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Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC• Major League Soccer, USA

1.8:2.20-0FT25/10 · BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston2.0:2.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.21DAFX3.75BFR23.20B365Margin at best3.2%Books8Markets69Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.223.723.193.3%
Dafabet2.213.653.203.9%
Bet3652.203.603.204.5%
Betano2.203.603.155.0%
Betfair2.153.753.105.4%
Marathonbet2.113.603.107.4%
BetVictor2.153.603.007.6%
William Hill2.103.403.0010.4%
Best of all books2.223.753.203.0%
Average2.173.623.125.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Houston DynamoMinnesota United FC
Last 104Form pts · last 561.8Goals for · last 52.02.2Goals against · last 52.447Attack rating5352Defence rating4844Form rating5662H2H rating3857Goals model4353Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:00 UTC

Houston Dynamo

1W 7D 2L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

25 OctHMinnesota United FC0-0D
18 OctHFC Dallas2-2D
15 OctASan Diego3-3D
11 OctAMinnesota United FC2-2D
27 SepHSporting Kansas City0-2L
20 SepHFC Cincinnati2-2D
13 SepASan Jose Earthquakes0-1L
10 SepHReal Salt Lake2-1W
5 SepACharlotte0-0D
30 AugHSan Jose Earthquakes0-0D

Minnesota United FC

1W 4D 5L · goals 20:26 · per match 2.0 for, 2.6 against

25 OctAHouston Dynamo0-0D
17 OctHSt. Louis City3-2W
15 OctAColorado Rapids2-2D
11 OctHHouston Dynamo2-2D
27 SepASeattle Sounders1-3L
20 SepHLos Angeles Galaxy2-3L
13 SepASt. Louis City2-4L
10 SepHFC Dallas1-2L
6 SepAPortland Timbers4-5L
30 AugHOrlando City SC3-3D

Head to head

8Houston Dynamo wins
6draws
11Minnesota United FC wins

25 meetings · goals 35:34 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Houston Dynamo

11 Oct 2026Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerMinnesota United FC2-2Houston Dynamo
26 Jun 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerMinnesota United FC3-1Houston Dynamo
15 May 2025Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerHouston Dynamo2-0Minnesota United FC
14 Jul 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerHouston Dynamo1-1Minnesota United FC
14 Apr 2024Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerMinnesota United FC1-2Houston Dynamo
13 Jul 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerHouston Dynamo0-3Minnesota United FC
24 May 2023US Open CupUS Open CupHouston Dynamo4-0Minnesota United FC
18 May 2023Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerMinnesota United FC1-0Houston Dynamo
27 Aug 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerMinnesota United FC2-1Houston Dynamo
24 Jul 2022Major League SoccerMajor League SoccerHouston Dynamo1-2Minnesota United FC

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 26 Oct 05:30 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Nashville SC31217366:23+4370
2New England Revolution311741051:42+955
3Inter Miami311510673:53+2055
4Chicago Fire311561055:46+951
5Charlotte311381055:48+747
6Philadelphia Union311371162:50+1246
7Orlando City SC311261360:72-1242
8FC Cincinnati311191164:71-742
9New York Red Bulls311161441:56-1539
10Columbus Crew311151550:49+138
11Toronto FC318121148:59-1136
12New York City FC318111245:43+235
13DC United317121238:55-1733
14Atlanta United FC31861739:54-1530
15CF Montreal31671836:62-2625

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.16X26%3.65231%3.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0124 Oct 17:011 2.17X 3.622 3.13
12.06 → 2.17 +5.3%X3.65 → 3.62 -0.8%23.23 → 3.13 -3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.672.313.2%
Betano1.652.304.1%
Betfair1.602.306.0%
Bet3651.622.256.2%
Marathonbet1.652.157.1%
BetVictor1.602.149.2%
Best of all books1.672.313.2%
Average1.632.245.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
William Hill1.532.407.0%
Betano1.522.427.1%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.542.288.8%
Best of all books1.542.455.8%
Average1.532.397.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Houston Dynamo 45%Draw 45%Minnesota United FC 10%

The statistical model rated Houston Dynamo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Minnesota United FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.65 | 3.08, which imply roughly 46.3% for a Houston Dynamo win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Houston Dynamo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Minnesota United FC averaged 2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Houston Dynamo or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Houston Dynamo

4-4-2

Coach: Ben Olsen

Goalkeeper

  • 31J. Bond

Defence

  • 11L. Ennali
  • 3Antônio Carlos
  • 5Lucas Halter
  • 21F. Negri

Midfield

  • 19M. Bogusz
  • 6Artur
  • 16H. Herrera
  • 20Guilherme

Attack

  • 30A. Bouzat
  • 9L. Foster
Substitutes (9)
  • 23D. McGuire
  • 4M. Saracchi
  • 37G. Rivera
  • 18D. Samassékou
  • 24A. Ibrahim
  • 22M. Arana
  • 26B. Gillingham
  • 14D. Holmes
  • 17N. Markanich

Minnesota United FC

4-4-2

Coach: C. Knowles

Goalkeeper

  • 12D. Callender

Defence

  • 52Cherrion Valerius
  • 28J. Díaz
  • 23M. Duggan
  • 13A. Markanich

Midfield

  • 21B. Hlongwane
  • 25N. Triantis
  • 30O. Gene
  • 18M. Gonzalez

Attack

  • 16A. Jackson
  • 9K. Yeboah
Substitutes (9)
  • 8T. Chancalay
  • 3K. Duncan
  • 67C. Harvey
  • 11M. Malone
  • 26J. Pereyra
  • 94Kayne Rizvanovich
  • 5N. Romero
  • 15M. Boxall
  • 22Marcus Caldeira

Match Statistics

Houston DynamoMinnesota United FC
0.77Expected Goals1.36
506Passes accurate389
8Shots insidebox12
2Shots outsidebox5
4Blocked Shots6
15Free Kicks10
1Shots on Goal5
5Goalkeeper Saves1
5Shots off Goal6
1Offsides1
563Total passes456
10Total Shots17
3Yellow Cards0
4Corner Kicks7
11Fouls16
0Red Cards0
55%Ball Possession45%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.173.623.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.671.26

Draw no bet

12
1.582.24

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.39

1st half

1X2
2.652.323.54

2nd half

1X2
2.452.613.16

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.3813.628.3
HT X5.645.887.55
HT 222.813.75.05

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7715.12.13

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0313.7
1.51.194.48
2.51.632.24
3.52.551.49
4.54.571.18
5.58.661.05
6.516.31.02
7.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.251.075.75
1.751.203.72
21.263.26
2.251.462.59
2.751.781.97
32.021.76
3.252.271.58
3.752.971.30
43.851.18
4.254.201.15
4.755.651.08
57.901.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.471.50
-0.52.151.70
-0.251.861.89
01.602.29
+0.251.452.65
+0.51.383.03
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.57.851.04
-26.901.04
-1.755.001.14
-1.53.801.22
-1.253.521.27
-13.201.33
+0.751.253.76
+11.125.38
+1.251.115.80
+1.51.096.05
+1.751.028.10
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
31.333.08
3.51.632.21
41.971.82
4.52.271.60
53.131.32
5.53.251.31

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0212.1
5.51.058.13
6.51.115.43
7.51.253.54
8.51.462.52
9.51.801.94
10.52.321.55
11.53.071.32
12.54.331.17
13.56.351.10
14.58.751.05
15.511.41.02
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
91.612.25
102.011.77

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