Goias vs Nautico Recife• Serie B, Brazil

#91.2:1.222:30Tomorrow · Goiania0.8:1.8#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.77DAFX3.75PIN24.80PINMargin at best4.0%Books6Markets84Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	3.68	4.72	5.8%
Bet365	1.73	3.60	4.75	6.6%
1xBet	1.75	3.54	4.45	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.73	3.54	4.45	8.5%
William Hill	1.73	3.40	4.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.70	3.40	4.40	11.0%
Best of all books	1.75	3.68	4.75	5.4%
Average	1.73	3.53	4.54	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GoiasNautico Recife

Last 10#9Table position#151.45Points per game1.279Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.81.2Goals against · last 51.860Attack rating4060Defence rating4069Form rating3160H2H rating4047Goals model5359Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Goias

5W 1D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	Operario-PR	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Athletic Club	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Novorizontino	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Atletico Goianiense	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Avai	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Botafogo SP	3-1	W
10 Sep	A	Vila Nova	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Fortaleza EC	0-1	L
28 Aug	H	São Bernardo	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Cuiaba	1-1	D

Nautico Recife

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	H	Vila Nova	0-2	L
8 Oct	H	Novorizontino	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Fortaleza EC	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Sport Recife	3-1	W
22 Sep	A	Cuiaba	0-3	L
15 Sep	H	Operario-PR	3-3	D
9 Sep	A	America Mineiro	1-2	L
3 Sep	H	Botafogo SP	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Athletic Club	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	São Bernardo	1-1	D

Head to head

6Goias wins

0draws

3Nautico Recife wins

9 meetings · goals 16:10 · last 9: 6W 0D 3L for Goias

28 Jun 2026Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife0-1Goias
6 Oct 2021Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife3-2Goias
10 Jul 2021Serie B	Serie B	Goias0-1Nautico Recife
7 Oct 2017Serie B	Serie B	Goias2-0Nautico Recife
20 Jun 2017Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife2-3Goias
8 Nov 2016Serie B	Serie B	Nautico Recife1-0Goias
16 Jul 2016Serie B	Serie B	Goias4-2Nautico Recife
27 Oct 2013Serie A	Serie A	Nautico Recife0-2Goias
8 Aug 2013Serie A	Serie A	Goias2-1Nautico Recife

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 18 Oct 02:20 UTC

In the Serie B table, Goias sit 9th with 48 points from 33 games, while Nautico Recife are 15th with 42 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46:31	+15	61
2	Juventude	34	17	10	7	41:23	+18	61
3	Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	59:28	+31	60
4	Fortaleza EC	34	16	12	6	41:29	+12	60
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	34:28	+6	56
6	Atletico Goianiense	34	14	12	8	42:32	+10	54
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51:47	+4	52
8	Sport Recife	34	13	12	9	45:37	+8	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34:40	-6	48
10	Operario-PR	34	13	9	12	44:46	-2	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32:26	+6	47
12	São Bernardo	33	12	10	11	46:36	+10	46
13	Ceara	34	11	10	13	37:42	-5	43
14	Athletic Club	33	10	13	10	40:39	+1	43
15	Nautico Recife	33	11	9	13	39:42	-3	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37:38	-1	41
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33:43	-10	36
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	42:49	-7	29
19	America Mineiro	34	5	5	24	22:54	-32	20
20	Ponte Preta	34	3	5	26	19:74	-55	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.73X26%3.53220%4.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.76 → 1.73 -1.7%X3.51 → 3.53 +0.6%24.35 → 4.52 +3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.99	1.83	4.9%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.95	1.78	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.78	7.5%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.96	1.79	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.85	1.84	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Goias 45%Draw 45%Nautico Recife 10%

The statistical model rates Goias at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nautico Recife at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.53 | 4.52, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Goias win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Goias are 9th (48 pts, 34-40 goals), Nautico Recife 15th (42 pts, 39-42).

Over their last five matches, Goias averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Nautico Recife averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Goias or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.53	4.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.99	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.16	5.03

2nd half

1	X	2
2.10	2.45	4.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.64	15.4	41.0
HT X	4.50	5.27	9.63
HT 2	25.0	16.3	7.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	8.90	2.73

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.03
1.5	1.29	3.24
2.5	1.96	1.79
3.5	3.42	1.27
4.5	6.82	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.03
6.5	29.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.68
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.15
1.75	1.35	2.75
2	1.48	2.44
2.25	1.72	2.01
2.75	2.20	1.59
3	2.69	1.40
3.25	2.92	1.31
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.50	1.08
4.25	5.80	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.02	1.34
-1.25	2.69	1.41
-1	2.33	1.53
-0.75	1.93	1.79
-0.5	1.72	2.07
-0.25	1.49	2.43

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.60	1.03
-2.5	6.02	1.09
-2.25	5.63	1.10
-2	5.27	1.12
-1.75	3.79	1.22
0	1.29	3.40
+0.25	1.22	3.89
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.10	5.70
+1	1.01	8.50
+1.25	1.01	8.35

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	2.10	1.67

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.31
7.5	1.11	4.58
8.5	1.29	3.07
9.5	1.54	2.30
10.5	1.88	1.84
11.5	2.40	1.50
12.5	3.21	1.26
13.5	4.57	1.12
14.5	6.90	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.03
7	1.01	7.24
7.25	1.06	5.55
7.75	1.13	4.38
8	1.14	4.16
8.25	1.22	3.48
8.75	1.32	2.90
9	1.37	2.74
9.25	1.46	2.46
9.75	1.62	2.14
10	1.71	2.07
10.25	1.80	1.90
10.75	2.02	1.71
11	2.18	1.63
11.25	2.29	1.54
11.75	2.62	1.40
12	2.92	1.32
12.25	3.06	1.29
12.75	3.62	1.20
13	4.21	1.14
13.25	4.38	1.13
13.75	5.31	1.07
14	6.48	1.03
14.25	6.69	1.02

Next Serie B matches

18 Oct	Avai – Athletic Club
18 Oct	CRB – Botafogo SP
18 Oct	São Bernardo – Criciuma
18 Oct	Vila Nova – Novorizontino
20 Oct	Londrina – Cuiaba

All Serie B fixtures and the table

Latest Serie B results

17 Oct	America Mineiro 1-0 Operario-PR
17 Oct	Ceara 2-2 Juventude
16 Oct	Sport Recife 0-2 Fortaleza EC
16 Oct	Ponte Preta 1-1 Atletico Goianiense
13 Oct	Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina
13 Oct	Botafogo SP 1-0 Ceara