Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX• USL Championship, USA

#11.8:0.62-0FT24/10 · Al Lang Stadium0.4:2.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.14B365X9.05PIN217.0BVCMargin at best4.7%Books9Markets92Rating82 · 18Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.14	9.00	13.0	6.5%
Dafabet	1.14	8.80	12.0	7.4%
Pinnacle	1.11	9.05	13.8	8.4%
William Hill	1.12	8.00	15.0	8.5%
BetVictor	1.10	8.50	17.0	8.6%
Betano	1.14	6.90	12.5	10.2%
Betfair	1.08	9.00	15.0	10.4%
1xBet	1.08	8.20	15.0	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.08	8.20	15.0	11.5%
Best of all books	1.14	9.05	17.0	4.7%
Average	1.11	8.41	14.3	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tampa Bay RowdiesSporting JAX

Last 10#1Table position#132.03Points per game0.4710Form pts · last 501.8Goals for · last 50.40.6Goals against · last 52.682Attack rating1881Defence rating19100Form rating0100H2H rating082Goals model1882Overall rating18

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Tampa Bay Rowdies

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:7 · per match 1.4 for, 0.7 against

24 Oct	H	Sporting JAX	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Detroit City	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Indy Eleven	3-1	W
3 Oct	H	Miami FC	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	San Antonio	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Birmingham Legion	4-0	W
12 Sep	A	Hartford Athletic	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Brooklyn	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Detroit City	0-1	L

Sporting JAX

2W 0D 8L · goals 9:25 · per match 0.9 for, 2.5 against

21 Oct	H	Louisville City	0-2	L
14 Oct	H	Birmingham Legion	0-1	L
30 Sep	A	Miami FC	1-4	L
25 Sep	H	Loudoun United	1-4	L
16 Sep	A	Hartford Athletic	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Rhode Island	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Lexington	3-2	W
29 Aug	A	Brooklyn	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	Birmingham Legion	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Indy Eleven	0-1	L

Head to head

3Tampa Bay Rowdies wins

0draws

0Sporting JAX wins

3 meetings · goals 4:0 · last 3: 3W 0D 0L for Tampa Bay Rowdies

6 Jun 2026USL League One Cup	USL League One Cup	Sporting JAX0-2Tampa Bay Rowdies
4 Apr 2026USL Championship	USL Championship	Sporting JAX0-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
28 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Tampa Bay Rowdies1-0Sporting JAX

USL Championship tableUSL Championshipupdated 29 Oct 06:10 UTC

In the USL Championship table, Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st with 61 points from 30 games, while Sporting JAX are 13th with 14 points from 30.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	30	18	7	5	52:26	+26	61
2	Charleston Battery	30	16	5	9	56:35	+21	53
3	Detroit City	30	14	9	7	34:21	+13	51
4	Louisville City	30	13	8	9	51:43	+8	47
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	30	13	6	11	33:30	+3	45
6	Hartford Athletic	30	10	13	7	35:33	+2	43
7	Rhode Island	30	12	6	12	42:33	+9	42
8	Miami FC	30	9	9	12	39:49	-10	36
9	Indy Eleven	30	9	7	14	35:41	-6	34
10	Loudoun United	30	6	13	11	38:48	-10	31
11	Birmingham Legion	30	6	12	12	40:46	-6	30
12	Brooklyn	30	5	6	19	34:63	-29	21
13	Sporting JAX	30	3	5	22	32:78	-46	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg183%1.11X11%8.4126%14.3

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.16 → 1.11 -4.3%X6.72 → 8.41 +25.1%211.3 → 14.3 +26.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.28	3.50	6.7%
BetVictor	1.25	3.60	7.8%
Betano	1.29	3.30	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.25	3.59	7.9%
1xBet	1.24	3.34	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.24	3.34	10.6%
Best of all books	1.29	3.60	5.3%
Average	1.26	3.44	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
William Hill	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Best of all books	2.00	1.83	4.6%
Average	1.92	1.78	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tampa Bay Rowdies 50%Draw 50%Sporting JAX 0%

The statistical model rated Tampa Bay Rowdies at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Sporting JAX at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.11 | 8.41 | 14.25, which imply roughly 90.1% for a Tampa Bay Rowdies win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the USL Championship table: Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st (61 pts, 52-26 goals), Sporting JAX 13th (14 pts, 32-78).

Over their last five matches, Tampa Bay Rowdies averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Sporting JAX averaged 0.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Tampa Bay Rowdies.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.11	8.41	14.3

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	5.52	1.06

Draw no bet

1	2
1.03	10.4

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.92	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
1.40	3.35	10.7

2nd half

1	X	2
1.32	4.04	9.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.44	25.3	68.8
HT X	4.21	12.6	27.8
HT 2	19.3	27.3	25.3

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.18	31.0	4.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	18.5
1.5	1.06	7.16
2.5	1.26	3.45
3.5	1.71	2.02
4.5	2.55	1.44
5.5	4.24	1.18
6.5	6.77	1.08
7.5	9.67	1.03
8.5	15.0	1.01
9.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.05	6.60
2	1.06	6.20
2.25	1.15	4.26
2.75	1.30	3.05
3	1.35	2.74
3.25	1.53	2.29
3.75	1.84	1.83
4	2.08	1.65
4.25	2.30	1.52
4.75	2.88	1.32
5	3.50	1.22
5.25	3.80	1.19
6	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3	2.52	1.46
-2.75	2.16	1.61
-2.5	1.93	1.78
-2.25	1.73	1.98
-2	1.55	2.29
-1.75	1.44	2.53

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	8.50	1.01
-5	8.10	1.02
-4.5	4.93	1.13
-4.25	4.85	1.13
-4	4.45	1.15
-3.75	3.51	1.24
-3.5	3.03	1.32
-3.25	2.77	1.38
-1.5	1.37	2.78
-1.25	1.26	3.38
-1	1.15	4.63
-0.75	1.13	5.00
-0.5	1.15	5.50
-0.25	1.10	6.80
0	1.03	13.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.73
7.5	1.21	3.57
8.5	1.48	2.44
9.5	1.86	1.86
10.5	2.33	1.53
11.5	2.91	1.32
12.5	4.16	1.15
13.5	6.27	1.04

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	5.23
8	1.26	3.20
8.75	1.47	2.39
9	1.66	2.15
9.25	1.66	2.09
9.75	1.83	1.83
10	2.03	1.72
10.25	2.08	1.62
10.75	2.35	1.47
11	2.66	1.39
12	3.80	1.18
13	5.85	1.05

Next USL Championship matches

30 Oct	Louisville City – Pittsburgh Riverhounds
30 Oct	Charleston Battery – Rhode Island
30 Oct	Tampa Bay Rowdies – Miami FC
31 Oct	Detroit City – Hartford Athletic
31 Oct	El Paso Locomotive – San Antonio
1 Nov	Lexington – Colorado Springs

All USL Championship fixtures and the table

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