Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova• Serie B, Brazil

#51.4:1.219:3014/11 · Fortaleza1.8:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.63PINX3.25B36522.88WHMargin at best3.5%Books10Markets77Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Nov 00:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.60	3.25	2.80	4.9%
Pinnacle	2.63	3.08	2.82	6.0%
Betano	2.55	3.20	2.75	6.8%
Betfair	2.50	3.10	2.88	7.0%
Bet365	2.45	3.25	2.70	8.6%
1xBet	2.54	3.00	2.78	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.54	3.00	2.78	8.7%
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.88	9.2%
BetVictor	2.45	3.00	2.70	11.2%
SBO	2.39	2.80	2.52	17.2%
Best of all books	2.63	3.25	2.88	3.5%
Average	2.51	3.06	2.76	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fortaleza ECVila Nova

Last 10#5Table position#31.68Points per game1.786Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 51.444Attack rating5654Defence rating4643Form rating5762H2H rating3863Goals model3754Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 00:01 UTC

Fortaleza EC

3W 6D 1L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	A	Novorizontino	1-2	L
2 Nov	H	Atletico Goianiense	0-0	D
24 Oct	A	Ponte Preta	2-2	D
16 Oct	A	Sport Recife	2-0	W
12 Oct	H	CRB	2-2	D
7 Oct	A	America Mineiro	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Nautico Recife	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Athletic Club	2-2	D
20 Sep	A	Londrina	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Ceara	1-1	D

Vila Nova

5W 4D 1L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

7 Nov	H	Criciuma	1-0	W
31 Oct	H	Juventude	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	São Bernardo	2-3	L
18 Oct	H	Novorizontino	2-2	D
11 Oct	A	Nautico Recife	2-0	W
7 Oct	H	Cuiaba	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Botafogo SP	1-0	W
25 Sep	H	Londrina	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	America Mineiro	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Avai	1-1	D

Head to head

2Fortaleza EC wins

2draws

1Vila Nova wins

5 meetings · goals 6:4 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Fortaleza EC

22 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	Vila Nova2-1Fortaleza EC
22 Sep 2018Serie B	Serie B	Fortaleza EC2-0Vila Nova
6 Jun 2018Serie B	Serie B	Vila Nova0-0Fortaleza EC
8 Aug 2015Serie C	Serie C	Vila Nova0-0Fortaleza EC
23 May 2015Serie C	Serie C	Fortaleza EC3-2Vila Nova

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 10 Nov 15:00 UTC

In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC sit 5th with 62 points from 37 games, while Vila Nova are 3rd with 66 points from 37.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66:32	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49:26	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53:38	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38:31	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	44:33	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57:51	+6	58
7	Goias	37	17	7	13	39:41	-2	58
8	Atletico Goianiense	37	15	13	9	45:35	+10	58
9	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50:42	+8	55
10	Operario-PR	37	15	9	13	49:50	-1	54
11	São Bernardo	37	14	10	13	52:42	+10	52
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45:39	+6	51
13	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34:32	+2	47
14	Athletic Club	37	11	14	12	44:44	0	47
15	Nautico Recife	37	12	10	15	40:49	-9	46
16	Ceara	37	11	10	16	38:47	-9	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35:47	-12	40
18	Londrina	37	8	8	21	45:58	-13	32
19	America Mineiro	37	8	5	24	27:55	-28	29
20	Ponte Preta	37	3	6	28	21:79	-58	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.52X30%3.06233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.29 → 2.52 +10.0%X3.09 → 3.06 -1.0%23.12 → 2.76 -11.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	2.24	1.63	6.0%
Bet365	2.40	1.53	7.0%
1xBet	2.23	1.60	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.23	1.60	7.3%
BetVictor	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Best of all books	2.40	1.63	3.0%
Average	2.26	1.59	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.91	1.83	7.0%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.82	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Best of all books	2.10	1.83	2.3%
Average	1.93	1.78	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fortaleza EC 45%Draw 45%Vila Nova 10%

The statistical model rates Fortaleza EC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Vila Nova at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.52 | 3.06 | 2.76, which imply roughly 39.7% for a Fortaleza EC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Fortaleza EC are 5th (62 pts, 44-33 goals), Vila Nova 3rd (66 pts, 53-38).

Over their last five matches, Fortaleza EC averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Vila Nova averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Fortaleza EC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.52	3.06	2.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.48	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.75	2.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
3.16	1.96	3.53

2nd half

1	X	2
2.85	2.23	3.21

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.13	14.4	33.4
HT X	5.70	4.36	6.16
HT 2	32.9	14.7	4.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.97	7.13	2.20

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.99
1.5	1.40	2.69
2.5	2.26	1.59
3.5	4.21	1.19
4.5	8.58	1.04
5.5	19.0	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.20
1	1.08	5.65
1.25	1.23	3.43
1.75	1.50	2.38
2	1.67	2.06
2.25	1.96	1.77
2.75	2.57	1.44
3	3.22	1.26
3.25	3.51	1.23
3.75	4.91	1.11
4	6.90	1.04
4.25	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.00	1.34
-0.5	2.49	1.50
-0.25	2.14	1.65
0	1.79	1.95
+0.25	1.55	2.31
+0.5	1.43	2.70

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.02
-2	9.40	1.01
-1.75	6.63	1.07
-1.5	5.30	1.12
-1.25	4.59	1.16
-1	4.32	1.17
+0.75	1.27	3.40
+1	1.14	4.99
+1.25	1.11	5.42
+1.5	1.10	5.85
+1.75	1.03	7.50
+2.5	1.02	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.09	4.97
8.5	1.27	3.28
9.5	1.51	2.40
10.5	1.85	1.90
11.5	2.34	1.54
12.5	3.10	1.31
13.5	4.20	1.14
14.5	6.23	1.04

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.01	7.09
7.25	1.07	5.45
7.75	1.13	4.30
8	1.12	4.53
8.25	1.23	3.44
8.75	1.34	2.86
9	1.32	2.93
9.25	1.47	2.43
9.75	1.64	2.12
10	1.63	2.13
10.25	1.82	1.88
10.75	2.04	1.69
11	2.06	1.68
11.25	2.31	1.52
11.75	2.65	1.39
12	2.72	1.37
12.25	3.11	1.28
12.75	3.68	1.20
13	3.86	1.17
13.25	4.47	1.12
13.75	5.42	1.07
14	5.83	1.05
14.25	6.84	1.02

Next Serie B matches

11 Nov	Londrina – Nautico Recife
12 Nov	Ponte Preta – Operario-PR
12 Nov	São Bernardo – Athletic Club
14 Nov	America Mineiro – Avai
14 Nov	CRB – Ceara
14 Nov	Criciuma – Novorizontino

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

8 Nov	Goias 1-0 Ponte Preta
8 Nov	Ceara 0-1 America Mineiro
8 Nov	Athletic Club 2-3 Atletico Goianiense
8 Nov	Nautico Recife 0-3 CRB
7 Nov	Cuiaba 1-2 Juventude
7 Nov	Vila Nova 1-0 Criciuma