Londrina vs Nautico Recife• Serie B, Brazil

#181.0:2.222:00Today · Estadio do Cafe, Londrina0.2:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83BTNX3.85BTN25.00BFRMargin at best0.6%Books10Markets90Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 08:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.83	3.85	4.55	2.6%
Dafabet	1.78	3.75	4.50	5.1%
Pinnacle	1.76	3.83	4.44	5.5%
Bet365	1.80	3.50	4.50	6.3%
1xBet	1.70	3.80	4.39	7.9%
Betfair	1.62	3.80	5.00	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.80	4.40	8.6%
William Hill	1.75	3.50	4.20	9.5%
BetVictor	1.70	3.50	4.20	11.2%
SBO	1.68	3.35	3.90	15.0%
Best of all books	1.83	3.85	5.00	0.6%
Average	1.73	3.67	4.41	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LondrinaNautico Recife

Last 10#18Table position#150.86Points per game1.244Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 50.22.2Goals against · last 51.883Attack rating1745Defence rating5550Form rating5060H2H rating4054Goals model4658Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Nov 15:00 UTC

Londrina

2W 1D 7L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

5 Nov	A	Botafogo SP	0-4	L
1 Nov	H	America Mineiro	1-3	L
24 Oct	A	CRB	1-2	L
20 Oct	H	Cuiaba	1-0	W
13 Oct	A	Athletic Club	2-2	D
7 Oct	A	Avai	1-2	L
2 Oct	H	Criciuma	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Vila Nova	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fortaleza EC	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Ponte Preta	6-0	W

Nautico Recife

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

8 Nov	H	CRB	0-3	L
31 Oct	H	Avai	1-0	W
26 Oct	A	Juventude	0-4	L
19 Oct	A	Goias	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Vila Nova	0-2	L
8 Oct	H	Novorizontino	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Fortaleza EC	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Sport Recife	3-1	W
22 Sep	A	Cuiaba	0-3	L
15 Sep	H	Operario-PR	3-3	D

Head to head

7Londrina wins

2draws

2Nautico Recife wins

11 meetings · goals 15:9 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Londrina

23 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife2-1Londrina
10 Aug 2025Serie C	Serie C	Londrina0-2Nautico Recife
24 Aug 2024Serie C	Serie C	Londrina3-2Nautico Recife
23 Jul 2022Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife1-2Londrina
10 Apr 2022Serie B	Serie B	Londrina2-0Nautico Recife
22 Sep 2021Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife1-2Londrina
23 Jun 2021Serie B	Serie B	Londrina0-0Nautico Recife
11 Nov 2017Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife1-2Londrina
22 Jul 2017Serie B	Serie B	Londrina0-0Nautico Recife
30 Aug 2016Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife0-2Londrina

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 10 Nov 15:00 UTC

In the Serie B table, Londrina sit 18th with 32 points from 37 games, while Nautico Recife are 15th with 46 points from 37.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66:32	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49:26	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53:38	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38:31	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	44:33	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57:51	+6	58
7	Goias	37	17	7	13	39:41	-2	58
8	Atletico Goianiense	37	15	13	9	45:35	+10	58
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50:42	+8	55
10	Operario-PR	37	15	9	13	49:50	-1	54
11	São Bernardo	37	14	10	13	52:42	+10	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45:39	+6	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34:32	+2	47
14	Athletic Club	37	11	14	12	44:44	0	47
15	Nautico Recife	37	12	10	15	40:49	-9	46
16	Ceara	37	11	10	16	38:47	-9	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35:47	-12	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	45:58	-13	32
19	America Mineiro	37	8	5	24	27:55	-28	29
20	Ponte Preta	37	3	6	28	21:79	-58	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.73X25%3.68221%4.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.56 → 1.73 +10.9%X4.07 → 3.68 -9.6%25.15 → 4.43 -14.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.02	4.8%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.73	2.02	7.3%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
BetVictor	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.81	2.15	1.8%
Average	1.75	2.01	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.70	2.04	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.70	2.01	8.6%
Betano	1.70	2.00	8.8%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.20	3.3%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Londrina 45%Draw 45%Nautico Recife 10%

The statistical model rates Londrina at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nautico Recife at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.68 | 4.43, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Londrina win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Londrina are 18th (32 pts, 45-58 goals), Nautico Recife 15th (46 pts, 40-49).

Over their last five matches, Londrina averaged 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Nautico Recife averaged 0.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Londrina or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.67	4.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.07	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.26	4.62

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.60	4.33

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.54	13.9	36.1
HT X	4.57	5.98	10.1
HT 2	20.4	14.9	7.73

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	14.3	2.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.3
1.5	1.22	3.81
2.5	1.75	2.01
3.5	2.83	1.37
4.5	5.23	1.13
5.5	9.30	1.03
6.5	21.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.90
1.25	1.10	5.05
1.75	1.25	3.29
2	1.33	2.96
2.25	1.55	2.30
2.75	1.96	1.78
3	2.19	1.61
3.25	2.47	1.48
3.75	3.22	1.27
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.61	1.13
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.84	1.37
-1.25	2.60	1.43
-1	2.21	1.63
-0.75	1.92	1.81
-0.5	1.74	2.03
-0.25	1.49	2.43

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.47	1.02
-3	9.40	1.01
-2.75	6.47	1.07
-2.5	5.53	1.11
-2.25	5.18	1.12
-2	4.69	1.16
-1.75	3.58	1.25
0	1.29	3.26
+0.25	1.23	3.71
+0.5	1.20	4.40
+0.75	1.10	5.50
+1	1.02	8.20
+1.5	1.02	10.4

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.62	2.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.03	6.62
8.5	1.15	4.12
9.5	1.33	2.87
10.5	1.65	2.10
11.5	2.02	1.72
12.5	2.47	1.45
13.5	3.27	1.25
14.5	4.57	1.11
15.5	6.80	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.03	6.37
8	1.04	6.12
8.25	1.10	4.87
8.75	1.17	3.93
9	1.19	3.74
9.25	1.26	3.21
9.75	1.37	2.72
10	1.50	2.43
10.25	1.51	2.34
10.75	1.67	2.06
11	1.84	1.92
11.25	1.86	1.84
11.75	2.07	1.67
12	2.37	1.53
12.25	2.34	1.51
12.75	2.67	1.39
13	2.97	1.31
13.25	3.11	1.28
13.75	3.65	1.20
14	4.23	1.14
14.25	4.40	1.13
14.75	5.30	1.07
15	6.41	1.03
15.25	6.61	1.03

Next Serie B matches

12 Nov	Ponte Preta – Operario-PR
12 Nov	São Bernardo – Athletic Club
14 Nov	America Mineiro – Avai
14 Nov	CRB – Ceara
14 Nov	Criciuma – Novorizontino
14 Nov	Fortaleza EC – Vila Nova

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

8 Nov	Goias 1-0 Ponte Preta
8 Nov	Ceara 0-1 America Mineiro
8 Nov	Athletic Club 2-3 Atletico Goianiense
8 Nov	Nautico Recife 0-3 CRB
7 Nov	Cuiaba 1-2 Juventude
7 Nov	Vila Nova 1-0 Criciuma