Ceara vs Juventude• Serie B, Brazil

#151.2:0.82-2FTToday · Estadio Castelão, Fortaleza1.8:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.06PINX3.10B36522.58PINMargin at best3.7%Books6Markets71Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.06	3.08	2.58	3.9%
Bet365	3.00	3.10	2.40	7.3%
1xBet	2.85	2.94	2.53	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.85	2.94	2.53	8.6%
William Hill	2.88	2.90	2.50	9.2%
BetVictor	2.80	2.90	2.45	11.0%
Best of all books	3.06	3.10	2.58	3.7%
Average	2.91	2.98	2.50	8.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CearaJuventude

Last 10#15Table position#31.27Points per game1.8210Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.80.8Goals against · last 50.840Attack rating6050Defence rating5050Form rating500H2H rating10043Goals model5740Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

Ceara

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:11 · per match 1.2 for, 1.1 against

13 Oct	A	Botafogo SP	0-1	L
8 Oct	H	Criciuma	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Avai	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Operario-PR	2-2	D
18 Sep	H	Novorizontino	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Fortaleza EC	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Atletico Goianiense	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Sport Recife	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Vila Nova	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Londrina	2-1	W

Juventude

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:9 · per match 1.5 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	São Bernardo	2-2	D
7 Oct	A	Ponte Preta	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Operario-PR	3-0	W
28 Sep	A	America Mineiro	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Sport Recife	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Athletic Club	0-2	L
9 Sep	A	Criciuma	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Atletico Goianiense	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Londrina	0-0	D
25 Aug	H	CRB	2-1	W

Head to head

3Ceara wins

1draws

7Juventude wins

11 meetings · goals 10:12 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Ceara

28 Jun 2026Serie B	Serie B	Juventude2-0Ceara
30 Aug 2025Serie A	Serie A	Ceara0-1Juventude
12 Apr 2025Serie A	Serie A	Juventude2-1Ceara
25 Nov 2023Serie B	Serie B	Ceara1-3Juventude
23 Jul 2023Serie B	Serie B	Juventude1-0Ceara
13 Nov 2022Serie A	Serie A	Ceara4-1Juventude
24 Jul 2022Serie A	Serie A	Juventude1-0Ceara
23 Oct 2021Serie A	Serie A	Juventude0-0Ceara
4 Jul 2021Serie A	Serie A	Ceara2-0Juventude
3 Nov 2017Serie B	Serie B	Juventude1-0Ceara

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Serie B table, Ceara sit 15th with 42 points from 33 games, while Juventude are 3rd with 60 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46:31	+15	61
2	Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	59:28	+31	60
3	Juventude	33	17	9	7	39:21	+18	60
4	Fortaleza EC	34	16	12	6	41:29	+12	60
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	34:28	+6	56
6	Atletico Goianiense	34	14	12	8	42:32	+10	54
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51:47	+4	52
8	Sport Recife	34	13	12	9	45:37	+8	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34:40	-6	48
10	Operario-PR	33	13	9	11	44:45	-1	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32:26	+6	47
12	São Bernardo	33	12	10	11	46:36	+10	46
13	Athletic Club	33	10	13	10	40:39	+1	43
14	Nautico Recife	33	11	9	13	39:42	-3	42
15	Ceara	33	11	9	13	35:40	-5	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37:38	-1	41
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33:43	-10	36
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	42:49	-7	29
19	America Mineiro	33	4	5	24	21:54	-33	17
20	Ponte Preta	34	3	5	26	19:74	-55	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.91X31%2.98237%2.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.70 → 2.91 +7.8%X2.99 → 2.98 -0.3%22.69 → 2.50 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.62	1.52	4.0%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
1xBet	2.48	1.49	7.4%
Marathonbet	2.48	1.49	7.4%
BetVictor	2.37	1.50	8.9%
Best of all books	2.62	1.52	4.0%
Average	2.49	1.50	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.03	1.70	8.1%
BetVictor	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.68	8.8%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.04	1.69	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ceara 10%Draw 45%Juventude 45%

The statistical model rated Ceara at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Juventude at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.91 | 2.98 | 2.50, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Ceara are 15th (42 pts, 35-40 goals), Juventude 3rd (60 pts, 39-21).

