Gabon vs Lesotho• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

1.0:1.017:0011/110.8:1.3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.141XBX5.541XB214.81XBMargin at best12.5%Books1Markets22Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 02:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.14	5.54	14.8	12.5%
Best of all books	1.14	5.54	14.8	12.5%
Average	1.14	5.54	14.8	12.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GabonLesotho

Last 104Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.340Attack rating6071Defence rating2943Form rating5780H2H rating20100Goals model059Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

Gabon

3W 1D 6L · goals 16:21 · per match 1.6 for, 2.1 against

29 Sep	H	Niger	2-0	W
25 Sep	A	Morocco	0-2	L
30 Mar	A	Trinidad and Tobago	2-2	D
27 Mar	A	Uzbekistan	1-3	L
31 Dec	H	Ivory Coast	2-3	L
28 Dec	H	Mozambique	2-3	L
24 Dec	A	Cameroon	0-1	L
13 Nov	A	Nigeria	1-4	L
14 Oct	H	Burundi	2-0	W
10 Oct	A	Gambia	4-3	W

Lesotho

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

29 Sep	H	Morocco	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Niger	1-2	L
7 Jun	A	Kenya	0-4	L
4 Jun	H	Kenya	1-1	D
29 Mar	H	Seychelles	2-1	W
26 Mar	A	Seychelles	0-0	D
18 Nov	H	Malawi	0-1	L
15 Nov	H	Malawi	0-0	D
13 Oct	H	Zimbabwe	1-0	W
10 Oct	H	Nigeria	1-2	L

Head to head

1Gabon wins

1draws

0Lesotho wins

2 meetings · goals 2:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Gabon

15 Oct 2024Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Lesotho0-2Gabon
11 Oct 2024Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Gabon0-0Lesotho

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Iupdated 8 Nov 00:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	2	1	1	0	5:3	+2	4
2	Zambia	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
3	Togo	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
4	Burundi	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg178%1.14X16%5.5426%14.8

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.87	1.79	9.3%
Best of all books	1.87	1.79	9.3%
Average	1.87	1.79	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.86	1.35	9.0%
Best of all books	2.86	1.35	9.0%
Average	2.86	1.35	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gabon 45%Draw 45%Lesotho 10%

The statistical model rates Gabon at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lesotho at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.14 | 5.54 | 14.80, which imply roughly 87.7% for a Gabon win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Gabon averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Lesotho averaged 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Gabon or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.14	5.54	14.8

Double chance

X2	12
4.03	1.06

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.86	1.35

1st half

1	X	2
1.58	2.51	12.6

2nd half

1	X	2
1.48	2.79	13.2

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.24	3.50
2	1.40	2.63
2.5	1.87	1.79
3	2.65	1.40
3.5	3.39	1.25

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.37	1.49
-1.5	1.72	1.95
-1	1.30	3.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.37	2.59
8	1.48	2.24
8.5	1.70	1.87
9	1.97	1.62
9.5	2.25	1.47
10	2.84	1.30

Next Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches

11 Nov	Egypt – Malawi
11 Nov	Algeria – Togo
11 Nov	Angola – South Sudan
11 Nov	Benin – Central African Republic
11 Nov	Burkina Faso – Mauritania
11 Nov	Cameroon – Namibia

All Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and the table