Guinea vs Eritrea• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

1.0:1.017:0011/111.3:1.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.131XBX5.951XB214.81XBMargin at best12.1%Books1Markets21Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.13	5.95	14.8	12.1%
Best of all books	1.13	5.95	14.8	12.1%
Average	1.13	5.95	14.8	12.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GuineaEritrea

Last 104Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.31.0Goals against · last 51.829Attack rating7178Defence rating2230Form rating700H2H rating0100Goals model046Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Guinea

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

1 Oct	H	Kenya	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	South Africa	1-2	L
4 Jun	A	Northern Ireland	0-1	L
31 Mar	H	Benin	0-1	L
27 Mar	H	Togo	2-2	D
18 Nov	H	Niger	1-1	D
15 Nov	H	Liberia	2-0	W
14 Oct	H	Botswana	2-2	D
9 Oct	A	Mozambique	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	Algeria	0-0	D

Eritrea

2W 1D 4L · goals 5:14 · per match 0.7 for, 2.0 against

30 Sep	H	South Africa	0-5	L
26 Sep	A	Kenya	1-1	D
31 Mar	A	Eswatini	2-1	W
25 Mar	H	Eswatini	2-0	W
28 May	H	Niger	0-1	L
3 Nov	H	Ethiopia	0-3	L
31 Oct	A	Ethiopia	0-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Guinea and Eritrea on record.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg179%1.13X15%5.9526%14.8

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.70	1.98	9.3%
Best of all books	1.70	1.98	9.3%
Average	1.70	1.98	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.59	1.41	9.5%
Best of all books	2.59	1.41	9.5%
Average	2.59	1.41	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Guinea 35%Draw 35%Eritrea 30%

The statistical model rates Guinea at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Eritrea at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.13 | 5.95 | 14.80, which imply roughly 88.5% for a Guinea win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Guinea averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Eritrea averaged 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Guinea or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.13	5.95	14.8

Double chance

X2	12
4.25	1.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.59	1.41

1st half

1	X	2
1.54	2.66	11.9

2nd half

1	X	2
1.44	2.97	12.6

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2	1.30	3.08
2.5	1.70	1.98
3	2.27	1.53
3.5	2.93	1.33

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.18	1.57
-1.5	1.65	2.06
-1	1.26	3.33

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.39	2.51
8	1.52	2.16
8.5	1.74	1.82
9	2.03	1.58
9.5	2.33	1.44
10	2.96	1.28

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table