Angola vs 
Malawi• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 03:09 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 4.30 | 9.90 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.30 | 9.80 | 8.6% |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.20 | 9.50 | 11.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.34 | 4.30 | 9.90 | 8.0% |
| Average | 1.32 | 4.27 | 9.73 | 9.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 19:31 UTC
Angola
2W 6D 2L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against
| 25 Sep | A | Egypt | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Jun | H | Central African Republic | 3-0 | W |
| 5 Jun | H | Mauritania | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Dec | H | Egypt | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Dec | H | Zimbabwe | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Dec | A | South Africa | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Nov | H | Zambia | 3-2 | W |
| 14 Nov | H | Argentina | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Cameroon | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Oct | A | Eswatini | 2-2 | D |
Malawi
3W 4D 3L · goals 9:7 · per match 0.9 for, 0.7 against
| 25 Sep | H | South Sudan | 2-1 | W |
| 9 Jun | A | Ethiopia | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Jun | A | Ethiopia | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Mar | A | Botswana | 0-1 | L |
| 28 Mar | A | Zambia U23 | 0-0 | D |
| 18 Nov | A | Lesotho | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Nov | A | Lesotho | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Sao Tome and Principe | 0-1 | L |
| 9 Oct | H | Equatorial Guinea | 3-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | H | Liberia | 2-2 | D |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Angola
| 10 Jun 2025COSAFA Cup | COSAFA Cup | Malawi0-1Angola |
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Bupdated 6 Oct 00:21 UTC
In the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table, Angola sit 3rd with 1 points from 1 games, while Malawi are 2nd with 3 points from 1.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 1.56 | 7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 1.56 | 7.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.31 | 1.56 | 7.4% |
| Average | 2.31 | 1.56 | 7.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 1.37 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 1.36 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.84 | 1.37 | 8.2% |
| Average | 2.84 | 1.37 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Angola at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Malawi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 3.91 | 8.94, which imply roughly 73% for a Angola win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table: Angola are 3rd (1 pts, 0-0 goals), Malawi 2nd (3 pts, 2-1).
Over their last five matches, Angola averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Malawi averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Angola or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Angola
4-3-3Coach: A. Cissé
Malawi
Coach: C. Pasuwa
Goalkeeper
- 16William Kilipota Thole
Defence
- 2M. Lameck
- 3C. Petro
- 5Chembezi Denis
- 22Emmanuel Nyirenda
Midfield
- 8lloyd njaliwa
- 6B. Singini
- 15Gomezgani Chirwa
Attack
- 17Gaddie Chirwa
- 18Adepoju adebare babatunde
- 13Patrick Mwaungulu
Substitutes (11)
- 1G. Chokooka
- 12Yankho Singo
- 4B. Mpokera
- 9Richard Mbulu
- 20M. Malango
- 11Francisco Madinga
- 24E. Kondowe
- 19Adielo Kaduya
- 7C. Gumbo
- 14robert saizi
- 21Festus Duwe
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 4.27 | 9.73 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | 3.03 | 1.18 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.84 | 1.37 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | 2.15 | 8.98 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 6.90 | 5.25 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 6.90 |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | 2.56 |
| 2.5 | 2.31 | 1.56 |
| 3.5 | 4.20 | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.06 | 6.25 |
| 1 | 1.08 | 5.65 |
| 1.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 1.75 | 1.51 | 2.26 |
| 2 | 1.70 | 1.94 |
| 2.25 | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| 2.75 | 2.64 | 1.38 |
| 3 | 3.44 | 1.23 |
| 3.25 | 3.82 | 1.19 |
| 3.75 | 5.30 | 1.09 |
| 4 | 7.50 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| -1.75 | 2.49 | 1.46 |
| -1.5 | 2.15 | 1.63 |
| -1.25 | 1.82 | 1.81 |
| -1 | 1.54 | 2.19 |
| -0.75 | 1.39 | 2.59 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.00 | 1.02 |
| -3.25 | 7.68 | 1.02 |
| -3 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -2.75 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
| -2.5 | 3.94 | 1.17 |
| -2.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| -0.25 | 1.17 | 3.98 |
| 0 | 1.04 | 7.00 |
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