Eritrea vs 
South Africa• Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 00:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 23.0 | 9.00 | 1.08 | 8.1% |
| Best of all books | 23.0 | 9.00 | 1.08 | 8.1% |
| Average | 23.0 | 9.00 | 1.08 | 8.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Sep 13:11 UTC
Eritrea
2W 1D 3L · goals 5:9 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against
| 26 Sep | A | Kenya | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Mar | A | Eswatini | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Mar | H | Eswatini | 2-0 | W |
| 28 May | H | Niger | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Nov | H | Ethiopia | 0-3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Ethiopia | 0-3 | L |
South Africa
3W 4D 3L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against
| 30 Sep | A | Eritrea | 5-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Guinea | 2-1 | W |
| 28 Jun | H | Canada | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Jun | H | South Korea | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Jun | A | Czechia | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Jun | A | Mexico | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Jun | A | Jamaica | 1-1 | D |
| 29 May | H | Nicaragua | 0-0 | D |
| 31 Mar | H | Panama | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Mar | H | Panama | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Eritrea and South Africa on record.
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification tableGroup Bupdated 6 Oct 00:21 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 | Malawi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 3.40 | 6.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.30 | 3.40 | 6.3% |
| Average | 1.30 | 3.40 | 6.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 1.28 | 6.7% |
| Best of all books | 3.50 | 1.28 | 6.7% |
| Average | 3.50 | 1.28 | 6.7% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Eritrea at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and South Africa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 8.87 | 5.11 | 1.27, which imply roughly 11.3% for a Eritrea win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Eritrea averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; South Africa averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Eritrea or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Eritrea
4-3-3Coach: Hesham Yakan
Midfield
- 14Namrud Embaye
- 20N. Girmai Netabay
- 9T. Tekie
Attack
- 10A. Sulieman
- 7F. Gerezgiher
Substitutes (5)
- –F. Rabet
- –Manolo Lena De Godoy
- –Mohamad Hariz Fazrin
- –A. Alemseged
- –Yoel Yilma
South Africa
4-2-3-1Coach: Pitso Mosimane
Goalkeeper
- 1R. Williams
Defence
- 25K. Sebelebele
- 24O. Makhanya
- 21I. Okon
- 18S. Kabini
Midfield
- 30B. Aubaas
- 13S. Sithole
- 12T. Maseko
- 10R. Mofokeng
- 7O. Appollis
Attack
- 15I. Rayners
Substitutes (12)
- 11L. Singh
- 23F. Basadien
- 3K. Ndamane
- 6L. Seema
- 27T. Morena
- 2T. Matuludi
- 18B. Poggenpoel
- 11T. Zwane
- 9Y. Mbuthuma
- 16S. Chaine
- 22R. Goss
- 33C. Mailula
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 23.0 | 9.00 | 1.08 |
Draw no bet
| 1 |
|---|
| 17.0 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 3.50 | 1.28 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 15.0 | 3.50 | 1.30 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 21.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.08 | 7.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.30 | 3.40 |
| 3.5 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 4.5 | 2.62 | 1.44 |
| 5.5 | 4.33 | 1.20 |
| 6.5 | 7.50 | 1.07 |
| 7.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| 8.5 | 17.0 | – |
| 9.5 | 21.0 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +2.25 | 2.35 | 1.58 |
| +2.5 | 2.08 | 1.72 |
| +2.75 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| +3 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| +3.25 | 1.58 | 2.35 |
| +3.5 | 1.48 | 2.60 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.75 | 6.80 | 1.10 |
| +1 | 6.25 | 1.12 |
| +1.25 | 4.25 | 1.21 |
| +1.5 | 3.45 | 1.30 |
| +1.75 | 3.10 | 1.35 |
| +2 | 2.85 | 1.40 |
| +3.75 | 1.38 | 3.00 |
| +4 | 1.26 | 3.70 |
| +4.25 | 1.23 | 4.00 |
| +4.5 | 1.21 | 4.25 |
| +4.75 | 1.15 | 5.50 |
Latest Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification results
| 6 Oct | Angola 3-1 Malawi |
| 1 Oct | Guinea 1-0 Kenya |
| 29 Sep | Congo 1-1 Cameroon |
| 29 Sep | Liberia 0-1 Mali |
| 29 Sep | Somalia 0-2 Ivory Coast |
| 29 Sep | Gabon 2-0 Niger |