3W 2D 5L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against

29 Sep	H	Nigeria	3-0	W
25 Sep	A	Tanzania	2-0	W
31 Mar	A	Burkina Faso	1-1	D
28 Mar	A	Burkina Faso	0-5	L
12 Oct	A	Egypt	0-1	L
8 Oct	A	Ethiopia	0-1	L
8 Sep	H	Djibouti	2-0	W
4 Sep	H	Sierra Leone	1-1	D
9 Jun	A	Gabon	0-2	L
6 Jun	A	Burundi	0-1	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Madagascar and Guinea-Bissau on record.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.43X29%3.11245%2.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.42	1.47	9.3%
Best of all books	2.42	1.47	9.3%
Average	2.42	1.47	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Best of all books	2.09	1.63	9.2%
Average	2.09	1.63	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Madagascar 0%Draw 50%Guinea-Bissau 50%

The statistical model rates Madagascar at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Guinea-Bissau at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.43 | 3.11 | 2.01, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Madagascar averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Guinea-Bissau averaged 2.5 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Guinea-Bissau.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.43	3.11	2.01

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.61	1.21	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.09	1.63

1st half

1	X	2
4.30	1.97	2.70

2nd half

1	X	2
4.07	2.12	2.55

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.41	2.60
2	1.77	1.90
2.5	2.42	1.47

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.45	1.46
+1	1.25	3.41

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7	1.29	2.91
7.5	1.48	2.26
8	1.64	1.94
8.5	1.90	1.67
9	2.28	1.46
9.5	2.61	1.35

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table