Vila Nova vs Novorizontino• Serie B, Brazil

#11.2:0.021:00Today · Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania2.2:0.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.84PINX3.02PIN22.78PINMargin at best4.3%Books6Markets79Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.89	2.99	2.80	3.8%
Bet365	2.75	3.00	2.70	6.7%
1xBet	2.64	2.97	2.70	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.64	2.97	2.70	8.6%
William Hill	2.75	2.80	2.62	10.2%
BetVictor	2.60	3.00	2.55	11.0%
Best of all books	2.89	3.00	2.80	3.6%
Average	2.71	2.96	2.68	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Vila NovaNovorizontino

Last 10#1Table position#31.85Points per game1.8213Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 52.20.0Goals against · last 50.635Attack rating65100Defence rating057Form rating4329H2H rating7150Goals model5041Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Vila Nova

6W 3D 1L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against

11 Oct	A	Nautico Recife	2-0	W
7 Oct	H	Cuiaba	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Botafogo SP	1-0	W
25 Sep	H	Londrina	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	America Mineiro	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Avai	1-1	D
10 Sep	H	Goias	2-0	W
4 Sep	A	Athletic Club	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Ceara	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Operario-PR	0-0	D

Novorizontino

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:8 · per match 2.4 for, 0.8 against

12 Oct	H	Ponte Preta	5-1	W
8 Oct	A	Nautico Recife	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Goias	3-0	W
25 Sep	H	São Bernardo	0-0	D
18 Sep	A	Ceara	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Cuiaba	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Botafogo SP	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Avai	3-1	W
28 Aug	H	Sport Recife	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Athletic Club	4-1	W

Head to head

2Vila Nova wins

3draws

4Novorizontino wins

9 meetings · goals 8:12 · last 9: 2W 3D 4L for Vila Nova

26 Jun 2026Serie B	Serie B	Novorizontino2-1Vila Nova
28 Sep 2025Serie B	Serie B	Novorizontino1-1Vila Nova
30 May 2025Serie B	Serie B	Vila Nova0-1Novorizontino
31 Aug 2024Serie B	Serie B	Novorizontino2-0Vila Nova
14 May 2024Serie B	Serie B	Vila Nova2-1Novorizontino
30 Jul 2023Serie B	Serie B	Novorizontino3-1Vila Nova
15 Apr 2023Serie B	Serie B	Vila Nova2-1Novorizontino
30 Jul 2022Serie B	Serie B	Novorizontino1-1Vila Nova
12 Apr 2022Serie B	Serie B	Vila Nova0-0Novorizontino

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 18 Oct 02:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Vila Nova sit 1st with 61 points from 33 games, while Novorizontino are 3rd with 60 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46:31	+15	61
2	Juventude	34	17	10	7	41:23	+18	61
3	Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	59:28	+31	60
4	Fortaleza EC	34	16	12	6	41:29	+12	60
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	34:28	+6	56
6	Atletico Goianiense	34	14	12	8	42:32	+10	54
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51:47	+4	52
8	Sport Recife	34	13	12	9	45:37	+8	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34:40	-6	48
10	Operario-PR	34	13	9	12	44:46	-2	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32:26	+6	47
12	São Bernardo	33	12	10	11	46:36	+10	46
13	Ceara	34	11	10	13	37:42	-5	43
14	Athletic Club	33	10	13	10	40:39	+1	43
15	Nautico Recife	33	11	9	13	39:42	-3	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37:38	-1	41
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33:43	-10	36
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	42:49	-7	29
19	America Mineiro	34	5	5	24	22:54	-32	20
20	Ponte Preta	34	3	5	26	19:74	-55	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.70X31%2.96235%2.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.70 → 2.70 0.0%X3.07 → 2.96 -3.6%22.58 → 2.68 +3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.45	1.58	4.1%
Bet365	2.40	1.53	7.0%
1xBet	2.25	1.59	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.25	1.59	7.3%
BetVictor	2.24	1.55	9.2%
Best of all books	2.45	1.59	3.7%
Average	2.32	1.57	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.89	1.81	8.2%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.79	8.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.92	1.78	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Vila Nova 10%Draw 45%Novorizontino 45%

The statistical model rates Vila Nova at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Novorizontino at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.70 | 2.96 | 2.68, which imply roughly 33.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Vila Nova are 1st (61 pts, 46-31 goals), Novorizontino 3rd (60 pts, 59-28).

Over their last five matches, Vila Nova averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Novorizontino averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Novorizontino.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.71	2.96	2.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.41	1.42	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
1.84	1.84

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
3.41	1.97	3.43

2nd half

1	X	2
2.98	2.20	3.07

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.37	15.1	37.0
HT X	5.93	4.20	6.00
HT 2	38.7	15.1	4.43

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	7.20	2.06

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.42
1.5	1.41	2.67
2.5	2.32	1.57
3.5	4.39	1.17
4.5	9.48	1.02
5.5	23.0	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.70
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.52	2.36
2	1.70	2.03
2.25	2.01	1.74
2.75	2.66	1.41
3	3.30	1.25
3.25	3.74	1.19
3.75	5.30	1.09
4	7.80	1.02
4.25	8.28	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.44
-0.25	2.28	1.58
0	1.89	1.87
+0.25	1.58	2.25
+0.5	1.45	2.68
+0.75	1.29	3.30

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.75	7.78	1.02
-1.5	5.83	1.09
-1.25	5.41	1.11
-1	4.98	1.15
-0.75	3.35	1.29
+1	1.15	4.94
+1.25	1.11	5.43
+1.5	1.09	5.90
+1.75	1.02	8.10

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.62	2.20
6.5	2.20	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.33
7.5	1.12	4.42
8.5	1.31	2.97
9.5	1.57	2.24
10.5	1.96	1.79
11.5	2.47	1.47
12.5	3.30	1.25
13.5	4.76	1.10
14.5	7.26	1.01

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.05
7	1.02	6.90
7.25	1.07	5.32
7.75	1.14	4.21
8	1.16	4.00
8.25	1.24	3.37
8.75	1.35	2.81
9	1.39	2.66
9.25	1.49	2.39
9.75	1.65	2.09
10	1.75	2.01
10.25	1.84	1.86
10.75	2.07	1.67
11	2.24	1.60
11.25	2.35	1.51
11.75	2.70	1.38
12	2.79	1.39
12.25	3.17	1.27
12.75	3.76	1.18
13	4.39	1.13
13.25	4.58	1.11
13.75	5.57	1.06
14	6.83	1.02
14.25	7.04	1.02

Next Serie B matches

18 Oct	Avai – Athletic Club
18 Oct	CRB – Botafogo SP
18 Oct	São Bernardo – Criciuma
19 Oct	Goias – Nautico Recife
20 Oct	Londrina – Cuiaba

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

17 Oct	America Mineiro 1-0 Operario-PR
17 Oct	Ceara 2-2 Juventude
16 Oct	Sport Recife 0-2 Fortaleza EC
16 Oct	Ponte Preta 1-1 Atletico Goianiense
13 Oct	Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina
13 Oct	Botafogo SP 1-0 Ceara