OddsFilter

Botafogo SP vs Ceara• Serie B, Brazil

#161.2:1.21-0FTToday · Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto1.4:0.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20DAFX3.38PIN23.70BTNMargin at best2.1%Books10Markets79Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 20:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.133.383.644.0%
Dafabet2.203.203.505.3%
Bet3652.153.103.606.5%
Betano2.103.103.706.9%
Betfair2.103.253.507.0%
1xBet2.083.183.527.9%
Marathonbet2.063.183.508.6%
William Hill2.153.103.309.1%
BetVictor2.053.003.4011.5%
SBO2.142.893.1613.0%
Best of all books2.203.383.702.1%
Average2.123.143.487.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Botafogo SPCeara
Last 10#16Table position#141.24Points per game1.277Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 50.846Attack rating5440Defence rating6039Form rating6129H2H rating7155Goals model4540Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 01:20 UTC

Botafogo SP

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

7 OctAOperario-PR2-1W
3 OctHVila Nova0-1L
29 SepHPonte Preta2-0W
19 SepAAthletic Club1-1D
14 SepHGoias1-3L
9 SepHNovorizontino1-3L
3 SepANautico Recife0-1L
29 AugHCuiaba1-2L
25 AugAAtletico Goianiense0-3L
20 AugHCriciuma1-1D

Ceara

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

8 OctHCriciuma1-0W
3 OctAAvai1-0W
26 SepAOperario-PR2-2D
18 SepHNovorizontino2-1W
13 SepAFortaleza EC1-1D
10 SepAAtletico Goianiense1-2L
5 SepHSport Recife2-1W
30 AugAVila Nova0-2L
22 AugHLondrina2-1W
19 AugANautico Recife0-1L

Head to head

1Botafogo SP wins
1draws
3Ceara wins

5 meetings · goals 5:13 · last 5: 1W 1D 3L for Botafogo SP

20 Jun 2026Serie BSerie BCeara0-1Botafogo SP
13 Nov 2024Serie BSerie BBotafogo SP1-4Ceara
26 Jul 2024Serie BSerie BCeara4-1Botafogo SP
4 Nov 2023Serie BSerie BBotafogo SP2-2Ceara
8 Jul 2023Serie BSerie BCeara3-0Botafogo SP

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 13 Oct 03:40 UTC

In the Serie B table, Botafogo SP sit 16th with 41 points from 33 games, while Ceara are 14th with 42 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Vila Nova33187846:31+1561
2Novorizontino33179759:28+3160
3Juventude33179739:21+1860
4Fortaleza EC331512639:29+1057
5Criciuma33168934:28+656
6Atletico Goianiense331411841:31+1053
7CRB331571151:47+452
8Sport Recife331312845:35+1051
9Goias331461334:40-648
10Operario-PR331391144:45-148
11Cuiaba331114832:26+647
12São Bernardo3312101146:36+1046
13Nautico Recife331191339:42-342
14Ceara331191335:40-542
15Athletic Club3210121038:37+142
16Botafogo SP331181437:38-141
17Avai331061733:43-1036
18Londrina32771840:47-728
19America Mineiro33452421:54-3317
20Ponte Preta33342618:73-5513

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.23X31%3.00228%3.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0112 Oct 22:201 2.12X 3.142 3.48
12.19 → 2.12 -3.2%X3.13 → 3.14 +0.3%23.30 → 3.48 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.381.623.7%
Betfair2.381.575.7%
Bet3652.351.576.2%
Betano2.351.576.2%
1xBet2.291.577.4%
Marathonbet2.291.577.4%
BetVictor2.211.578.9%
Best of all books2.381.623.7%
Average2.321.586.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.051.755.9%
William Hill2.001.757.1%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
1xBet1.981.748.0%
Betano2.001.728.1%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.981.728.6%
Best of all books2.051.755.9%
Average1.991.747.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Botafogo SP 10%Draw 45%Ceara 45%

The statistical model rated Botafogo SP at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ceara at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.00 | 3.35, which imply roughly 33.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Botafogo SP are 16th (41 pts, 37-38 goals), Ceara 14th (42 pts, 35-40).

Over their last five matches, Botafogo SP averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Ceara averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ceara.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Botafogo SP

4-1-4-1

Coach: Cláudio Tencati

Goalkeeper

  • 1Victor Souza

Defence

  • 22Gabriel Inocêncio
  • 3Ericson
  • 4Vilar
  • 6Patrick Brey
  • 2Jonathan

Midfield

  • 16Matheus Sales
  • 8Everton Morelli
  • 10Rafael Gava

Attack

  • 7Kelvin
  • 9Hygor
Substitutes (10)
  • 30Zé Hugo
  • 26Felipe Vieira
  • 17Guilherme Queiróz
  • 21Jadson Alves de Lima
  • 12Jordan
  • 28Antonio Marco
  • 31Pedro Henrique
  • 29moraes thiago
  • 20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
  • 18Arthur Caíke

Ceara

4-2-3-1

Coach: Daniel Paulista

Goalkeeper

  • 1Richard

Defence

  • 18Júlio
  • 4Luiz Otávio
  • 13Luiz Otávio
  • 12Sanchez

Midfield

  • 25Vinicius Zanocelo
  • 81Joao Gabriel
  • 60Enzo Lodovico
  • 40Richard
  • 8Matheus Araújo

Attack

  • 73Saulo Mineiro
Substitutes (12)
  • 26Richardson
  • 7Giovanni Pavani
  • 11N. Ferreira
  • 33Éder
  • 2Rafael Ramos
  • 23Caíque França
  • 99Lucca
  • 77Lenny Lobato
  • 94R. López
  • 10L. Mugni
  • 78Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
  • 16Rian Santana

Match Statistics

Botafogo SPCeara
0.86Expected Goals0.45
242Passes accurate246
8Shots insidebox4
7Shots outsidebox6
5Blocked Shots2
18Free Kicks12
4Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal5
1Offsides2
321Total passes315
15Total Shots10
1Yellow Cards2
8Corner Kicks4
13Fouls18
0Red Cards0
52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.123.143.48

Double chance

1XX212
1.271.681.31

Draw no bet

12
1.492.48

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.74

1st half

1X2
2.751.994.26

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.796.952.45

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.33
1.51.412.73
2.52.321.58
3.54.331.19
4.58.671.04
5.518.41.01
6.550.5–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.066.30
11.085.65
1.251.243.34
1.751.522.34
21.722.03
2.252.021.75
2.752.671.41
33.361.24
3.253.761.19
3.755.201.10
47.401.03
4.257.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.191.31
-0.752.431.50
-0.52.101.72
-0.251.791.98
01.492.51
+0.251.362.95
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.831.02
-2.258.101.02
-27.801.02
-1.755.401.11
-1.54.161.19
-1.253.671.24
+0.51.313.53
+0.751.174.44
+11.076.52
+1.251.057.07
+1.51.047.63
+1.751.018.60

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.101.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.095.02
8.51.273.29
9.51.472.50
10.51.791.96
11.52.201.60
12.52.901.34
13.53.931.20
14.56.161.04
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.017.13
7.251.075.47
7.751.104.80
81.114.58
8.251.183.78
8.751.283.12
91.312.95
9.251.402.62
9.751.552.27
101.642.17
10.251.722.00
10.751.921.79
112.001.78
11.252.161.61
11.752.451.46
122.701.38
12.252.841.34
12.753.321.24
133.821.18
13.253.981.16
13.754.791.10
145.761.05
14.255.961.05
156.951.02