Albania vs Finland• UEFA Nations League, World

2.0:0.819:45Today · Arena Kombëtare, Tirana2.3:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35DAFX3.15BTN23.72SBOMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets72Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Nov 08:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.30	3.15	3.65	2.6%
1xBet	2.32	3.08	3.64	3.0%
Pinnacle	2.31	3.09	3.57	3.7%
Dafabet	2.35	3.10	3.40	4.2%
Marathonbet	2.29	3.04	3.60	4.3%
BetVictor	2.20	3.10	3.50	6.3%
Bet365	2.20	3.00	3.50	7.4%
William Hill	2.20	2.80	3.30	11.5%
Betfair	2.10	2.88	3.40	11.8%
SBO	1.84	3.00	3.72	14.6%
Best of all books	2.35	3.15	3.72	1.2%
Average	2.21	3.02	3.53	6.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlbaniaFinland

Last 109Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 52.30.8Goals against · last 50.547Attack rating5340Defence rating6056Form rating440H2H rating10037Goals model6343Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 00:01 UTC

Albania

4W 0D 6L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

6 Oct	H	San Marino	2-1	W
3 Oct	A	Finland	1-2	L
29 Sep	A	San Marino	3-0	W
26 Sep	H	Belarus	2-0	W
6 Jun	H	Luxembourg	0-1	L
3 Jun	H	Israel	0-1	L
31 Mar	A	Ukraine	0-1	L
26 Mar	A	Poland	1-2	L
16 Nov	H	England	0-2	L
13 Nov	A	Andorra	1-0	W

Finland

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

6 Oct	A	Belarus	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Albania	2-1	W
29 Sep	H	Belarus	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	San Marino	7-0	W
5 Jun	A	Hungary	1-2	L
31 May	A	Germany	0-4	L
30 Mar	A	Cape Verde Islands	1-1	D
27 Mar	A	New Zealand	2-0	W
17 Nov	H	Andorra	4-0	W
14 Nov	H	Malta	0-1	L

Head to head

0Albania wins

0draws

1Finland wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Albania

3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

Finland2-1Albania

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Aupdated 12 Nov 00:20 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	France	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
2	Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	+3	7
3	Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	+1	6
4	Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.21X31%3.02227%3.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 2.21 +11.6%X3.18 → 3.02 -5.0%23.90 → 3.53 -9.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.57	1.56	3.0%
Pinnacle	2.60	1.52	4.3%
Marathonbet	2.53	1.53	4.9%
Betano	2.50	1.52	5.8%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Betfair	2.55	1.45	8.2%
BetVictor	2.36	1.50	9.0%
Best of all books	2.60	1.56	2.6%
Average	2.52	1.51	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.05	1.73	6.6%
1xBet	2.06	1.70	7.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
William Hill	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.06	1.68	8.1%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Best of all books	2.10	1.73	5.4%
Average	2.07	1.68	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Albania 10%Draw 45%Finland 45%

The statistical model rates Albania at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Finland at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 3.02 | 3.53, which imply roughly 33.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Albania averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Finland averaged 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Finland.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.21	3.02	3.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.65	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.36

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.07	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
2.90	1.93	4.25

2nd half

1	X	2
2.60	2.19	3.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.47	15.2	44.4
HT X	4.99	4.19	7.37
HT 2	32.0	15.2	6.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	6.50	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.77
1.5	1.48	2.54
2.5	2.52	1.51
3.5	4.92	1.16
4.5	9.70	1.04
5.5	11.5	1.02
6.5	16.3	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.86
1	1.11	5.25
1.25	1.30	3.15
1.75	1.62	2.22
2	1.83	1.94
2.25	2.15	1.69
2.75	2.86	1.40
3	3.72	1.25
3.25	4.37	1.17
3.75	6.17	1.08
4	9.32	1.02
4.25	8.15	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.53	1.51
-0.5	2.15	1.69
-0.25	1.86	1.94
0	1.53	2.52
+0.25	1.37	3.04
+0.5	1.33	3.41

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	10.8	1.03
-2.25	9.17	1.06
-2	9.03	1.06
-1.75	5.76	1.11
-1.5	4.78	1.17
-1.25	4.06	1.23
-1	3.39	1.30
+0.75	1.17	4.84
+1	1.06	7.65
+1.25	1.04	8.20
+1.5	1.05	9.20

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.75	2.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.01	8.90
5.5	1.09	5.40
6.5	1.25	3.45
7.5	1.51	2.40
8.5	1.91	1.84
9.5	2.47	1.48
10.5	3.42	1.25
11.5	4.68	1.14
12.5	7.80	1.03
13.5	5.90	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.27	3.14
7	1.38	2.85
7.25	1.40	2.60
7.75	1.56	2.21
8	1.61	2.21
8.25	1.78	1.93
8.75	2.01	1.68
9	2.05	1.73
9.25	2.33	1.50
9.75	2.75	1.36
10.25	2.74	1.35

Next UEFA Nations League matches

12 Nov	Armenia – Cyprus
12 Nov	Türkiye – Belgium
12 Nov	Italy – France
12 Nov	Czechia – Spain
12 Nov	England – Croatia
12 Nov	San Marino – Belarus

All UEFA Nations League fixtures and the table