America Mineiro vs Avai• Serie B, Brazil

#191.2:0.419:3014/11 · Arena Independência, Belo Horizonte0.6:0.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10B365X3.72PIN21.92DAFMargin at best3.4%Books10Markets79Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 00:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.00	3.55	1.92	5.3%
Pinnacle	3.87	3.79	1.85	6.3%
Betano	3.90	3.40	1.93	6.9%
Betfair	3.90	3.60	1.87	6.9%
Bet365	4.10	3.25	1.90	7.8%
1xBet	3.85	3.62	1.84	7.9%
Marathonbet	3.84	3.62	1.82	8.6%
William Hill	3.80	3.40	1.85	9.8%
BetVictor	3.80	3.30	1.83	11.3%
SBO	3.35	3.00	1.86	16.9%
Best of all books	4.10	3.79	1.93	2.6%
Average	3.84	3.45	1.87	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

America MineiroAvai

Last 10#19Table position#170.78Points per game1.0812Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 50.867Attack rating3367Defence rating3363Form rating3738H2H rating6246Goals model5454Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

America Mineiro

4W 0D 6L · goals 6:9 · per match 0.6 for, 0.9 against

8 Nov	A	Ceara	1-0	W
1 Nov	A	Londrina	3-1	W
26 Oct	H	Cuiaba	1-0	W
17 Oct	H	Operario-PR	1-0	W
12 Oct	A	Criciuma	0-1	L
7 Oct	H	Fortaleza EC	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Atletico Goianiense	0-2	L
28 Sep	H	Juventude	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Vila Nova	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	São Bernardo	0-2	L

Avai

3W 2D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

7 Nov	H	São Bernardo	2-1	W
31 Oct	A	Nautico Recife	0-1	L
24 Oct	H	Botafogo SP	0-2	L
18 Oct	H	Athletic Club	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Cuiaba	1-0	W
7 Oct	H	Londrina	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Ceara	0-1	L
27 Sep	A	Criciuma	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Goias	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Vila Nova	1-1	D

Head to head

6America Mineiro wins

5draws

6Avai wins

17 meetings · goals 21:21 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for America Mineiro

21 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	Avai2-1America Mineiro
2 Sep 2025Serie B	Serie B	America Mineiro2-0Avai
26 Apr 2025Serie B	Serie B	Avai3-0America Mineiro
12 Oct 2024Serie B	Serie B	Avai2-2America Mineiro
26 Jun 2024Serie B	Serie B	America Mineiro1-1Avai
31 Jul 2022Serie A	Serie A	America Mineiro3-1Avai
10 Apr 2022Serie A	Serie A	Avai1-0America Mineiro
30 Jan 2021Serie B	Serie B	America Mineiro2-1Avai
31 Oct 2020Serie B	Serie B	Avai1-0America Mineiro
14 Nov 2014Serie B	Serie B	America Mineiro3-0Avai

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 10 Nov 15:00 UTC

In the Serie B table, America Mineiro sit 19th with 29 points from 37 games, while Avai are 17th with 40 points from 37.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66:32	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49:26	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53:38	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38:31	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	44:33	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57:51	+6	58
7	Goias	37	17	7	13	39:41	-2	58
8	Atletico Goianiense	37	15	13	9	45:35	+10	58
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50:42	+8	55
10	Operario-PR	37	15	9	13	49:50	-1	54
11	São Bernardo	37	14	10	13	52:42	+10	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45:39	+6	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34:32	+2	47
14	Athletic Club	37	11	14	12	44:44	0	47
15	Nautico Recife	37	12	10	15	40:49	-9	46
16	Ceara	37	11	10	16	38:47	-9	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35:47	-12	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	45:58	-13	32
19	America Mineiro	37	8	5	24	27:55	-28	29
20	Ponte Preta	37	3	6	28	21:79	-58	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.87X26%3.50250%1.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
SBO	1.97	1.83	5.4%
Pinnacle	1.91	1.88	5.5%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	1.95	1.82	6.2%
1xBet	1.87	1.86	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.86	7.2%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	2.00	1.88	3.2%
Average	1.92	1.83	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.83	1.97	5.4%
Average	1.78	1.93	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

America Mineiro 45%Draw 45%Avai 10%

The statistical model rates America Mineiro at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Avai at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.87 | 3.50 | 1.87, which imply roughly 25.8% for a America Mineiro win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: America Mineiro are 19th (29 pts, 27-55 goals), Avai 17th (40 pts, 35-47).

Over their last five matches, America Mineiro averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Avai averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : America Mineiro or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.84	3.45	1.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.89	1.22	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.86	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
4.25	2.16	2.44

2nd half

1	X	2
3.97	2.45	2.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.42	14.8	24.4
HT X	8.57	5.32	4.79
HT 2	39.9	14.5	2.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.45	11.0	1.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.10
1.5	1.28	3.38
2.5	1.92	1.83
3.5	3.26	1.29
4.5	6.47	1.09
5.5	13.1	1.03
6.5	23.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.25	1.12	4.75
1.75	1.30	3.05
2	1.44	2.58
2.25	1.65	2.10
2.75	2.12	1.65
3	2.56	1.44
3.25	2.86	1.34
3.75	3.92	1.19
4	5.40	1.09
4.25	5.81	1.08
4.75	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.88	1.38
+0.25	2.22	1.59
+0.5	1.91	1.87
+0.75	1.66	2.10
+1	1.43	2.61
+1.25	1.34	2.99

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.18	1.06
-1.25	8.60	1.01
-1	8.00	1.02
-0.75	5.02	1.13
-0.5	3.96	1.23
-0.25	3.34	1.28
+1.5	1.27	3.34
+1.75	1.17	4.27
+2	1.08	6.33
+2.25	1.07	6.77
+2.5	1.06	7.30
+3.5	1.02	12.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.09	5.00
8.5	1.25	3.49
9.5	1.47	2.53
10.5	1.77	1.97
11.5	2.24	1.58
12.5	2.93	1.35
13.5	4.16	1.14
14.5	6.17	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.10	4.78
8	1.12	4.57
8.25	1.18	3.78
8.75	1.28	3.11
9	1.31	2.95
9.25	1.40	2.62
9.75	1.55	2.26
10	1.62	2.14
10.25	1.72	1.99
10.75	1.92	1.79
11	2.00	1.77
11.25	2.16	1.61
11.75	2.46	1.46
12	2.71	1.38
12.25	2.84	1.34
12.75	3.32	1.24
13	3.82	1.18
13.25	4.00	1.16
13.75	4.80	1.10
14	5.78	1.05
14.25	5.98	1.05

Next Serie B matches

11 Nov	Londrina – Nautico Recife
12 Nov	Ponte Preta – Operario-PR
12 Nov	São Bernardo – Athletic Club
14 Nov	CRB – Ceara
14 Nov	Criciuma – Novorizontino
14 Nov	Fortaleza EC – Vila Nova

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

8 Nov	Goias 1-0 Ponte Preta
8 Nov	Ceara 0-1 America Mineiro
8 Nov	Athletic Club 2-3 Atletico Goianiense
8 Nov	Nautico Recife 0-3 CRB
7 Nov	Cuiaba 1-2 Juventude
7 Nov	Vila Nova 1-0 Criciuma