Over their last five matches, Ceara averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Juventude averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Juventude.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Ceara

4-2-3-1

Coach: Daniel Paulista

Goalkeeper

1Richard

Defence

18Júlio
33Éder
71Gabriel Rocha
12Sanchez

Midfield

81Joao Gabriel
25Vinicius Zanocelo
60Enzo Lodovico
40Richard
73Saulo Mineiro

Attack

94R. López

Substitutes (12)

44Kaiky Cabral Leão
31Bryan
7Giovanni Pavani
26Richardson
23Caíque França
29Vina
99Lucca
77Lenny Lobato
10L. Mugni
8Matheus Araújo
78Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
16Rian Santana

Juventude

3-4-3

Coach: Maurício Barbieri

Goalkeeper

93Jandrei

Defence

34Rodrigo Sam
4Messias
47Marcos Paulo

Midfield

13Aderlan
75Raí
29Gabriel Pires
16Diogo Barbosa

Attack

11Fábio Lima
25Alisson Safira
10Marcos Paulo

Substitutes (12)

72Lucas Alves
97Gabriel Pinheiro
17M. Castro
3Titi
5Luan Gonçalves
6Wadson
70Juan Christian
12Pedro Rocha
8Lucas Mineiro
21Ruan Carneiro
9Alan Kardec
2Raí Ramos

Match Statistics

CearaJuventude

266Passes accurate303

8Shots insidebox6

4Shots outsidebox3

4Blocked Shots2

9Free Kicks21

4Shots on Goal4

2Goalkeeper Saves2

4Shots off Goal3

4Offsides1

332Total passes378

12Total Shots9

2Yellow Cards2

6Corner Kicks6

0Red Cards1

21Fouls10

47%Ball Possession53%

1.86Expected Goals1.27

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.91	2.98	2.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.46	1.38	1.35

Draw no bet

1	2
2.02	1.72

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.04	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
3.68	1.94	3.31

2nd half

1	X	2
3.30	2.16	2.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.83	15.3	36.7
HT X	6.37	4.07	5.60
HT 2	38.7	15.3	4.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	6.45	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	6.86
1.5	1.47	2.50
2.5	2.49	1.50
3.5	4.94	1.14
4.5	10.1	1.03
5.5	26.0	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.07	5.80
1	1.10	5.10
1.25	1.27	3.14
1.75	1.61	2.17
2	1.84	1.86
2.25	2.17	1.63
2.75	2.89	1.33
3	3.88	1.18
3.25	4.30	1.15
3.75	6.00	1.06
4	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.91	1.39
-0.25	2.44	1.51
0	2.03	1.74
+0.25	1.67	2.09
+0.5	1.52	2.47
+0.75	1.34	3.04

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.60	1.01
-1.5	6.53	1.07
-1.25	5.98	1.09
-1	5.62	1.12
-0.75	3.62	1.25
+1	1.17	4.45
+1.25	1.13	4.81
+1.5	1.11	5.43
+1.75	1.03	7.30

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.83	1.83

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.04	6.03
7.5	1.19	3.75
8.5	1.40	2.61
9.5	1.76	2.00
10.5	2.17	1.62
11.5	2.83	1.34
12.5	3.96	1.16
13.5	5.92	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.05	5.77
7	1.06	5.51
7.25	1.13	4.38
7.75	1.21	3.52
8	1.24	3.34
8.25	1.33	2.88
8.75	1.46	2.45
9	1.54	2.36
9.25	1.63	2.12
9.75	1.82	1.88
10	1.96	1.80
10.25	2.05	1.68
10.75	2.33	1.52
11	2.56	1.46
11.25	2.70	1.38
11.75	3.16	1.27
12	3.62	1.20
12.25	3.80	1.18
12.75	4.58	1.11
13	5.51	1.06
13.25	5.71	1.06