Guinea vs 
Kenya• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 20:14 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.65 | 3.28 | 5.99 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.38 | 5.87 | 8.0% |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.35 | 6.00 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 3.38 | 5.90 | 8.6% |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.25 | 5.50 | 10.7% |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.20 | 5.50 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.25 | 5.75 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.65 | 3.38 | 6.00 | 6.9% |
| Average | 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.79 | 9.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Oct 16:51 UTC
Guinea
3W 4D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against
| 26 Sep | A | South Africa | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Jun | A | Northern Ireland | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Mar | H | Benin | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Mar | H | Togo | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Nov | H | Niger | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Nov | H | Liberia | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Botswana | 2-2 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | Mozambique | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Sep | H | Algeria | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Somalia | 3-0 | W |
Kenya
4W 3D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against
| 26 Sep | H | Eritrea | 1-1 | D |
| 7 Jun | H | Lesotho | 4-0 | W |
| 4 Jun | A | Lesotho | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Mar | A | Grenada | 3-0 | W |
| 27 Mar | H | Estonia | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Nov | A | Senegal | 0-8 | L |
| 14 Nov | H | Equatorial Guinea | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Ivory Coast | 0-3 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | Burundi | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Sep | H | Seychelles | 5-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Guinea and Kenya on record.
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Bupdated 6 Oct 00:21 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| Pinnacle | 2.59 | 1.46 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 2.55 | 1.47 | 7.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 1.45 | 7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 1.45 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 1.45 | 8.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.60 | 1.50 | 5.1% |
| Average | 2.56 | 1.46 | 7.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| 1xBet | 2.49 | 1.48 | 7.7% |
| Betano | 2.42 | 1.50 | 8.0% |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 1.57 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 1.46 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 1.53 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 1.57 | 3.7% |
| Average | 2.41 | 1.51 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Guinea at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Kenya at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.54 | 3.48 | 6.32, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Guinea averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Kenya averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Kenya.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Guinea
4-2-3-1Coach: Paulo Duarte
Kenya
Coach: Benni McCarthy
Goalkeeper
- 23B. Odhiambo
Defence
- 16R. Onyango
- 4M. Kibwage
- 5F. Odhiambo
- 20M. Okwaro
Midfield
- 12C. Erambo
- 8Duke Ooga Abuya
- 22M. Obiero
- 7mohammed bajaber
- 19J. Ochieng
Attack
- 24Ben Stanley Omondi
Substitutes (12)
- 17V. Harper
- 2H. Wesonga
- 15R. Ogam
- 14A. Wanjala
- 11Shariff Sirengo
- 1Farouk Shikalo
- 10T. Ouma
- 21S. Wilson
- 13Javan Omondi Ochieng
- 3O. Khamis
- 18B. Bwire
- 6M. Omondi
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.79 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | 2.17 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.20 | 4.11 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.41 | 1.51 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 1.97 | 6.45 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.52 | 6.23 | 3.44 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 6.18 |
| 1.5 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
| 2.5 | 2.56 | 1.46 |
| 3.5 | 4.87 | 1.13 |
| 4.5 | 9.40 | 1.03 |
| 5.5 | 14.9 | 1.01 |
| 6.5 | 21.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.09 | 5.35 |
| 1 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| 1.25 | 1.32 | 2.97 |
| 1.75 | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| 2 | 1.92 | 1.79 |
| 2.25 | 2.24 | 1.57 |
| 2.75 | 3.06 | 1.31 |
| 3 | 3.95 | 1.20 |
| 3.25 | 4.55 | 1.13 |
| 3.75 | 6.25 | 1.06 |
| 4 | 9.10 | – |
| 4.25 | 7.50 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.89 | 1.36 |
| -1.25 | 2.53 | 1.47 |
| -1 | 2.19 | 1.63 |
| -0.75 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| -0.5 | 1.63 | 2.23 |
| -0.25 | 1.40 | 2.73 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 11.0 | 1.01 |
| -2.75 | 7.88 | 1.02 |
| -2.5 | 6.12 | 1.08 |
| -2.25 | 5.73 | 1.10 |
| -2 | 5.30 | 1.12 |
| -1.75 | 3.57 | 1.23 |
| 0 | 1.18 | 4.18 |
| +0.25 | 1.14 | 4.80 |
| +0.5 | 1.14 | 5.75 |
| +0.75 | 1.03 | 7.20 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 11.0 |
Latest Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification results
| 6 Oct | Angola 3-1 Malawi |
| 30 Sep | Eritrea 0-5 South Africa |
| 29 Sep | Congo 1-1 Cameroon |
| 29 Sep | Liberia 0-1 Mali |
| 29 Sep | Somalia 0-2 Ivory Coast |
| 29 Sep | Gabon 2-0 Niger |