Ceara vs America Mineiro• Serie B, Brazil

#160.8:1.422:15Today · Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza1.0:0.6#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.85BTN25.45PINMargin at best1.5%Books9Markets83Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Nov 08:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.75	3.75	5.30	2.7%
Dafabet	1.72	3.70	5.00	5.2%
Pinnacle	1.70	3.51	5.52	5.4%
Bet365	1.70	3.70	4.75	6.9%
1xBet	1.70	3.50	4.89	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.50	4.90	8.5%
William Hill	1.70	3.40	4.80	9.1%
BetVictor	1.65	3.40	4.75	11.1%
SBO	1.58	3.31	4.22	17.2%
Best of all books	1.75	3.75	5.52	1.9%
Average	1.69	3.53	4.90	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CearaAmerica Mineiro

Last 10#16Table position#191.19Points per game0.724Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 50.644Attack rating5630Defence rating7031Form rating6962H2H rating3868Goals model3249Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Nov 00:10 UTC

Ceara

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

2 Nov	A	Athletic Club	1-2	L
27 Oct	H	Goias	0-2	L
17 Oct	H	Juventude	2-2	D
13 Oct	A	Botafogo SP	0-1	L
8 Oct	H	Criciuma	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Avai	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Operario-PR	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Novorizontino	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Fortaleza EC	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Atletico Goianiense	1-2	L

America Mineiro

4W 0D 6L · goals 7:10 · per match 0.7 for, 1.0 against

1 Nov	A	Londrina	3-1	W
26 Oct	H	Cuiaba	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Operario-PR	1-0	W
12 Oct	A	Criciuma	0-1	L
7 Oct	H	Fortaleza EC	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Atletico Goianiense	0-2	L
28 Sep	H	Juventude	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Vila Nova	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	São Bernardo	0-2	L
9 Sep	H	Nautico Recife	2-1	W

Head to head

5Ceara wins

9draws

7America Mineiro wins

21 meetings · goals 28:29 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Ceara

17 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	America Mineiro1-1Ceara
19 Nov 2024Serie B	Serie B	Ceara1-0America Mineiro
28 Jul 2024Serie B	Serie B	America Mineiro2-2Ceara
1 Oct 2022Serie A	Serie A	Ceara1-2America Mineiro
8 Jun 2022Serie A	Serie A	America Mineiro0-2Ceara
5 Dec 2021Serie A	Serie A	Ceara0-0America Mineiro
29 Aug 2021Serie A	Serie A	America Mineiro2-0Ceara
9 Sep 2018Serie A	Serie A	America Mineiro0-0Ceara
14 May 2018Serie A	Serie A	Ceara2-2America Mineiro
16 Sep 2017Serie B	Serie B	Ceara1-1America Mineiro

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 8 Nov 05:30 UTC

In the Serie B table, Ceara sit 16th with 43 points from 36 games, while America Mineiro are 19th with 26 points from 36.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66:32	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49:26	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53:38	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38:31	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	44:33	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57:51	+6	58
7	Goias	36	16	7	13	38:41	-3	55
8	Atletico Goianiense	36	14	13	9	42:33	+9	55
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50:42	+8	55
10	Operario-PR	37	15	9	13	49:50	-1	54
11	São Bernardo	37	14	10	13	52:42	+10	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45:39	+6	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34:32	+2	47
14	Athletic Club	36	11	14	11	42:41	+1	47
15	Nautico Recife	37	12	10	15	40:49	-9	46
16	Ceara	36	11	10	15	38:46	-8	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35:47	-12	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	45:58	-13	32
19	America Mineiro	36	7	5	24	26:55	-29	26
20	Ponte Preta	36	3	6	27	21:78	-57	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.69X26%3.55219%4.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.66 → 1.69 +1.8%X3.66 → 3.55 -3.0%24.93 → 4.90 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
SBO	1.92	1.88	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.06	1.76	5.4%
Betano	2.02	1.78	5.7%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
1xBet	1.98	1.76	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.76	7.3%
BetVictor	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.06	1.88	1.7%
Average	2.00	1.77	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.93	1.77	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ceara 35%Draw 35%America Mineiro 30%

The statistical model rates Ceara at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and America Mineiro at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.55 | 4.90, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Ceara win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Ceara are 16th (43 pts, 38-46 goals), America Mineiro 19th (26 pts, 26-55).

Over their last five matches, Ceara averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; America Mineiro averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ceara or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.53	4.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.07	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.26	3.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.15	5.28

2nd half

1	X	2
2.05	2.44	4.72

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.57	15.3	45.7
HT X	4.38	5.22	10.1
HT 2	24.3	16.2	8.33

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	8.70	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.42
1.5	1.31	3.16
2.5	2.00	1.77
3.5	3.49	1.26
4.5	6.92	1.08
5.5	13.9	1.02
6.5	26.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.17
1.75	1.39	2.75
2	1.51	2.39
2.25	1.75	1.97
2.75	2.26	1.56
3	2.71	1.40
3.25	3.05	1.30
3.75	4.16	1.16
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.93	1.36
-1.25	2.58	1.44
-1	2.26	1.60
-0.75	1.87	1.86
-0.5	1.68	2.14
-0.25	1.45	2.56

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	10.0	1.01
-2.75	7.50	1.03
-2.5	5.92	1.09
-2.25	5.48	1.11
-2	5.05	1.13
-1.75	3.59	1.24
0	1.23	3.68
+0.25	1.19	4.25
+0.5	1.18	4.80
+0.75	1.08	6.30
+1	1.02	8.80
+1.5	1.02	11.4

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.83	1.83

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.05	5.76
8.5	1.21	3.63
9.5	1.40	2.67
10.5	1.69	2.06
11.5	2.11	1.65
12.5	2.71	1.39
13.5	3.67	1.23
14.5	5.26	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.06	5.53
8	1.07	5.29
8.25	1.14	4.29
8.75	1.22	3.50
9	1.24	3.32
9.25	1.33	2.90
9.75	1.45	2.48
10	1.53	2.38
10.25	1.61	2.16
10.75	1.79	1.92
11	1.91	1.85
11.25	1.99	1.73
11.75	2.24	1.56
12	2.47	1.49
12.25	2.56	1.42
12.75	2.96	1.31
13	3.34	1.24
13.25	3.50	1.22
13.75	4.15	1.15
14	4.89	1.09
14.25	5.07	1.08

Next Serie B matches

8 Nov	Athletic Club – Atletico Goianiense
8 Nov	Goias – Ponte Preta

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

8 Nov	Nautico Recife 0-3 CRB
7 Nov	Cuiaba 1-2 Juventude
7 Nov	Vila Nova 1-0 Criciuma
7 Nov	Novorizontino 2-1 Fortaleza EC
7 Nov	Avai 2-1 São Bernardo
6 Nov	Operario-PR 3-2 Sport Recife