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Portland Timbers vs Charlotte• Major League Soccer, USA

0.8:1.83-2FT25/10 · Providence Park, Portland1.6:1.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93PINX4.31PIN23.55DAFMargin at best3.2%Books8Markets75Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.934.313.503.6%
Dafabet1.924.203.554.1%
Betano1.934.253.355.2%
Bet3651.914.103.505.3%
Betfair1.914.203.306.5%
BetVictor1.874.103.407.3%
Marathonbet1.874.103.387.5%
William Hill1.853.803.3010.7%
Best of all books1.934.313.553.2%
Average1.904.133.416.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Portland TimbersCharlotte
Last 105Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6750Defence rating5022Form rating780H2H rating10053Goals model4740Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:00 UTC

Portland Timbers

2W 3D 5L · goals 16:21 · per match 1.6 for, 2.1 against

25 OctHCharlotte3-2W
18 OctHColorado Rapids0-0D
15 OctALos Angeles Galaxy0-2L
11 OctASporting Kansas City3-3D
27 SepASan Jose Earthquakes1-3L
20 SepHAtlanta United FC0-1L
13 SepAFC Dallas1-2L
10 SepHSt. Louis City2-2D
6 SepHMinnesota United FC5-4W
30 AugHAustin1-2L

Charlotte

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

25 OctAPortland Timbers2-3L
17 OctAPhiladelphia Union2-2D
14 OctAColumbus Crew1-3L
10 OctHFC Dallas3-2W
26 SepHChicago Fire0-1L
19 SepADC United2-1W
12 SepAFC Cincinnati3-3D
9 SepACF Montreal2-1W
5 SepHHouston Dynamo0-0D
29 AugAAtlanta United FC2-0W

Head to head

0Portland Timbers wins
0draws
2Charlotte wins

2 meetings · goals 0:4 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Portland Timbers

15 Feb 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsCharlotte2-0Portland Timbers
4 May 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerCharlotte2-0Portland Timbers

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 26 Oct 05:30 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nashville SC31217366:23+4370
2New England Revolution311741051:42+955
3Inter Miami311510673:53+2055
4Chicago Fire311561055:46+951
5Charlotte311381055:48+747
6Philadelphia Union311371162:50+1246
7Orlando City SC311261360:72-1242
8FC Cincinnati311191164:71-742
9New York Red Bulls311161441:56-1539
10Columbus Crew311151550:49+138
11Toronto FC318121148:59-1136
12New York City FC318111245:43+235
13DC United317121238:55-1733
14Atlanta United FC31861739:54-1530
15CF Montreal31671836:62-2625

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.96X23%4.04228%3.32

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 01:501 1.90X 4.132 3.41
11.98 → 1.90 -4.0%X4.02 → 4.13 +2.7%23.20 → 3.41 +6.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.373.214.1%
Bet3651.333.404.6%
Betano1.363.155.3%
Betfair1.333.305.5%
BetVictor1.303.208.2%
Marathonbet1.293.0410.4%
Best of all books1.373.402.4%
Average1.333.226.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.363.006.9%
Betano1.363.006.9%
Betfair1.333.107.4%
William Hill1.333.008.5%
Marathonbet1.323.048.7%
BetVictor1.303.138.9%
Best of all books1.363.135.5%
Average1.333.047.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Portland Timbers 10%Draw 45%Charlotte 45%

The statistical model rated Portland Timbers at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Charlotte at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 4.04 | 3.32, which imply roughly 24.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Portland Timbers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Charlotte averaged 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Charlotte.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Portland Timbers

4-3-3

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Goalkeeper

  • 41J. Pantemis

Defence

  • 12R. Hernández
  • 2J. Waterman
  • 4K. Miller
  • 27J. Fory

Midfield

  • 73Eric Izoita
  • 30J. Caicedo
  • 10David Pereira da Costa

Attack

  • 7A. Lassiter
  • 14V. Janssen
  • 99K. Velde
Substitutes (9)
  • 21D. Chará
  • 22O. Fernandez
  • 28A. Aravena
  • 17C. Bassett
  • 15E. Miller
  • 80J. Ortiz
  • 23Ian Smith
  • 26H. Sulte
  • 20F. Surman

Charlotte

4-2-3-1

Coach: D. Smith

Goalkeeper

  • 1K. Kahlina

Defence

  • 14N. Byrne
  • 44M. Agyemang
  • 22H. Kessler
  • 23D. Schnegg

Midfield

  • 8A. Westwood
  • 28D. Diani
  • 37R. Aloko
  • 16Pep Biel
  • 11L. Abada

Attack

  • 9I. Toklomati Giorno
Substitutes (9)
  • 25Tyger Smalls
  • 15H. Toffolo
  • 4A. Privett
  • 21T. Miller
  • 17L. de la Torre
  • 71N. Richmond
  • 20B. Coulibaly
  • 83H. Mbongue
  • 39J. Neeley

Match Statistics

Portland TimbersCharlotte
2.79Expected Goals0.9
529Passes accurate393
20Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox2
9Blocked Shots1
8Free Kicks10
12Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves9
5Shots off Goal2
3Offsides2
570Total passes459
26Total Shots6
1Yellow Cards1
9Corner Kicks3
10Fouls9
0Red Cards0
56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.904.133.41

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.841.20

Draw no bet

12
1.452.57

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.333.05

1st half

1X2
2.322.653.56

2nd half

1X2
2.192.923.22

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9213.625.3
HT X5.757.638.60
HT 218.913.85.18

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6327.52.20

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0218.8
1.51.087.25
2.51.333.22
3.51.861.89
4.52.921.38
5.55.131.15
6.59.171.06
7.516.31.02
8.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.066.15
21.085.70
2.251.183.85
2.751.352.74
31.492.52
3.251.672.12
3.752.041.72
42.361.56
4.252.521.41
4.753.281.25
54.151.16
5.254.451.14
67.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.751.41
-12.471.52
-0.752.081.70
-0.51.881.92
-0.251.662.15
01.452.66
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.510.01.03
-2.55.721.11
-2.255.251.16
-24.781.15
-1.753.531.25
-1.53.081.34
+0.251.362.99
+0.51.343.23
+0.751.194.09
+11.105.73
+1.251.096.23
+1.51.096.42
+1.751.028.10
+2.51.0211.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.362.97
41.492.53
4.51.742.05
52.221.63
5.52.471.50
63.151.31
6.52.951.37

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0117.0
5.51.0210.4
6.51.087.00
7.51.164.53
8.51.313.09
9.51.572.26
10.51.931.80
11.52.501.47
12.53.361.27
13.54.751.15
14.56.451.09
15.58.401.05
16.59.751.03
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
101.782.00
112.281.59

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