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Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World

0.0:2.01-0FT28/09 · Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaounde2.0:3.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25BTNX3.10B36523.80B365Margin at best3.0%Books8Markets48Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 16:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.023.103.857.7%
Pinnacle2.102.893.897.9%
1xBet2.023.143.767.9%
Marathonbet2.003.143.748.6%
BetVictor1.913.104.009.6%
Bet3651.803.204.339.9%
William Hill2.052.903.6011.0%
Betfair1.913.003.8012.0%
Best of all books2.103.204.332.0%
Average1.983.063.879.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone
Last 104Form pts · last 570.0Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 53.00Attack rating10060Defence rating400Form rating0100H2H rating00Goals model060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Sep 12:01 UTC

Equatorial Guinea

2W 2D 6L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

24 SepACongo DR0-2L
9 JunHComoros0-1L
31 MarHMadagascar1-1D
25 MarAKyrgyzstan1-0W
31 DecHAlgeria1-3L
28 DecHSudan0-1L
24 DecABurkina Faso1-2L
17 NovAMadagascar0-2L
14 NovAKenya1-0W
13 OctHLiberia1-1D

Sierra Leone

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

24 SepHZimbabwe2-3L
9 JunALiberia1-3L
6 JunHLiberia1-0W
30 MarAAzerbaijan1-1D
12 OctADjibouti2-1W
8 OctHBurkina Faso0-1L
9 SepHEthiopia2-0W
4 SepAGuinea-Bissau1-1D
25 MarAEgypt0-1L
20 MarHGuinea-Bissau3-1W

Head to head

1Equatorial Guinea wins
0draws
0Sierra Leone wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Equatorial Guinea

20 Jan 2022Africa Cup of NationsAfrica Cup of NationsSierra Leone0-1Equatorial Guinea

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Bupdated 6 Oct 00:21 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Egypt21105:0+54
2Malawi11002:1+13
3Angola10100:001
4South Sudan20021:7-60

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.10X31%2.97226%3.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Sep 17:3128 Sep 14:311 2.10X 2.972 3.58
11.98 → 2.10 +6.1%X3.06 → 2.97 -2.9%23.87 → 3.58 -7.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.351.576.2%
Pinnacle2.511.497.0%
Betano2.351.557.1%
1xBet2.461.507.3%
Marathonbet2.461.507.3%
BetVictor2.331.519.1%
Best of all books2.511.573.5%
Average2.411.527.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.201.627.2%
William Hill2.101.677.5%
Betano2.051.707.6%
1xBet2.101.667.9%
BetVictor2.101.658.2%
Marathonbet2.101.648.6%
Best of all books2.201.704.3%
Average2.111.667.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Equatorial Guinea 45%Draw 45%Sierra Leone 10%

The statistical model rated Equatorial Guinea at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sierra Leone at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 2.97 | 3.58, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Equatorial Guinea win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Equatorial Guinea averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sierra Leone averaged 2 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Equatorial Guinea or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Equatorial Guinea

4-1-4-1

Coach: V. Annese

Goalkeeper

  • 1Jesús Owono

Defence

  • 24Rony Mbomio
  • 16Saúl Coco
  • 21Esteban Obiang
  • 12Charles Ondo

Midfield

  • 10Loren Zúñiga
  • 14Álex Balboa
  • 22Pablo Ganet
  • 20Santiago Eneme
  • 8Jannick Buyla

Attack

  • 9Dorian Hanza
Substitutes (12)
  • 5Gael Akogo Esono
  • 11Salomón
  • 6Junior Bita
  • 17Enrique Lotar
  • 18Cristian Makate Bokoya
  • 4Alejandro Masogo
  • 7Pepín Machín
  • 19Prince Ngaah
  • 13Miguel Angel Nkogo Mbenga Nchama
  • 2Federico Nsue Nguema
  • 23Manuel Sapunga
  • 3Marvin Anieboh

Sierra Leone

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Gomes Da Rosa

Goalkeeper

  • 1M. Jalloh

Defence

  • 2O. Kakay
  • 5Alpha Turay
  • 21Abdulay Bah
  • 18Sallieu Capay Tarawallie

Midfield

  • 22Saidu Bah Kamara
  • 14T. Fornah
  • 17M. Kamara
  • 8Alhassan Koroma
  • 7I. Kanu

Attack

  • 15Alie Conteh
Substitutes (12)
  • 3A. Abdulai
  • 11J. Koroma
  • 9D. Kanu
  • 24S Sesay
  • 23Ibrahim Sesay
  • 4Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
  • 10S. Kaikai
  • 13G. Abdul
  • 6Saidu Fofanah
  • 16Raees Bangura-Williams
  • 19A. Bangura
  • 25Francis Koroma

Match Statistics

Equatorial GuineaSierra Leone
220Passes accurate387
6Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox5
1Blocked Shots1
20Free Kicks19
2Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal9
2Offsides0
284Total passes451
8Total Shots10
1Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks3
0Goalkeeper Saves1
20Fouls20
0Red Cards0
39%Ball Possession61%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.983.063.87

Double chance

1XX212
1.221.751.32

Draw no bet

12
1.392.85

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.111.66

1st half

1X2
2.661.944.66

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.686.702.70

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.076.52
1.51.462.51
2.52.411.52
3.54.451.16
4.58.601.03
5.513.41.01
6.521.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.075.80
11.105.15
1.251.283.17
1.751.592.19
21.811.88
2.252.121.65
2.752.891.34
33.781.19
3.254.141.16
3.755.751.07
48.301.02
4.257.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.253.261.30
-12.981.36
-0.752.271.57
-0.51.941.82
-0.251.672.09
01.382.80
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.981.01
-2.58.401.01
-2.257.671.05
-27.271.06
-1.754.751.14
-1.53.721.22
+0.251.293.26
+0.51.234.02
+0.751.135.03
+11.037.50
+1.251.027.90
+1.51.018.50

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