Türkiye vs Belgium• UEFA Nations League, World

#40.5:2.817:00Today · Gürsel Aksel Stadium, Izmir1.5:1.3#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.08PINX4.22PIN21.87DAFMargin at best1.7%Books10Markets90Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 08:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.90	4.25	1.88	2.4%
1xBet	4.00	4.15	1.85	3.2%
Marathonbet	4.00	4.15	1.85	3.2%
Pinnacle	3.97	4.15	1.85	3.3%
Dafabet	3.90	4.10	1.87	3.5%
Betfair	3.90	4.00	1.83	5.3%
Bet365	3.90	4.10	1.80	5.6%
BetVictor	3.90	4.00	1.80	6.2%
William Hill	3.75	3.80	1.80	8.5%
SBO	3.17	3.38	1.86	14.9%
Best of all books	4.00	4.25	1.88	1.7%
Average	3.84	4.01	1.84	5.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TürkiyeBelgium

Last 10#4Table position#30.00Points per game1.503Form pts · last 560.5Goals for · last 51.52.8Goals against · last 51.325Attack rating7531Defence rating690Form rating1000H2H rating10021Goals model7926Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Türkiye

4W 0D 6L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

5 Oct	A	Italy	1-3	L
2 Oct	A	Belgium	0-3	L
28 Sep	H	Italy	1-4	L
25 Sep	H	France	0-1	L
26 Jun	H	USA	3-2	W
20 Jun	H	Paraguay	0-1	L
14 Jun	A	Australia	0-2	L
6 Jun	A	Venezuela	2-1	W
1 Jun	H	FYR Macedonia	4-0	W
31 Mar	A	Kosovo	1-0	W

Belgium

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

5 Oct	A	France	1-4	L
2 Oct	H	Türkiye	3-0	W
28 Sep	H	France	0-1	L
25 Sep	A	Italy	2-0	W
10 Jul	A	Spain	1-2	L
7 Jul	A	USA	4-1	W
1 Jul	H	Senegal	3-2	W
27 Jun	A	New Zealand	5-1	W
21 Jun	H	Iran	0-0	D
15 Jun	H	Egypt	1-1	D

Head to head

0Türkiye wins

0draws

1Belgium wins

1 meeting · goals 0:3 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Türkiye

2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

Belgium3-0Türkiye

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Aupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Nations League table, Türkiye sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while Belgium are 3rd with 6 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
2	Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	+3	7
3	Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	+1	6
4	Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.84X24%3.98252%1.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.50 → 3.84 +9.7%X3.80 → 3.98 +4.7%21.92 → 1.81 -5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.53	2.57	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.51	2.62	4.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
1xBet	1.50	2.53	6.2%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.50	7.6%
BetVictor	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Best of all books	1.53	2.62	3.5%
Average	1.50	2.53	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.50	2.45	7.5%
1xBet	1.47	2.53	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.49	8.2%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.47	2.52	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Türkiye 0%Draw 50%Belgium 50%

The statistical model rates Türkiye at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Belgium at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.84 | 3.98 | 1.81, which imply roughly 25.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the UEFA Nations League table: Türkiye are 4th (0 pts, 2-11 goals), Belgium 3rd (6 pts, 6-5).

Over their last five matches, Türkiye averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Belgium averaged 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Belgium.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.84	4.01	1.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.95	1.25	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
2.89	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.93	2.45	2.31

2nd half

1	X	2
3.71	2.81	2.10

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.12	14.6	19.6
HT X	9.13	6.87	5.30
HT 2	29.6	14.0	2.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.34	19.3	1.62

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	5.31
2.5	1.50	2.53
3.5	2.25	1.65
4.5	3.81	1.25
5.5	7.08	1.08
6.5	12.4	1.03
7.5	18.3	1.02
8.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.85
1.75	1.15	4.62
2	1.19	4.23
2.25	1.35	3.04
2.75	1.60	2.29
3	1.78	2.03
3.25	2.01	1.81
3.75	2.54	1.50
4	3.10	1.36
4.25	3.44	1.30
4.75	4.46	1.17
5	5.90	1.10
5.25	6.07	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.95	1.39
+0.25	2.30	1.60
+0.5	2.00	1.81
+0.75	1.79	2.03
+1	1.58	2.39
+1.25	1.45	2.68

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	7.71	1.06
-1.25	6.60	1.08
-1	6.76	1.08
-0.75	4.64	1.16
-0.5	3.86	1.27
-0.25	3.35	1.31
+1.5	1.38	2.99
+1.75	1.27	3.56
+2	1.16	4.78
+2.25	1.14	5.16
+2.5	1.12	5.63
+2.75	1.06	6.74
+3	1.02	9.57
+3.5	1.03	11.1

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.25	3.70
3	1.30	3.36
3.5	1.59	2.29
4	1.82	1.99
4.5	2.14	1.67
5	2.99	1.37
5.5	2.95	1.36
6.5	4.35	1.19

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	12.5
4.5	1.02	10.9
5.5	1.05	7.60
6.5	1.14	4.70
7.5	1.31	3.11
8.5	1.59	2.23
9.5	1.98	1.77
10.5	2.60	1.44
11.5	3.60	1.23
12.5	5.19	1.12
13.5	7.40	1.06
14.5	10.4	1.02
15.5	14.4	1.02
16.5	12.5	1.01
17.5	15.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.32	2.88
8	1.45	2.64
8.25	1.45	2.43
8.75	1.61	2.09
9	1.82	2.00
9.25	1.83	1.83
9.75	2.10	1.65
10	2.32	1.57
10.25	2.42	1.47
10.75	2.79	1.35

Next UEFA Nations League matches

12 Nov	Armenia – Cyprus
12 Nov	Italy – France
12 Nov	Czechia – Spain
12 Nov	England – Croatia
12 Nov	Albania – Finland
12 Nov	San Marino – Belarus

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table