São Bernardo vs Athletic Club• Serie B, Brazil

#111.6:1.623:00Tomorrow · Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo1.2:1.4#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.95BFRX3.50PIN24.10B365Margin at best4.2%Books8Markets50Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Nov 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.95	3.40	4.10	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.93	3.50	3.88	6.2%
Betfair	1.95	3.40	3.80	7.0%
Betano	1.95	3.35	3.85	7.1%
1xBet	1.90	3.44	3.82	7.9%
Bet365	1.91	3.20	4.10	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.88	3.44	3.80	8.6%
William Hill	1.91	3.30	3.75	9.3%
Best of all books	1.95	3.50	4.10	4.2%
Average	1.92	3.38	3.89	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

São BernardoAthletic Club

Last 10#11Table position#141.41Points per game1.277Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.457Attack rating4347Defence rating5358Form rating4250H2H rating5048Goals model5254Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

São Bernardo

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	A	Avai	1-2	L
1 Nov	A	Cuiaba	2-1	W
24 Oct	H	Vila Nova	3-2	W
18 Oct	H	Criciuma	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Juventude	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Sport Recife	1-2	L
2 Oct	H	CRB	3-1	W
25 Sep	A	Novorizontino	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Atletico Goianiense	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	America Mineiro	2-0	W

Athletic Club

2W 4D 4L · goals 13:14 · per match 1.3 for, 1.4 against

8 Nov	H	Atletico Goianiense	2-3	L
2 Nov	H	Ceara	2-1	W
23 Oct	A	Operario-PR	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Avai	0-0	D
13 Oct	H	Londrina	2-2	D
6 Oct	A	Goias	1-2	L
1 Oct	H	Sport Recife	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Fortaleza EC	2-2	D
19 Sep	H	Botafogo SP	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Juventude	2-0	W

Head to head

1São Bernardo wins

0draws

1Athletic Club wins

2 meetings · goals 5:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for São Bernardo

23 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	Athletic Club2-1São Bernardo
29 Jun 2024Serie C	Serie C	Athletic Club1-4São Bernardo

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 10 Nov 15:00 UTC

In the Serie B table, São Bernardo sit 11th with 52 points from 37 games, while Athletic Club are 14th with 47 points from 37.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66:32	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49:26	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53:38	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38:31	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	44:33	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57:51	+6	58
7	Goias	37	17	7	13	39:41	-2	58
8	Atletico Goianiense	37	15	13	9	45:35	+10	58
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50:42	+8	55
10	Operario-PR	37	15	9	13	49:50	-1	54
11	São Bernardo	37	14	10	13	52:42	+10	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45:39	+6	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34:32	+2	47
14	Athletic Club	37	11	14	12	44:44	0	47
15	Nautico Recife	37	12	10	15	40:49	-9	46
16	Ceara	37	11	10	16	38:47	-9	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35:47	-12	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	45:58	-13	32
19	America Mineiro	37	8	5	24	27:55	-28	29
20	Ponte Preta	37	3	6	28	21:79	-58	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.92X28%3.38224%3.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.95	1.84	5.6%
1xBet	1.94	1.79	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.79	7.4%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.84	4.3%
Average	1.97	1.79	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.79	1.92	7.9%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.89	8.8%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.95	5.9%
Average	1.80	1.89	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

São Bernardo 45%Draw 45%Athletic Club 10%

The statistical model rates São Bernardo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Athletic Club at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.92 | 3.38 | 3.89, which imply roughly 52.1% for a São Bernardo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: São Bernardo are 11th (52 pts, 52-42 goals), Athletic Club 14th (47 pts, 44-44).

Over their last five matches, São Bernardo averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Athletic Club averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : São Bernardo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.92	3.38	3.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.82	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.80	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.13	4.35

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.39	3.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.96	14.2	39.0
HT X	4.75	4.93	8.32
HT 2	25.8	15.1	6.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	9.00	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.35
1.5	1.29	3.21
2.5	1.97	1.79
3.5	3.34	1.27
4.5	6.34	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.03
6.5	29.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.30
1	1.03	7.70
1.25	1.15	4.35
1.75	1.37	2.83
2	1.45	2.51
2.25	1.70	2.04
2.75	2.19	1.60
3	2.63	1.41
3.25	2.94	1.32
3.75	4.06	1.17
4	5.60	1.08
4.25	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.09	1.32
-1	2.69	1.40
-0.75	2.16	1.63
-0.5	1.91	1.84
-0.25	1.64	2.16
0	1.40	2.83

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.60	1.05
-2.25	6.75	1.04
-2	6.47	1.07
-1.75	4.39	1.16
-1.5	3.51	1.25
+0.25	1.30	3.27
+0.5	1.25	3.86
+0.75	1.14	4.89
+1	1.03	7.40
+1.25	1.02	7.90
+1.5	1.03	8.88

Next Serie B matches

11 Nov	Londrina – Nautico Recife
12 Nov	Ponte Preta – Operario-PR
14 Nov	America Mineiro – Avai
14 Nov	CRB – Ceara
14 Nov	Criciuma – Novorizontino
14 Nov	Fortaleza EC – Vila Nova

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

8 Nov	Goias 1-0 Ponte Preta
8 Nov	Ceara 0-1 America Mineiro
8 Nov	Athletic Club 2-3 Atletico Goianiense
8 Nov	Nautico Recife 0-3 CRB
7 Nov	Cuiaba 1-2 Juventude
7 Nov	Vila Nova 1-0 Criciuma