Tartu Welco vs 
Elva• Esiliiga A, Estonia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:33 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.80 | 3.95 | 3.45 | 9.9% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.80 | 3.34 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.85 | 3.30 | 11.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.80 | 3.26 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.76 | 3.19 | 12.6% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 12.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 7.6% |
| Average | 1.81 | 3.81 | 3.33 | 11.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:10 UTC
Tartu Welco
6W 2D 2L · goals 26:11 · per match 2.6 for, 1.1 against
| 17 Sep | A | Viimsi | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Nõmme Kalju II | 3-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | FCI Levadia II | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Tallinna Kalev | 1-1 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Viimsi | 1-3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Nõmme Kalju II | 4-2 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | FCI Levadia II | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Flora II | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Aug | A | Kose | 8-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Elva | 1-2 | L |
Elva
6W 2D 2L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against
| 24 Sep | H | Tallinna Kalev | 3-2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | FC Tallinn | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Flora II | 2-1 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | Viimsi | 0-5 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Nõmme Kalju II | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | Nõmme United II | 1-0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Flora II | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Aug | H | Maardu | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Tallinna Kalev | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Aug | H | Joker | 3-0 | W |
Head to head
26 meetings · goals 31:47 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Tartu Welco
| 8 Aug 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Elva2-1Tartu Welco |
| 1 Jun 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Elva0-2Tartu Welco |
| 27 Apr 2026Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco3-3Elva |
| 27 Oct 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco3-2Elva |
| 4 Aug 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Elva1-2Tartu Welco |
| 14 Jun 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco2-5Elva |
| 15 Mar 2025Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Elva3-1Tartu Welco |
| 28 Sep 2024Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Elva0-1Tartu Welco |
| 24 Aug 2024Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco0-0Elva |
| 2 Jun 2024Esiliiga A | Esiliiga A | Tartu Welco0-0Elva |
Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC
In the Esiliiga A table, Tartu Welco sit 1st with 65 points from 31 games, while Elva are 4th with 48 points from 31.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | +46 | 65 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 56:31 | +25 | 50 |
| 3 | Flora II | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 72:53 | +19 | 48 |
| 4 | Elva | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 5 | FCI Levadia II | 30 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 61:55 | +6 | 44 |
| 6 | Maardu | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 47:59 | -12 | 41 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 52:55 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Nõmme United II | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | -13 | 36 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 39:65 | -26 | 32 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | -41 | 22 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 2.65 | 9.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 2.66 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 2.66 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.39 | 3.00 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.36 | 2.74 | 9.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.36 | 3.00 | 6.9% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 2.70 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 2.74 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 2.67 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 3.00 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.78 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Tartu Welco at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Elva at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.81 | 3.33, which imply roughly 55.2% for a Tartu Welco win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Tartu Welco are 1st (65 pts, 85-39 goals), Elva 4th (48 pts, 47-48).
Over their last five matches, Tartu Welco averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Elva averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Tartu Welco or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81 | 3.81 | 3.33 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 1.81 | 1.19 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.42 | 2.52 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.78 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.28 | 2.48 | 3.58 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | 22.0 | 2.19 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 19.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 6.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.74 |
| 3.5 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
| 4.5 | 3.13 | 1.30 |
| 5.5 | 5.90 | 1.12 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| 2.25 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 2.75 | 1.46 | 2.40 |
| 3 | 1.58 | 2.14 |
| 3.25 | 1.80 | 1.87 |
| 3.75 | 2.24 | 1.54 |
| 4 | 2.63 | 1.39 |
| 4.25 | 2.84 | 1.33 |
| 5 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.69 | 1.37 |
| -1 | 2.28 | 1.53 |
| -0.75 | 2.03 | 1.65 |
| -0.5 | 1.79 | 1.86 |
| -0.25 | 1.62 | 2.08 |
| 0 | 1.42 | 2.50 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 8.10 | 1.03 |
| -2.5 | 5.50 | 1.08 |
| -2 | 4.85 | 1.11 |
| -1.75 | 3.31 | 1.26 |
| -1.5 | 2.77 | 1.36 |
| +0.25 | 1.34 | 2.83 |
| +1 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| +1.5 | 1.06 | 6.20 |