Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union• Major League Soccer, USA

#12.6:0.400:3029/10 · Geodis Park, Nashville2.4:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96DAFX3.95BTN23.65PINMargin at best3.7%Books8Markets51Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 20:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.96	3.95	3.60	4.1%
Betano	1.93	3.95	3.60	4.9%
Pinnacle	1.91	3.94	3.65	5.1%
Betfair	1.91	3.90	3.50	6.6%
Marathonbet	1.88	3.85	3.52	7.6%
Bet365	1.95	3.80	3.30	7.9%
BetVictor	1.87	3.75	3.40	9.6%
William Hill	1.85	3.60	3.40	11.2%
Best of all books	1.96	3.95	3.65	3.7%
Average	1.91	3.84	3.50	7.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nashville SCPhiladelphia Union

Last 10#1Table position#62.26Points per game1.4813Form pts · last 5102.6Goals for · last 52.40.4Goals against · last 51.652Attack rating4880Defence rating2057Form rating4371H2H rating2973Goals model2765Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 00:00 UTC

Nashville SC

6W 3D 1L · goals 23:6 · per match 2.3 for, 0.6 against

24 Oct	A	CF Montreal	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	San Jose Earthquakes	1-1	D
15 Oct	H	Sporting Kansas City	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Austin	4-1	W
27 Sep	H	Toronto FC	2-0	W
20 Sep	H	Chicago Fire	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Inter Miami	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Toronto FC	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	New York City FC	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	FC Cincinnati	4-0	W

Philadelphia Union

8W 1D 1L · goals 31:12 · per match 3.1 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	H	New England Revolution	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Charlotte	2-2	D
15 Oct	A	Chicago Fire	3-1	W
10 Oct	H	Real Salt Lake	2-1	W
26 Sep	H	Orlando City SC	4-2	W
20 Sep	A	Sporting Kansas City	4-3	W
14 Sep	A	San Diego	5-0	W
9 Sep	H	FC Cincinnati	5-0	W
5 Sep	H	CF Montreal	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	New York Red Bulls	3-1	W

Head to head

5Nashville SC wins

4draws

4Philadelphia Union wins

13 meetings · goals 13:12 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Nashville SC

2 May 2026Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union0-0Nashville SC
17 Sep 2025US Open Cup	US Open Cup	Nashville SC3-1Philadelphia Union
6 Jul 2025Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC1-0Philadelphia Union
16 Mar 2025Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union1-3Nashville SC
20 Jul 2024Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union3-0Nashville SC
7 Apr 2024Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC1-2Philadelphia Union
7 Oct 2023Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Philadelphia Union0-0Nashville SC
13 Jul 2023Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC0-2Philadelphia Union
14 Feb 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Nashville SC2-0Philadelphia Union
1 May 2022Major League Soccer	Major League Soccer	Nashville SC1-1Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer tableEastern Conferenceupdated 26 Oct 05:30 UTC

In the Major League Soccer table, Nashville SC sit 1st with 70 points from 31 games, while Philadelphia Union are 6th with 46 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	21	7	3	66:23	+43	70
2	New England Revolution	31	17	4	10	51:42	+9	55
3	Inter Miami	31	15	10	6	73:53	+20	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	15	6	10	55:46	+9	51
5	Charlotte	31	13	8	10	55:48	+7	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	13	7	11	62:50	+12	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	12	6	13	60:72	-12	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	11	9	11	64:71	-7	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	11	6	14	41:56	-15	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	11	5	15	50:49	+1	38
11	Toronto FC	31	8	12	11	48:59	-11	36
12	New York City FC	31	8	11	12	45:43	+2	35
13	DC United	31	7	12	12	38:55	-17	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	8	6	17	39:54	-15	30
15	CF Montreal	31	6	7	18	36:62	-26	25

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.91X24%3.84227%3.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.50	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.48	4.8%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.45	2.55	8.2%
BetVictor	1.51	2.33	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.55	2.9%
Average	1.51	2.45	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.47	2.63	6.1%
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.50	2.47	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.46	8.7%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.47	2.51	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nashville SC 45%Draw 45%Philadelphia Union 10%

The statistical model rates Nashville SC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Philadelphia Union at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.91 | 3.84 | 3.50, which imply roughly 52.4% for a Nashville SC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Major League Soccer table: Nashville SC are 1st (70 pts, 66-23 goals), Philadelphia Union 6th (46 pts, 62-50).

Over their last five matches, Nashville SC averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Philadelphia Union averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Nashville SC and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.91	3.84	3.50

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.85	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.47	2.51

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	2.43	3.80

2nd half

1	X	2
2.21	2.74	3.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.95	13.7	29.3
HT X	5.28	6.48	8.32
HT 2	21.0	14.1	5.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	19.1	2.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.0
1.5	1.14	5.12
2.5	1.51	2.45
3.5	2.29	1.60
4.5	3.92	1.23
5.5	7.48	1.07
6.5	13.3	1.04
7.5	22.5	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.14	4.40
2	1.17	3.94
2.25	1.33	2.83
2.75	1.63	2.15
3	1.82	1.92
3.25	2.04	1.71
3.75	2.60	1.41
4	3.20	1.27
4.25	3.50	1.22
4.75	4.70	1.12
5	6.35	1.06
5.25	6.70	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.92	1.37
-1	2.60	1.48
-0.75	2.14	1.65
-0.5	1.91	1.88
-0.25	1.66	2.13
0	1.44	2.62

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.02
-2.5	6.28	1.09
-2.25	6.05	1.10
-2	5.60	1.11
-1.75	4.00	1.20
-1.5	3.26	1.31
+0.25	1.35	3.00
+0.5	1.31	3.46
+0.75	1.19	4.08
+1	1.10	5.98
+1.25	1.09	6.38
+1.5	1.08	6.68
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Next Major League Soccer matches

28 Oct	Inter Miami – FC Cincinnati
28 Oct	Toronto FC – DC United
28 Oct	New York City FC – Atlanta United FC
28 Oct	New England Revolution – New York Red Bulls
28 Oct	Charlotte – CF Montreal
29 Oct	FC Dallas – Columbus Crew

All Major League Soccer fixtures and the table

Latest Major League Soccer results

26 Oct	Los Angeles FC 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy
25 Oct	Colorado Rapids 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps
25 Oct	San Diego 2-2 Seattle Sounders
25 Oct	Real Salt Lake 3-0 St. Louis City
25 Oct	Portland Timbers 3-2 Charlotte
25 Oct	Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Austin